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PV

Prairie View A&M 44 at Rice 65

RICE
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadPV aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scorePV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:51 · Austin Walter run for 13 yds to the PraVw 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Pregame prior+22.5Home team on offense+23.7Score differential+16.6Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:37: James Mayden pass complete to Tyler Stehling for 27 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +2.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:37: Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 46 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +4.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:07: Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 50 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:48: Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 62 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK) — PV win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:51: Jalen Morton pass complete to Quinton Bell for 47 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK) — PV win probability +2.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5PV made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:11RICE 4th & 14 at PV 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:31PV 4th & 9 at PV 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56PV 4th & 8 at PV 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:07PV 4th & 4 at PV 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:27PV 4th & 7 at RICE 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:17RICE 4th & 13 at PV 27, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:48RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 22, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:49PV 4th & 2 at PV 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:51RICE 4th & 1 at PV 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:26PV 4th & 10 at PV 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:35PV 4th & 2 at RICE 2, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:35RICE 4th & 7 at PV 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 9 of 9PV made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:25RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:11PV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:56RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:37RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:37RICE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:07RICE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:24RICE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:27PV Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:48PV Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:57RICE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 9:51PV Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 7:27RICE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 14:54RICE Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 8:35PV Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 1:37PV Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:3593% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
93.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Parker Smith for 45 yds to the PraVw 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
93.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 5 yds to the PraVw 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
93.1%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the PraVw 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
93.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+7
93.1%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the PraVw 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
93.1%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 6 yards to the PraVw 12 Jowan Davis fumbled, recovered by Rice Jowan DavisSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
92.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Austin Walter for 12 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
92.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 26 yds to the PraVw 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
92.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 18 yds to the PraVw 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
92.5%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the PraVw 39Similar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+8
92.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 8 yds to the PraVw 31Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-5
92.5%
RICE Penalty, false start (Nate German) to the PraVw 36Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+4
92.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 4 yds to the PraVw 32Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 13
OPP 32
-1
92.4%
Tyler Stehling run for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 33 Tyler Stehling fumbled, forced by Raleigh Johnson,Similar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 14
OPP 33
-6
92.3%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Arthur Lockett for a loss of 6 yards to the PraVw 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
90.8%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Joshua Simmons for 6 yds to the PraVw 45Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
90.7%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Joshua Simmons for a loss of 5 yards to the PraVw 40Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
90.9%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete, broken up by Graysen SchantzSimilar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1391% → 92%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
90.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 27 yds to the PraVw 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
90.9%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the PraVw 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
91.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the PraVw 31Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+31
91.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 31 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
91.5%
Jalen Morton run for 2 yds to the PraVw 29 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the PraVw 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
91.3%
Jalen Morton run for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 43Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-15
91.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the PraVw 28Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 26
OWN 28
+12
91.7%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Joshua Simmons for 12 yds to the PraVw 40Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 14
OWN 40
+6
91.7%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the PraVw 46Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
91.6%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 45 yds, downed at the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:5391% → 93%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
90.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
90.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Lance Wright for 9 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
90.7%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
90.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 17 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
90.9%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+8
91.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 8 yds to the PraVw 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.0%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the PraVw 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+21
91.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 21 yds to the PraVw 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
93.1%
James Mayden pass complete to Tyler Stehling for 27 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 8INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.2%
Jalen Morton run for 7 yds to the PraVw 32Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
92.0%
Sta'fon McCray run for 2 yds to the PraVw 34Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.1%
Sta'fon McCray run for 3 yds to the PraVw 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.1%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete, broken up by D Angelo EllisSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the PraVw 42Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
91.9%
Jalen Morton pass intercepted Emmanuel Ellerbee return for no gain to the PraVw 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
95.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 46 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 10INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.6%
Dawonya Tucker run for 3 yds to the PraVw 28Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
95.5%
Dawonya Tucker run for 2 yds to the PraVw 30Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.5%
Jalen Morton pass intercepted D Angelo Ellis return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
1 play · 50 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
50
+50
98.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 50 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Caleb Broach run for no gain to the PraVw 25Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Joshua Simmons for 8 yds to the PraVw 33Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
97.7%
Jalen Morton run for a loss of 2 yards to the PraVw 31Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+21
