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RICE

Rice 16 at Louisiana Tech 61

LT
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+35.3Home team on offense+14.8Score differential+12.2Blowout margin+3.9Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:23: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:51: Boston Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:05: Jarred Craft run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 1:15: Ryan Higgins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 4:38: Jonathan Barnes 43 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:23RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:05RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 19 at RICE 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06LT 4th & 6 at LT 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08RICE 4th & 7 at LT 42, down 35
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38LT 4th & 7 at RICE 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25RICE 4th & 5 at LT 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:55RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 35, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:42RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 35, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:48LT 4th & 12 at LT 34, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:07LT 4th & 1 at LT 34, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:23LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:51LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:05LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:15LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:08LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:55LT Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:41LT Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:06RICE Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:42LT Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:27RICE Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
92.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 6 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+12
92.6%
Jack Fox punt for 56 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 12 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:1592% → 92%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.3%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
92.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Alfred Smith for 11 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
92.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+22
92.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 22 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
92.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for no gain to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
92.3%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+13
91.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
92.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
92.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
92.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 6 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
92.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
92.1%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:4592% → 93%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
91.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 2 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+71
91.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 71 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
91.7%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
91.7%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.6%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.2%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:3193% → 95%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+23
92.5%
Ryan Higgins run for 23 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
92.7%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+24
92.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 24 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
92.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
92.8%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
92.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 16 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.5%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
93.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nahshon Ellerbe for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
93.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
93.9%
Tyler Stehling run for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 4:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.9%
Jack Fox punt for 52 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 9 yds to the LaTch 34 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:1195% → 96%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
94.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 5 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
94.5%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+71
96.0%
Ryan Higgins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:153% → 3%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
96.7%
Nate German run for 6 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.7%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Nate German pass incomplete to Samuel Stewart, broken up by Matthew YdarragaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-10
97.1%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Elliot Blankenship for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.0%
Ryan Higgins run for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
96.8%
Gerald Shouse punt for 51 yds, downed at the Rice 9Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
97.0%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
97.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+4
97.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 23 Samuel Stewart fumbled, forced by Dalton Santos, recovered by LaTch Dalton SantosSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:2197% → 97%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
97.3%
Carlos Henderson run for 16 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.0%
Darik Dillard run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
97.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
97.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Lance Wright for 20 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
97.8%
Tyler Stehling run for 5 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-2
97.7%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
97.9%
Jack Fox punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:4598% → 99%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
97.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 10 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
97.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 9 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
97.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
97.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
98.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+4
97.9%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Jarred CraftSimilar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+12
97.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 12 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
98.0%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-1
98.0%
Rhashid Bonnette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
98.9%
Jonathan Barnes 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:131% → 1%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.1%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.1%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
99.1%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+22
99.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 22 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+10
99.0%
STEHLING, Tyler pass intercepted by GROGAN, Lloyd at the LATECH18, GROGAN, Lloyd return to the RICE20, PENALTY LATECH holding (KITCHEN, E.) 10 yards to the LATECH32, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
99.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+2
99.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+43
98.9%
Hayden Tobola 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FG
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:2599% → 100%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
99.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 25 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+33
99.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 33 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+32
99.5%
Jonathan Barnes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0599% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.4%
J'mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.4%
J'mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 11 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.4%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
99.4%
J'mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 2 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
99.4%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.4%
J'mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 8 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+21
99.4%
J'mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 21 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.5%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
99.5%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
99.6%
Cole Thomas return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.7%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
99.7%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+19
99.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
50
0
99.6%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
50
0
99.7%
Nate German pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 10
50
-5
99.7%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Russell Farris for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Jack Fox punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
1 play · 89 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+89
99.7%
J'mar Smith pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 89 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+34
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 34 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+12
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 12 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+5
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 5 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+5
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 5 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
99.8%
Boston Scott run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
50
+16
99.8%
J'mar Smith run for 16 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
J'mar Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 39 J'mar Smith fumbled, recovered by Rice Brian Womac RICE Penalty, illegal forward pass (Brian Womac) to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Jowan DavisSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-6
99.9%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Eric Kendzior for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 70 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-4
99.9%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Eric Kendzior for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
J'mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-4
99.9%
Price Wilson sacked by Graysen Schantz and Connor Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 54 yds, downed at the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Jackson Tyner run for 3 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+17
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Kylen Granson for 17 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Jackson Tyner run for 9 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+14
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 14 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Robby Wells III for 9 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to James Mayden for 9 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
100.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to James Mayden for 19 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jackson Tyner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Dee Fleming run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Dee Fleming run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Dee Fleming run for 2 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
100.0%
Price Wilson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 4:05
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q1 1:15
Ryan Higgins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+1.4
FG · Q2 4:38
Jonathan Barnes 43 yd FG GOOD
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com