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UTEP

UTEP 7 at Louisiana Tech 28

LT
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:50 · Alan Luna punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+37.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00: UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 10 — LT win probability +3.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:55: Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 10 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +11.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 5 yds to the LaTch 30 — LT win probability +3.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:11: Jarred Craft run for 70 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:29: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +2.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:50UTEP 4th & 18 at UTEP 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:19UTEP 4th & 9 at LT 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:25LT 4th & 8 at LT 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:43UTEP 4th & 22 at UTEP 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:58LT 4th & 10 at UTEP 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:06LT 4th & 2 at LT 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:35LT 4th & 9 at LT 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:54UTEP 4th & 8 at LT 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:11UTEP 4th & 4 at LT 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:19LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:02LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:55UTEP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:11LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:29LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:1011% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
88.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+3
88.9%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
88.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 24 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
88.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
88.9%
Kavika Johnson run for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-10
87.9%
METZ,Ryan rush for no gain to the LATECH49 (FARRIS, Russell), PENALTY UTEP holding (GATEWOOD,Derron) 10 yards to the UTEP41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 18
OWN 41
0
88.0%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
88.1%
Alan Luna punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaTch 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:4288% → 89%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
87.8%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
87.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 7 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
87.8%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
87.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+11
88.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
88.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 37 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
88.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 17 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
88.1%
Aaron Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
88.0%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+32
88.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 32 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
87.8%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
87.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
87.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Lloyd GroganSimilar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
88.1%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 4:1988% → 90%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
87.8%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+21
87.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 21 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
87.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 12 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
88.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 9 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
88.1%
Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
88.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+16
88.2%
Jarred Craft run for 16 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
90.4%
Ryan Higgins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:0211% → 11%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.5%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
89.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
89.4%
Ryan Metz run for 13 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
89.1%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
89.1%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
89.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
89.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
89.1%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
88.7%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for no gain to the LaTch 8Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+7
89.5%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
90.3%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
90.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Alfred Smith for 6 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 17
-7
90.2%
MCKNIGHT, K. rush for 3 yards to the LATECH20 (USHER,Nick), PENALTY LATECH holding (WOODALL, Alex) 7 yards to the LATECH10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
90.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Jarred Craft, broken up by Justin RogersSimilar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+45
89.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 45 yds , Terry Juniel returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.6%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
89.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 4
50
+6
89.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 6 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
89.3%
METZ,Ryan pass complete to PLINKE,Hayden for no gain to the LATECH44 (GROGAN, Lloyd), PENALTY UTEP IB (WADLEY,Quadraiz) 15 yards to the UTEP41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 25
OWN 41
+6
89.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 19
OWN 47
-10
89.9%
Ryan Metz sacked by Deldrick Canty for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 29
OWN 37
+7
90.0%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 22
OWN 44
+12
90.1%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 12 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
90.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
90.7%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
90.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Alfred Smith) to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
90.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Jarred Craft, broken up by Nick UsherSimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+19
90.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 19 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
90.9%
Rhashid Bonnette run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+1
90.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Jarred Craft, broken up by Christian RichardsonSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
90.1%
Gerald Shouse punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 69 yds · 1:2710% → 9%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
90.5%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
90.4%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
90.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 6 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
90.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+6
90.1%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
90.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
90.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Eddie Sinegal, broken up by DaMarion KingSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+42
91.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 42 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5491% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
90.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
89.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+14
89.1%
Ryan Higgins run for 14 yds to the LaTch 33 Ryan Higgins fumbled, forced by Brian Madunezim, recovered by LaTch Ryan Higgins , return for no gain to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
89.0%
Gerald Shouse punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5311% → 9%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
89.4%
Aaron Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
88.8%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
89.0%
Ryan Metz sacked by Aaron Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+1
89.5%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+3
91.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
91.0%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds, downed at the LaTch 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
91.7%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Justin RogersSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
91.7%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+11
91.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
91.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 1 yd to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
91.8%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Conner Smith, broken up by Dashone SmithSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
91.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
91.0%
Logan McPherson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13TD
16 plays · 58 yds · 7:599% → 19%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
90.8%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 2
50
0
90.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Darrin Laufasa, broken up by Deldrick CantySimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 2
50
+3
90.5%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
90.2%
Ryan Metz run for 10 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
90.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+10
90.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 10 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 29
-5
90.0%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+11
91.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 11 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
89.3%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
89.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+9
90.0%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 9 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.3%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the LaTch 7Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.3%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
93.2%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
81.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 10 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4488% → 96%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
95.8%
Jarred Craft run for 70 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
94.2%
Walter Dawn run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
94.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Aaron Jones for 8 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
94.0%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+29
94.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 29 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
92.8%
Ryan Metz sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+4
93.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 4 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+12
94.2%
Ryan Metz run for 12 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 4
OPP 22
0
93.9%
Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 7:3197% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
96.5%
Jarred Craft run for 13 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
96.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
96.9%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
96.9%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
96.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
96.9%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+12
96.8%
Jarred Craft run for 12 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
97.0%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
97.0%
Ryan Higgins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
97.0%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
97.0%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Cole Freytag for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+21
99.5%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Cole Freytag for 21 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.4%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 14 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
99.3%
Zack Greenlee pass complete to Eddie Sinegal for 19 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the LaTch 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaTch Ka'Derrion MasonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 1 yd to the LaTch 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:55
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 10 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q4 14:11
Jarred Craft run for 70 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+7.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 10
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com