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WKU

Western Kentucky 52 at Louisiana Tech 55

LT
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2016 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:42 · Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:39: Jarred Craft run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +13.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:50: Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +15.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:14: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 31 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +8.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:05: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +10.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:24: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 11 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +7.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:07WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:42WKU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.7%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:42WKU 4th & 2 at LT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−1.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−4.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:34WKU 4th & 2 at LT 9, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%−1.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−7.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:54LT 4th & 1 at LT 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.2%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:48WKU 4th & 20 at LT 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:44LT 4th & 13 at WKU 27, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:00LT 4th & 9 at WKU 37, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:00WKU 4th & 4 at LT 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−4.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:02LT 4th & 18 at LT 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:23LT 4th & 4 at LT 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:15WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:07LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:37LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:59WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:36LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 14:15WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 12:53LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:39LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:50LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:01LT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 6:14WKU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 14:05WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 7:24WKU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:4550% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
50.5%
Anthony Wales run for 13 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
50.5%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 8 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
50.5%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+7
50.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
50.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
-1
50.5%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+6
50.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
50.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
50.5%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
49.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0850% → 52%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.7%
Ryan Higgins run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+48
49.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 48 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
50.3%
Carlos Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+4
50.3%
Ryan Higgins run for 4 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
52.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 22 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
51.5%
Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 5 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
51.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Prince SamSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+7
51.8%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
51.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Jordan HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
51.5%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
51.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Stevie DonatellSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+16
51.9%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 16 yds to the WKent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:2353% → 57%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
52.6%
Ryan Higgins run for 3 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Omarius Bryant) to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
52.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 10 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
52.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
56.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:3846% → 50%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
53.9%
Anthony Wales run for 12 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.4%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2352% → 58%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
51.9%
Jarred Craft run for 15 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
52.6%
Ryan Higgins run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+6
52.9%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
50
+13
53.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
58.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 37 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:2144% → 50%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+24
56.1%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Deldrick Canty) to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
55.3%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+5
54.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 5 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
54.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 8 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
54.6%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
54.6%
Mike White sacked by Jordan Bradford for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+14
56.1%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 14 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
50.2%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2253% → 60%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
53.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
60.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 63 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 6:1942% → 42%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.9%
Nicholas Norris run for no gain to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
58.2%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+8
58.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 1
50
+2
60.0%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
58.9%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
59.0%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 8 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
59.0%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for no gain to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+12
60.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
58.0%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+1
58.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
59.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
57.7%
Skyler Simcox 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4059% → 59%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
59.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
59.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 9 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
59.9%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
58.9%
Kam McKnight run for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0044% → 40%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
56.2%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 16
OPP 46
0
57.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+23
58.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 23 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-7
54.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WKent Mike WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 17
OPP 30
-10
56.2%
WHITE, Mike pass complete to NORRIS, N. for no gain to the LATECH30 (GROGAN, Lloyd), PENALTY WKU holding (RAY, Brandon) 10 yards to the LATECH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 27
OPP 40
+7
57.4%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 7 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 20
OPP 33
0
58.0%
Mike White pass incomplete, broken up by Darryl LewisSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 20
OPP 33
0
60.1%
Jake Collins punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:1060% → 75%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
59.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 20 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
61.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 17 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.8%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
62.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+33
61.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 33 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
75.3%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:3527% → 28%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
73.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
72.4%
Mike White run for 3 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
72.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+17
72.7%
Anthony Wales run for 17 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
71.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 5:1073% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
73.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 4 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
73.1%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+14
72.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 14 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
73.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Joe Brown) to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
74.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
74.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+10
73.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Alfred Smith for 10 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
74.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 8 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+15
74.6%
Jarred Craft run for 15 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
74.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.5%
Ryan Higgins run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.2%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
87.7%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 22 Anthony Wales fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by LaTch Jaylon FergusonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3691% → 97%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
90.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+8
90.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
90.6%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the WKent 6Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
90.6%
HIGGINS, Ryan pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Trent, PENALTY WKU face mask (LESTON, Branden) 3 yards to the WKU3, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
90.6%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the WKent 2Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:474% → 12%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
96.0%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
95.8%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
95.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 11 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
95.9%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+31
87.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 31 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:3092% → 97%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
91.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
91.9%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
91.9%
Ryan Higgins run for 10 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
92.2%
SCOTT, Boston rush for no gain to the LATECH44 (GREENE, Drell), PENALTY LATECH IB (HOGAN, Frasier) 15 yards to the LATECH29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+9
91.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Boston Scott for 9 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+15
91.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 15 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+23
92.0%
Ryan Higgins run for 8 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Joe Brown) to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
92.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-10
92.3%
SCOTT, Boston rush for no gain to the WKU17 (GARDNER, Juwan;BERTRAM, D.), PENALTY LATECH holding (BRUNSON, Joseph) 10 yards to the WKU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
92.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
92.0%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
97.4%
Jonathan Barnes 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:393% → 14%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
97.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 14 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
97.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 17 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
97.3%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 15 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
97.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:0592% → 95%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+29
92.4%
Jarred Craft run for 29 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.8%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
92.7%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
92.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+54
95.4%
Jonathan Barnes 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:365% → 13%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
95.0%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+18
95.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
94.8%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+13
94.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
94.4%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 6 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
94.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quinton BakerSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
94.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+10
94.9%
Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 10 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
94.1%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
94.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+11
86.7%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 11 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT TD
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:2290% → 70%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
90.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
90.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 4 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-15
90.0%
HIGGINS, Ryan rush for no gain to the WKU44, out-of-bounds, PENALTY LATECH tripping (CRAFT, Jarred) 15 yards to the LATECH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 18
OWN 41
0
88.8%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+6
69.6%
Logan McPherson punt blocked by Shaquille Johnson blocked by Shaquille Johnson Kylen Towner return for 6 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
13 plays · 18 yds · 2:3973% → 87%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 8 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-9
74.7%
CRAFT, Jarred rush for 6 yards to the LATECH39 (JOHNSON, Jason;WHYTE, Masai), PENALTY LATECH IB (TAYLOR, Trent) 9 yards to the LATECH24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
72.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Drell GreeneSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
75.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 13 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
79.9%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+12
83.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 12 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-3
87.5%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
86.8%
Logan McPherson punt for 36 yds, downed at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
87.5%
Mike White sacked by Aaron Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 21 Mike White fumbled, recovered by LaTch Jaylon Ferguson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3291% → 95%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
90.6%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the WKent 20Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
90.6%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the WKent 20Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-1
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:50
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+15.8
TD · Q2 0:39
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q4 14:05
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com