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CLT

Charlotte 27 at Marshall 24

MRSH
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:05 · Kaare Vedvik punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Marsh 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+35.1Home team on offense−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:05: Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +2.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:24: Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 5 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:48: Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +6.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:26: Blake Brewer 25 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +3.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:32: Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +33.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:05MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 11, down 7
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:22CLT 4th & 7 at MRSH 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:10CLT 4th & 9 at MRSH 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:22MRSH 4th & 5 at CLT 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:22CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:28MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:20CLT 4th & 2 at MRSH 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:15MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42CLT 4th & 10 at MRSH 40, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%
    34% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:57CLT 4th & 6 at MRSH 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:26CLT 4th & 8 at MRSH 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−7.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:26MRSH 4th & 4 at CLT 41, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−1.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:37CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−2.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:51MRSH 4th & 19 at CLT 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    77.2%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 4 at MRSH 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−2.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:48MRSH 4th & 27 at CLT 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−4.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:51CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:14MRSH 4th & 14 at CLT 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−20.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−28.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:05CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:31MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:50MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:24MRSH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:48CLT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:32CLT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5513% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
87.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+43
87.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 43 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
87.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 6 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
87.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
87.0%
Austin Duke run for 6 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
87.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
87.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 7 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
85.1%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
85.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 9 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
85.0%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 11Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
85.0%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Marsh 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3MISSED FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:1116% → 17%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
84.0%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to FORD II, T.L. (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J), QB hurry by KELLER, Blake, PENALTY MAR pass interference (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J) 15 yards to the MAR33, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
84.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 12 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
84.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
84.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
84.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
83.5%
Stephen Muscarello 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jason Smith N/A return for no gain to the Marsh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5184% → 85%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
83.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 22 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
83.9%
Keion Davis run for 12 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
84.1%
Keion Davis run for 16 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
84.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 23 yds to the Charl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
84.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
84.2%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to MCMANUS, D. (COVINGTON, A.), PENALTY CHA pass interference (COVINGTON, A.) 5 yards to the CHA2, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.0%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
84.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 14 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
84.3%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
84.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+31
84.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Chris Jackson return for 31 yds to the Charl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 4 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:4014% → 17%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
85.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+33
85.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 33 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
85.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+3
85.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
85.3%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
85.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+12
85.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 12 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
84.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-2
84.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
85.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
83.2%
Blake Brewer 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:4684% → 87%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
83.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 9 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
84.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 4 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
83.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 14 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
84.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 14 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
84.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+12
84.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 12 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
84.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 9 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+7
84.1%
Hyleck Foster run for 7 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
84.1%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
84.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
84.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 3 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 5 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3614% → 21%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
85.6%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
85.4%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
85.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 9 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
85.2%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to DUKE, Austin, PENALTY MAR pass interference (GANT, Kendall) 15 yards to the MAR37, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+32
85.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 32 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:2683% → 85%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+19
82.5%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Larry Ogunjobi) to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
82.9%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
82.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
82.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
84.6%
Amoreto Curraj 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
83.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
83.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 12 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
83.4%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Blake Keller and Omari Cobb for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
84.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by C.J. ReavisSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-5
84.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+6
84.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
84.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 44 yds, downed at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
84.1%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
83.4%
Chase Litton sacked by Nick Cook for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-5
82.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (Kaare Vedvik) to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
82.9%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
81.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 3
50
+1
81.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
82.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2183% → 83%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
83.2%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 9Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 12
OWN 9
0
83.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+6
82.8%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
83.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:2517% → 15%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
50
+10
82.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 10 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
82.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for no gain to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
83.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
84.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
84.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Kendall GantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0885% → 86%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
85.4%
Chase Litton sacked by Tyriq Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+13
84.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 13 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
85.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 10 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
85.7%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Ed Rolle return for 21 yds to the Charl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FUMBLE
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
84.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 6 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
84.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
85.1%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+17
84.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 17 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
85.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-3
85.3%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
84.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
85.3%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to HUNT, Justin, PENALTY CHA pass interference (DAVIS, Kedrick) 15 yards to the CHA4, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael Clark, broken up by Kedrick DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
85.3%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds Keion Davis fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:4118% → 25%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
82.5%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Chris Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+27
82.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 27 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
81.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+15
80.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Kendall Gant) to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
80.3%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
80.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-2
80.1%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Nyquan Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+12
80.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 12 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
77.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+10
77.0%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to HOFFMAN, Kyle, QB hurry by BEE, Ryan, PENALTY MAR roughing passer (BEE, Ryan) 10 yards to the MAR9, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
77.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Marsh 8Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
75.0%
Blake Brewer 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh Knight, broken up by Ed RolleSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
78.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 18 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
81.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
81.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
80.5%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
79.4%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
76.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Kyle HoffmanSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-1
76.4%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
77.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Kalif PhillipsSimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
78.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:0082% → 77%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
81.5%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-5
81.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds to the Charl 21 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Knight) to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+4
81.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 4 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-10
80.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for no gain to the Charl 27 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (Clint Van Horn) to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+1
78.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 14
OPP 36
-5
77.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (Chase Litton) to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 19
OPP 41
0
77.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 7:2926% → 65%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
74.5%
Austin Duke run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+6
75.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+16
75.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 16 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
72.3%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+13
70.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 13 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
69.4%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
69.6%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
69.8%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+11
71.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 11 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
67.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 10 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
67.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+3
67.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+6
70.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
68.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.5%
PHILLIPS, Kalif rush for no gain to the MAR1 (HARRIS, Nyquan), PENALTY MAR offside (SMITH, Jason) 0 yards to the MAR1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
68.5%
Matt Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 3:4445% → 36%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
44.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 16 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
48.9%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 2
50
+10
50.7%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to MCMANUS, D., QB hurry by OGUNJOBI, Larry, PENALTY CHA holding (COVINGTON, A.) 10 yards to the CHA40, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
51.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
53.6%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
50.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
53.6%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to MCMANUS, D. for 8 yards to the CHA20 (ROLLE, Ed), PENALTY MAR personal foul (DOWREY, Jordan) 15 yards to the CHA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 25
OPP 43
-10
41.8%
DAVIS, Keion rush for 43 yards to the CHA0, clock 04:48, PENALTY MAR holding (BYRD, Emanuel) 10 yards to the MAR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 35
OWN 47
+7
40.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 7 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 28
OPP 46
+1
41.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 1 yd to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 27
OPP 45
0
39.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 27
OPP 45
0
36.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4772% → 73%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
27.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
28.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
25.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Chris Montgomery, broken up by Kendall GantSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 5
OWN 20
+10
26.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 10 yds to the Charl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:2339% → 25%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
39.3%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+19
39.2%
Keion Davis run for 19 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
41.9%
Chase Litton sacked by Larry Ogunjobi for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
38.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh Knight, broken up by Denzel IrvinSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 14
OPP 23
0
32.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
25.4%
Amoreto Curraj 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0387% → 86%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
13.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-2
12.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 15
OWN 18
-2
13.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:32
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
-33.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.8
TD · Q2 8:48
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com