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FIU

Florida International 27 at Charlotte 26

CLT
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+9.1CLT 94.6%Stephen Muscarello 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 26 · Q4 7:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:12 · Stephen Muscarello 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense+24.6Pregame prior−0.6Garbage-time factor+12.2Score differential+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:57: Hasaan Klugh run for 12 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +16.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:05: Robert Washington run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello PAT BLOCKED) — CLT win probability +12.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 7:12: Stephen Muscarello 32 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +9.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:21: Alex McGough pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +20.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:05: Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +59.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50CLT 4th & 1 at FIU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:18FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:00FIU 4th & 7 at CLT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:00CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:45FIU 4th & 4 at CLT 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:04CLT 4th & 6 at FIU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−6.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01FIU 4th & 4 at CLT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−2.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 7 at CLT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    51.4%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:32FIU 4th & 6 at CLT 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−12.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 8 at FIU 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−2.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:05FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−2.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:12CLT 4th & 5 at FIU 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:40CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:05CLT 4th & 1 at FIU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−13.0
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−36.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:18FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:10CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:57CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:05CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:21FIU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:05FIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−4.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
44.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
44.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 6 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-3
44.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
44.6%
Hayden Pezzoni punt for 22 yds, downed at the Charl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
44.9%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 40 Alex Gardner fumbled, recovered by Charl Brandon BanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
45.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
45.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+9
45.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 9 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
45.5%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 47Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+8
45.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
45.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
45.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
45.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-1
45.5%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+13
45.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 11 Kalif Phillips fumbled, forced by Vontarius West, recovered by FlaIn Newton SalisburySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
46.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Michael Montero) to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+7
46.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+10
46.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
46.1%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
46.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
46.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
46.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
47.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 33 Hasaan Klugh fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Imarjaye AlburySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:5355% → 58%
Q1 6:11
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+11
45.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
45.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
45.3%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
41.6%
Alex McGough run for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:0843% → 50%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
43.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
43.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+17
43.0%
Robert Washington run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
50
+22
44.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 22 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
44.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
44.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+6
44.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
44.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+8
44.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
44.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
50.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 12 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
46.5%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
47.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to A.J. Branisel, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
47.6%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Ben DeLuca return for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
49.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Emmanuel Lubin return for 33 yds to the Charl 31 Emmanuel Lubin fumbled, forced by Eugene German, recovered by FlaIn Xavier HinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:5955% → 52%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
45.5%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+10
45.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 10 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
45.3%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
45.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-3
46.0%
Tony Gaiter IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
47.6%
Austin Taylor 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.7%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
49.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
48.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
48.1%
Hayden Pezzoni punt for 32 yds, downed at the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:5154% → 55%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+46
46.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 46 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
45.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
45.2%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas (COVINGTON, A.), PENALTY CHA holding (COVINGTON, A.) 5 yards to the CHA4, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
45.2%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
45.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 6:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
45.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
44.8%
Austin Taylor 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 5:3546% → 53%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
46.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 14 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
46.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
48.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
48.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+18
47.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 18 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
49.0%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for 1 yard to the FIU35, out-of-bounds (JOHNSON, Tyree), PENALTY CHA holding (GERMAN, Eugene) 10 yards to the FIU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+4
47.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
50.2%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to KOFA, Workpeh for 18 yards to the FIU9 (LUBIN, Emmanuel;HINES, Xavier), PENALTY CHA ineligible downfield on pass (BROWN, Chris) 5 yards to the FIU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
49.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+7
48.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 7 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+9
48.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
50.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
50.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for no gain to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
47.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for no gain to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
52.7%
Stephen Muscarello 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:0353% → 53%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
47.1%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to GARDNER, Alex, QB hurry by BANKS, Brandon, PENALTY FIU holding (JOSEPH, Dieugot) 10 yards to the FIU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+19
47.9%
Alex Gardner run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+13
45.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
45.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+6
47.0%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-2
47.1%
Alex McGough sacked by Larry Ogunjobi and Brandon Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
45.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
44.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
44.6%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
45.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
44.9%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
43.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Kedrick DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
45.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
47.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Karrington KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1552% → 73%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
52.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
54.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.9%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
55.0%
Austin Duke run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+10
55.0%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to HOFFMAN, Kyle, PENALTY FIU holding (BROWN, Isaiah) 10 yards to the FIU37, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
55.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+22
56.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 22 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
72.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 12 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:2534% → 40%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
66.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
65.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-15
66.2%
McGOUGH, Alex pass complete to SMITH, Jonnu for 11 yards to the FIU43, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FIU pass interference (THOMAS, S.) 15 yards to the FIU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 24
OWN 17
+7
67.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+60
68.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 60 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
60.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+10
60.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
60.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 7Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
60.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 1 yd to the Charl 6Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex Gardner, broken up by Larry OgunjobiSimilar
Q3 2:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
60.0%
Austin Taylor 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:3266% → 66%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
66.1%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+9
67.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 9 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
68.3%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+15
66.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 15 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
69.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
69.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
69.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
66.4%
Hayden Pezzoni punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
64.6%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Ed Rolle return for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:5872% → 85%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
72.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 20 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
72.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.7%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
82.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
81.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Darrius Scott for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Nick CookSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
82.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-8
83.4%
Alex McGough sacked by Larry Ogunjobi for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+5
84.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 37 yds , Austin Duke returns for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:1186% → 95%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
85.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 3
50
+8
86.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
86.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 0
+5
84.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35 CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
85.6%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
86.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
86.4%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
86.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Robert WashingtonSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+5
85.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
94.6%
Stephen Muscarello 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:518% → 31%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
92.5%
McGOUGH, Alex sacked for loss of 7 yards to the FIU21 (OGUNJOBI, Larry), PENALTY CHA face mask (DUNCAN, Zach) 15 yards to the FIU43, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Tyriq HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
91.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+23
90.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 23 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
89.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
69.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 1:4188% → 92%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
87.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 8 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
90.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
90.9%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 13
OWN 28
0
93.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Xavier HinesSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
93.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 13
OWN 28
+8
92.3%
Hayden Pezzoni punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 45 , Thomas Owens returns for 8 yds to the Charl 36 CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Butler) to the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:3416% → 80%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
83.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 21 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
79.5%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to SCOTT, Darrius, PENALTY CHA pass interference (LYON, Nafees) 15 yards to the CHA9, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
19.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26MISSED FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 1:0043% → 29%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
43.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 16 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
47.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Treyvon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
44.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 13 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
49.1%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Marques Cheeks for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+10
44.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 10 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
37.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Kalif PhillipsSimilar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+49
28.7%
Blake Brewer 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
8.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:05
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-59.6
TD · Q4 4:21
Alex McGough pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-20.4
TD · Q3 8:57
Hasaan Klugh run for 12 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)
+16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com