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CLT

Charlotte 28 at Florida Atlantic 23

FAU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2016 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:51: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 69 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +5.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:53: Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +7.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:23: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 37 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +13.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:12: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Justin Bolus for 3 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +17.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:28: Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FAU win probability +16.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:09FAU 4th & 10 at CLT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54FAU 4th & 4 at CLT 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:51FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:43CLT 4th & 4 at FAU 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:53CLT 4th & 1 at FAU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−2.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at FAU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−4.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:12FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:24CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:47CLT 4th & 27 at CLT 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−9.4
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:33FAU 4th & 15 at CLT 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:28CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.9 ptsPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:47FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 48, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:17CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:51CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:53FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:23CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:12CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:28FAU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:5181% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
81.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
81.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 9 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
81.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 15 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
81.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 3 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+14
81.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 14 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
81.3%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
81.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+3
81.3%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
81.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
80.5%
Greg Joseph 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
80.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
80.5%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
80.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
80.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Nick CarrollSimilar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
80.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-5
80.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
80.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 38 yds, downed at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:2020% → 24%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
79.8%
Austin Duke run for 8 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
79.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
79.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+28
79.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 28 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
79.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 30 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
79.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
79.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:2377% → 79%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
76.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
77.4%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+13
76.8%
PARR, Daniel pass incomplete to WOODS, Kalib, PENALTY CHA pass interference (DELUCA, Ben) 13 yards to the CHA48, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
77.6%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kalib Woods for 10 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
77.7%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
77.6%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Gregory Howell Jr., broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+12
77.3%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kalib Woods for 12 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
77.9%
Daniel Parr run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-1
77.9%
Daniel Parr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+12
77.5%
Jason Driskel run for 12 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
77.9%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
77.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
77.5%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
78.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
78.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 6 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
78.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for no gain to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
77.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 35 yds, downed at the Charl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 2:2323% → 28%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
77.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 10 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
77.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
77.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
77.1%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
71.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 69 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Kedrick DavisSimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
72.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
71.7%
Dalton Schomp punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
71.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 16 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
70.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
70.1%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-1
70.1%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
71.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 95 yds · 5:1269% → 79%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
68.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+17
69.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 17 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
69.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+14
69.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 14 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
71.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-4
71.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+15
69.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 15 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
72.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+12
72.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 12 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
72.9%
DRISKEL, Jason pass incomplete to MITCHELL, John (DAVIS, Kedrick), PENALTY CHA pass interference (DAVIS, Markevis) 15 yards to the CHA13, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
71.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 7 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
71.7%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:3024% → 40%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+19
75.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 19 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
73.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
73.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
73.7%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
74.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
59.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 37 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
65.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 13 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
67.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
66.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Gregory Howell Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4837% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
62.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 23 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
60.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
60.4%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
60.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+5
62.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
60.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 12 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
59.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+2
59.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+10
60.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
59.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
59.3%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
41.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Justin Bolus for 3 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
42.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
42.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris Harrison, broken up by Kedrick DavisSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
42.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
41.7%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+2
41.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for 2 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
42.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Robert WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+6
43.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 49 yds , Jalen Young returns for 6 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:0041% → 45%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
40.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
42.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
43.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
43.3%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
43.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 14 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
45.3%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Ben DeLuca return for no gain to the Charl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -17 yds · 1:2662% → 61%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
37.6%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Hunter Snyder for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 10Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+8
37.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-13
37.4%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 13 yards to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 23
OWN 5
-2
39.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Denzel Irvin) to the Charl 3Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 25
OWN 3
-2
39.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Denzel Irvin) to the Charl 1Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 27
OWN 1
+14
39.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 55 yds , Jalen Young returns for 14 yds to the Charl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0039% → 34%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
38.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-10
37.8%
WHYTE, Kerrith rush for 9 yards to the CHA35 (MCDONALD, AJ), PENALTY FAU holding (CAMERON, Tyler) 10 yards to the FAU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+5
35.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 17
OPP 49
+2
35.7%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 2 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
34.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19INT
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:1768% → 75%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
31.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 14 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
31.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
29.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+5
29.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
26.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+11
26.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 11 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
25.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Anthony Hamilton return for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:2628% → 49%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
27.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
27.3%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 15 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
29.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 14 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
32.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
32.8%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+11
30.2%
Daniel Parr pass complete to Kalib Woods for 11 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
33.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+4
33.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
31.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
33.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
33.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 3Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
49.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
33.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
33.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
34.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
39.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
42.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
42.3%
Daniel Parr pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+3
38.9%
Daniel Parr run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
38.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23FUMBLE
15 plays · 58 yds · 3:4372% → 89%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
27.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 9 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+7
26.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
26.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-1
24.3%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
25.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
24.3%
Robert Washington run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
13.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
13.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+8
9.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
9.7%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+4
9.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+1
10.8%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 28 Robert Washington fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by FlAtl Trey HendricksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24END OF HALF
9 plays · 72 yds · 0:3412% → 12%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
11.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
11.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 6 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
10.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
11.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+23
10.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 23 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
12.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
12.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
11.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:12
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Justin Bolus for 3 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q4 9:28
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+16
TD · Q2 0:23
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 37 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com