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WKU

Western Kentucky 52 at Florida Atlantic 3

FAU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.3FAU 6.3%Skyler Simcox 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 0 · Q2 1:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:42 · Skyler Simcox 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense−26.9Pregame prior−25.2Score differential−11.0Garbage-time factor−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:18: Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 54 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +2.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:51: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 65 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:06: G. Joseph 23 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +1.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:53: Anthony Wales run for 30 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:21: Anthony Wales run for 11 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:12FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35WKU 4th & 5 at FAU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:35FAU 4th & 7 at WKU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:18FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:51FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:19WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:28FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 48, down 21
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:42WKU 4th & 20 at FAU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:42FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:06FAU 4th & 6 at WKU 6, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:36WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 35, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:35FAU 4th & 8 at WKU 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:53FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:42WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 30, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:46FAU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:53WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 49, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 14:12WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:18WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:51WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:53WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:21WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:46WKU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:07WKU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4888% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
12.0%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
12.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+76
12.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 76 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
12.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+16
12.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Keith Brown) to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
12.3%
DRISKEL, Jason rush for 21 yards to the WKU33 (JOHNSON, L.), PENALTY FAU holding (BRESHEARS, Jack) 10 yards to the FAU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+1
12.2%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 19
OWN 37
0
12.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+4
12.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
12.2%
Dalton Schomp punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:3987% → 86%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
13.0%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
13.0%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
13.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
12.9%
Taywan Taylor run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
12.8%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+19
12.8%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 19 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
12.8%
Taywan Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
12.9%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+9
12.9%
Mike White pass complete to Shaquille Johnson for 9 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
14.1%
Skyler Simcox 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
14.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+7
14.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 7 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
14.4%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
14.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 11 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
14.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
14.8%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
14.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
14.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:4885% → 88%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
14.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
14.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+10
15.1%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
14.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
14.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+6
14.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
12.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 54 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kalib Woods for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
13.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
13.1%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Leverick JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
13.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:0987% → 91%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.8%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
12.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
8.7%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 65 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
9.4%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 3 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
9.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
8.5%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Lucky, PENALTY WKU holding (SIMS, Jimmie) 10 yards to the WKU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
8.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by DJ JusteSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 20
OWN 10
-5
8.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Nicholas Norris) to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 25
OWN 5
+2
8.5%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 23
OWN 7
+5
8.8%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
8.8%
Jake Collins punt for 60 yds, downed at the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
9.0%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
8.9%
Jason Driskel run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
9.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-7
9.4%
Jason Driskel sacked by Chris Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+11
8.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 11 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
9.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 50 yds, downed at the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:5992% → 94%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
8.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
8.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+8
8.3%
Nicholas Norris run for 8 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
8.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
7.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
8.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
8.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 8 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+16
8.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
7.6%
Mike White sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+30
7.6%
Marquez Trigg run for 30 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
7.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quinton BakerSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
7.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-10
7.8%
Mike White sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 10 yards to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+45
6.3%
Skyler Simcox 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
7.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 3 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
7.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey III, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+20
7.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, RO (Omarius Bryant) to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
8.2%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
8.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Gregory Howell Jr., broken up by Keith BrownSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
7.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Keith BrownSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+2
7.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 49 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 2 yds to the WKent 9 Kylen Towner fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Jake StoshakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:238% → 8%
Q2 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
8.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
7.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
7.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey III, broken up by Martavius MimsSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
8.4%
G. Joseph 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
5.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
7.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
7.6%
Marcus Clark run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
7.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Keith BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
7.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
6.3%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
6.3%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-5
6.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Max Halpin) to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+7
6.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 7 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
6.6%
Jake Collins punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
7.2%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+8
7.3%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
7.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+11
7.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 11 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
8.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Mitchell for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
8.2%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
8.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to John Mitchell, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
7.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4896% → 98%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.3%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
4.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 16 yds Nicholas Norris fumbled, forced by Jalen Young, recovered by WKent Max Halpin for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
4.2%
Anthony Wales run for 30 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
4.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 4
OPP 27
-3
4.0%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+30
1.6%
Anthony Wales run for 30 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.0%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
2.8%
Daniel Parr run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
2.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1398% → 100%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+43
1.6%
Nicholas Norris run for 53 yds to the FLAATLANTC 27 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, IB (Taywan Taylor) to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
1.5%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+19
1.4%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 19 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
1.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
1.4%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
0.5%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:211% → 0%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
0.6%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
0.5%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
0.6%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
0.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 35 yds, downed at the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.5%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
0.5%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Jake Collins punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Nick Dawson-BrentsSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
0.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 27 Gregory Howell Jr. fumbled, forced by Daeshawn Bertram, recovered by WKent Daeshawn BertramSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
0.4%
Quinton Baker run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+8
0.4%
Lucky Jackson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
0.4%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
0.4%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
0.3%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 9 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.2%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+10
0.2%
Henry Bussey III run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
0.2%
Jay Warren run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
0.2%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
0.2%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 2
50
0
0.2%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.2%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
0.2%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-3
0.2%
Drew Eckels sacked by William Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Jake Collins punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Henry Bussey III at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
0.1%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+12
0.1%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Jason Johnson return for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 28TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
0.2%
Marquez Trigg run for 7 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-15
0.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Jimmie Sims) to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+74
0.2%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Stephon Brown for 74 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
0.1%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.1%
Stephon Brown run for no gain to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
0.1%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
0.1%
Marcus Clark run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+6
0.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to John Mitchell for 6 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Marcus ClarkSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.1%
Daniel Parr pass complete to James Brunson for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:51
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 65 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q3 5:53
Anthony Wales run for 30 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
-2.3
TD · Q1 1:18
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 54 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com