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FIU

Florida International 35 at UTEP 21

UTEP
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:17 · Alan Luna punt for 51 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.5Pregame prior+4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:23: A.J. Branisel 1 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick) — FIU win probability +8.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:13: Thomas Owens 8 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick) — FIU win probability +16.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:41: Aaron Jones 1 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +18.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q3 1:59: Thomas Owens 23 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Alex McGough Pass to Stantley Thomas for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +21.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:26: Alex Gardner 9 Yd Run (Austin Taylor Kick) — FIU win probability +9.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:12UTEP 4th & 17 at FIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43FIU 4th & 3 at UTEP 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at UTEP 48, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:52UTEP 4th & 3 at FIU 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:17UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:09FIU 4th & 5 at UTEP 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:07UTEP 4th & 1 at FIU 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−1.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:38UTEP 4th & 19 at FIU 43, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:09UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 37, down 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:02FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−1.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:21UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:51UTEP 4th & 10 at FIU 12, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:26FIU 4th & 7 at UTEP 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:26UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:03FIU 4th & 14 at UTEP 33, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:40UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:23FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:13FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:41UTEP Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:59FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:26FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:51UTEP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:4858% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.0%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
58.0%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
58.0%
JONES,Aaron rush over left guard for loss of 3 yards to the UTEP30 (ALBURY, I.), PENALTY FIU face mask (ALBURY, I.) 15 yards to the UTEP48, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
58.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Tyler Batson for 31 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
58.0%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
58.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-7
58.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
58.1%
Jay Mattox 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:2942% → 42%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
58.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+14
58.0%
Alex Gardner run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
57.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
57.8%
McGOUGH, Alex deep pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (ROGERS, Justin) 15 yards to the UTEP40, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
57.7%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
57.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
57.7%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
57.6%
Austin Taylor 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0358% → 61%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.6%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
57.8%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
57.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Cole Freytag for 10 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
58.2%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-4
57.9%
Warren Redix run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+14
57.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Cole Freytag for 14 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
60.8%
Aaron Jones run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
60.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+13
60.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
59.7%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
59.8%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
60.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
60.4%
Kevin Dove run for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
60.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Quadraiz WadleySimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
59.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
59.6%
Alan Luna punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3840% → 39%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
60.4%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-5
59.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
59.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
59.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-3
60.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 18
OWN 38
-7
60.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Lawrence Montegut and Nick Usher for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 25
OWN 31
+21
61.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 21 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
61.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
60.8%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
61.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
60.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Cole Freytag for 8 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
61.0%
Kevin Dove run for 14 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
62.0%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
61.9%
Walter Dawn run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
61.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
61.2%
Alan Luna punt for 17 yds, downed at the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 4:0538% → 49%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
61.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 12 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+40
60.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 40 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
59.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+8
59.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+10
60.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.4%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.9%
A.J. Branisel 1 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
54.5%
Kevin Dove run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-11
54.3%
Zack Greenlee sacked by Marques Cheeks and Fermin Silva for a loss of 11 yards to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+7
53.3%
Darrin Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+14
53.0%
Alan Luna punt for 51 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1249% → 56%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
51.4%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
51.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 5
50
+14
51.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 14 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
51.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to A.J. Branisel for 24 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
50.2%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
50.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+3
51.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 3 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
43.7%
Austin Taylor 24 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11DOWNS
15 plays · 26 yds · 1:2648% → 46%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
48.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Cole Freytag for 24 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
51.0%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
50.6%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 15
50
+5
48.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 5 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+9
49.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 9 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
48.5%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
51.4%
GREENLEE, Zack deep pass complete to SINEGAL, Eddie for 34 yards to the FIU0, clock 00:38, PENALTY UTEP holding (GATEWOOD,Derron) 10 yards to the FIU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 20
OPP 44
0
47.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+1
47.8%
Darrin Laufasa run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 19
OPP 43
0
46.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
45.6%
Zack Greenlee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4756% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
43.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
43.3%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
42.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+28
42.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 28 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
41.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
41.2%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
40.9%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+10
40.9%
Alex Gardner run for 10 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
40.9%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UTEP 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
40.9%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
24.2%
Thomas Owens 8 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
30.4%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
30.3%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Eddie Sinegal, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
29.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 7 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
30.0%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
25.4%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
25.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
25.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Alvin JonesSimilar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+19
26.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 19 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3430% → 48%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+42
29.9%
Eddie Sinegal run for 42 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.2%
Aaron Jones 1 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4262% → 86%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.4%
Anthony Jones run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
37.0%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
35.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
36.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 10 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
35.2%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+9
35.0%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
34.7%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
34.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+12
35.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 12 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
13.8%
Thomas Owens 23 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Alex McGough Pass to Stantley Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
20.0%
Cole Freytag run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-3
20.2%
Zack Greenlee pass intercepted Stantley Thomas return for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 2:3285% → 97%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+33
15.3%
Alex Gardner run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
14.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+48
12.9%
Anthony Jones run for 48 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
12.3%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
2.8%
Alex Gardner 9 Yd Run (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
3.7%
Zack Greenlee run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+11
3.7%
Aaron Jones run for 11 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+10
3.7%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 10 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Eddie SinegalSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
3.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
3.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Cole Freytag, broken up by Xavier HinesSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+13
3.7%
Alan Luna punt for 38 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 13 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
2.1%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Justin Rogers return for 26 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:014% → 10%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
3.8%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+22
3.8%
JOHNSON,Kavika rush over right tackle for 10 yards to the FIU24 (HINES, Xavier;SPENCE, S.), PENALTY FIU face mask (WILLIAMS, T.) 22 yards to the FIU12, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
4.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-1
4.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
3.7%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+12
9.5%
Cole Freytag 12 Yd pass from Zack Greenlee (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22MISSED FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:2593% → 97%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.2%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
7.3%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
7.7%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
6.8%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
6.8%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
7.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
50
+14
6.6%
Anthony Jones run for 14 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
6.6%
Alex Gardner run for 16 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
6.6%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-5
6.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Neal Mars) to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
6.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Justin RogersSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+7
7.1%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
3.0%
Austin Taylor 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jaquan White, broken up by Shermarke SpenceSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
3.0%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jaquan White for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
3.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
3.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4998% → 98%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
1.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
2.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
2.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+11
2.1%
Anthony Jones run for 11 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
1.1%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Eddie SinegalSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+10
1.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Kent Taylor for 10 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
1.1%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Warren Redix for 9 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+8
1.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Warren Redix for 8 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
1.2%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 27 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.5%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Eddie Sinegal, broken up by Davison ColimonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:59
Thomas Owens 23 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Alex McGough Pass to Stantley Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)
-21.9
TD · Q3 5:41
Aaron Jones 1 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)
+18.3
TD · Q3 9:13
Thomas Owens 8 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick)
-16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com