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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 42 at Florida International 35

FIU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:34 · Matt Bonadies punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior−29.3Home team on offense−4.2Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:35: Alex McGough run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +7.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:45: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +23.9 pts (now 50%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:58: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 52 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +23.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:43: Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +33.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:22: Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD D.J. Sanders return for 48 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +37.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 13:41FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:58MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:58FIU 4th & 6 at MTSU 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:42MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 20 at MTSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:34MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 27, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:52MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:24FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:49MTSU 4th & 5 at FIU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    79.0%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−1.3
    54% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:58FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−6.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−5.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:43MTSU 4th & 20 at FIU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−5.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:41MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:04MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:09MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 6:58FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 1:42FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:53MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:35FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:45FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:58MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:43FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.9
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:22MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1987% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
13.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 23 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
13.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 12 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
13.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
13.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
13.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 26 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
13.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
13.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+3
13.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
13.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:4286% → 87%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+40
14.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 40 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
13.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
13.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 19 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
13.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
13.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
13.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+27
13.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 58 yds , Richie James returns for 27 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:5387% → 88%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
13.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+25
13.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 25 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+26
13.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 26 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
12.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1111% → 14%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
11.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
11.2%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+19
11.3%
Anthony Jones run for 19 yds to the FLAINTL 45 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
11.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 18 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
14.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 27 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
13.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 16 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
13.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
13.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
13.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Anthony WintSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+18
13.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 18 yds to the FLAINTL 41 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Terelle West) to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 5:1614% → 17%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
14.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+15
14.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 15 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
14.4%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
14.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
14.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+8
14.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 8 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
14.4%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
14.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
17.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
16.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
16.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
16.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to I'Tavius MathersSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
16.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 54 yds, downed at the FlaIn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 0:2817% → 17%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
16.9%
Alex McGough run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
17.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Malik Manciel for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 11 Alex McGough fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+16
17.0%
Alex McGough run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
16.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+13
16.9%
Alex Gardner run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
17.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+16
18.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 16 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
18.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
18.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-10
17.9%
GARDNER, Alex rush for loss of 6 yards to the MT37 (SANDERS, DJ;MELTON, Chris), PENALTY FIU holding 10 yards to the MT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 41
0
17.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 41
0
16.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the MTnSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
18.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 15 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
18.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
17.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 27
0
18.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Max Linder for no gain to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
18.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
18.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+3
19.6%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
19.2%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
20.1%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlaIn 43 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Darius HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:4583% → 87%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
17.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
17.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+13
17.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
16.8%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
16.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
12.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1814% → 23%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+36
13.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 36 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
14.7%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+9
15.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
15.0%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
15.0%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
15.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
23.0%
Alex McGough run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
17.4%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the MTnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.0%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
20.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
20.0%
Maurice Alexander run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
20.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
21.5%
Maurice Alexander run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
21.7%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
21.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
50
-5
21.6%
Maurice Alexander sacked by D.J. Sanders for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
19.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 34 yds, downed at the MTnSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
20.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+10
20.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
19.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-1
18.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-2
19.1%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Jermaine Sheriff for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
21.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 32 yds, downed at the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
22.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
22.2%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+3
21.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
21.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 35 yds, downed at the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:5680% → 82%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
20.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+8
19.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
18.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
18.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to I'Tavius Mathers, broken up by Newton SalisburySimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
18.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
17.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, encroachment (Shakur Cooper) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
17.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Vontarius WestSimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
18.4%
Matt Bonadies punt for 19 yds, downed at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:5121% → 50%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
21.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
23.6%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
25.2%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
25.3%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
24.6%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
25.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 9 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-10
26.1%
JONES, Anthony rush for 17 yards to the MT11, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FIU holding (SAUNDERS, T.) 10 yards to the MT38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
24.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Raynard FeltonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+7
22.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 7 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+7
22.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
26.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Jovante MoffattSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
25.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Darrius Scott, broken up by Steven RhodesSimilar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+24
49.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4759% → 84%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
40.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
38.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 11 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
15.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 52 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 6:1520% → 59%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
20.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
20.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+13
19.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 13 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
21.6%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
24.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
50
0
24.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
50
0
23.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Anthony Jones, broken up by Tyshun RenderSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 10
50
+9
21.6%
Alex McGough run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
22.8%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
25.2%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+29
26.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 29 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
25.5%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.8%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
43.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 14 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
40.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 10 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
38.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
36.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
37.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
34.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Dennis AndrewsSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
35.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-15
36.9%
MATHERS, I. rush for no gain to the FIU24 (WILLIAMS, T.), PENALTY MT illegal block (JAMES, Richie) 15 yards to the FIU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 20
OPP 39
0
42.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Xavier HinesSimilar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 20
OPP 39
0
45.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:2654% → 16%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
53.5%
Alex Gardner run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+48
16.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD D.J. Sanders return for 48 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
13.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 12 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
14.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by D.J. SandersSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
13.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+6
13.0%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27 Alex Gardner fumbled, forced by Chris Melton, recovered by MTnSt Steven Rhodes , return for 6 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:22
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD D.J. Sanders return for 48 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-37.1
TD · Q4 5:43
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+33.3
TD · Q4 12:45
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+23.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com