97.8%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICE 33 PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, personal foul (Sta'fon McCray) to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:3498% → 99%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
98.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 42 yds to the PraVw 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
98.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the PraVw 9Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
98.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the PraVw 4Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
J.T. Granato run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 11 yds to the PraVw 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
98.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Joshua Simmons for 7 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Tabari McGaskey) to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.8%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Joshua SimmonsSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Demarquo Lastrappe, broken up by Alex LyonsSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+39
98.6%
Jalen Morton run for 39 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.8%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
98.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 7 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
98.7%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
98.8%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Sonnie Williams) to the PraVw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
98.8%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Sonnie Williams) to the PraVw 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PraVw 27Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Nate German, broken up by Jalan ColemanSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Nate GermanSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
99.0%
Hayden Tobola 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 16END OF HALF
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
99.1%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 37 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
98.9%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+1
99.0%
Dawonya Tucker run for 1 yd to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+2
99.2%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Joshua Simmons for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 12
OPP 40
-15
99.2%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the PraVw 45Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 27
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete, broken up by Carl ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 17TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:121% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.2%
Caleb Broach run for 12 yds to the PraVw 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.1%
Jalen Morton run for 8 yds to the PraVw 38Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+62
96.2%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 62 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.3%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
97.3%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Nate German, broken up by Damond JacksonSimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
97.0%
Jack Fox punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.1%
Caleb Broach run for 8 yds to the PraVw 38Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Darius FloydSimilar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Sta'fon McCray run for no gain to the PraVw 38Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
97.1%
Sta'fon McCray run for no gain to the PraVw 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:1598% → 99%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Kylen GransonSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 38 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
99.4%
Terrence Singleton return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 21TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:061% → 3%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
99.5%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Demarquo Lastrappe for 19 yds to the PraVw 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.4%
Caleb Broach run for 13 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
97.0%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Quinton Bell for 47 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:2498% → 100%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+37
97.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 37 yds to the PraVw 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
97.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 9 yds to the PraVw 17Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+13
97.6%
Austin Walter run for 13 yds to the PraVw 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Caleb Broach run for 1 yd to the PraVw 26Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Quinton BellSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
99.6%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Demarquo Lastrappe for 19 yds to the PraVw 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Caleb Broach run for no gain to the PraVw 45Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Darius FloydSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Quinton BellSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Owen Hoolihan punt for 41 yds, downed at the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:21100% → 100%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
99.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+5
99.8%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 13 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+13
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 13 yds to the PraVw 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 10 yds to the PraVw 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 8 yds to the PraVw 25Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+7
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 7 yds to the PraVw 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the PraVw 12Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the PraVw 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the PraVw 7Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Austin Walter for 7 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 25TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 6:190% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Caleb Broach run for 9 yds to the PraVw 31Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Caleb Broach for 11 yds to the PraVw 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
99.9%
Caleb Broach run for 21 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Graysen Schantz) to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+15
99.9%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cole Thomas) to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Sta'fon McCray run for 5 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Darius Floyd run for 1 yd to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+8
99.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Demarquo Lastrappe for 8 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
99.8%
Jalen Morton run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.9%
Caleb Broach run for 7 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.8%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, false start (Josiah Freeman) to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Caleb Broach run for 5 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Dawonya Tucker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 7 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+16
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 16 yds to the PraVw 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the PraVw 44Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the PraVw 41Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the PraVw 39Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PraVw 44Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dominique Weaver at the PraVw 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 27TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 3:150% → 1%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
100.0%
Caleb Broach run for 1 yd to the PraVw 18Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Demarquo Lastrappe for 5 yds to the PraVw 23Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+14
100.0%
Caleb Broach run for 14 yds to the PraVw 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 11 yds to the PraVw 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 15 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Dawonya Tucker run for 5 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
99.4%
Dawonya Tucker run for 32 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.7%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the PraVw 42Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
99.7%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the PraVw 41Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the PraVw 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:37
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 46 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+4
TD · Q3 13:48
Jalen Morton pass complete to Darius Floyd for 62 yds for a TD, (Armaury Martinez KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q2 9:07
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Kylen Granson for 50 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com