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FAU

Florida Atlantic 31 at Florida International 33

FIU
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:06 · Alex Gardner run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+17.0+8.50−8.5−17.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:38: Jason Driskel pass complete to Marcus Clark for 9 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +13.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:08: Anthony Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +12.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 11:45: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT BLOCKED) — FIU win probability +19.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:17: Devin Singletary 1 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick) — FAU win probability +13.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:14: Austin Taylor 32 Yd Field Goal — FIU win probability +12.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:03FAU 4th & 6 at FIU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:39FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:03FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:32FIU 4th & 1 at FAU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−1.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:32FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:08FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:15FAU 4th & 3 at FIU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.8
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:58FIU 4th & 8 at FAU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−10.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 6 at FIU 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−1.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:14FIU 4th & 8 at FAU 15, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−3.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−16.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:14FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−1.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:11FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 48, up 2
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:57FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 20, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:25FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:03FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:32FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:38FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:42FAU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:08FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:45FIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:17FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:3559% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
41.1%
Jason Driskel run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
41.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 68 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2241% → 44%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.1%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
41.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
41.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 17 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
41.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
41.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
41.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+6
41.1%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
41.1%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
41.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
41.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
41.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+17
43.7%
Alex McGough run for 17 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
42.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-5
42.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+13
42.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 13 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
42.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
42.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+13
42.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 13 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
42.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
42.3%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
42.3%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-5
42.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
42.7%
Dalton Schomp punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
44.0%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
44.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Trey HendricksonSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
43.6%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
43.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 55 yds, downed at the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
44.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
44.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
44.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Gregory Howell Jr.Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+5
45.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 64 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:0645% → 45%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
45.0%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas, dropped pass, PENALTY FAU holding (LEWIS, Shelton) 10 yards to the FIU25, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
45.1%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
44.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.9%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-4
46.3%
Alex McGough sacked by DJ Juste for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+1
45.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 1 yd to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
44.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
44.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
43.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
43.7%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
44.3%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
45.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 4:3246% → 56%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
46.2%
Anthony Jones run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
47.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
47.8%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
47.1%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
48.1%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
47.9%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
47.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+35
55.9%
Alex McGough run for 35 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.8%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
54.3%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
54.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tyler Cameron, broken up by Newton SalisburySimilar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
55.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
57.2%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-5
58.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
57.3%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
56.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
55.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for no gain to the FlAtl 24 Henry Bussey III fumbled, forced by TEAM,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:2643% → 60%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
57.5%
Jason Driskel run for 17 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
55.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Gregory Howell Jr. for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
55.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
54.6%
Kamrin Solomon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
55.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+7
54.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
53.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Raine for 20 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
53.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
39.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Marcus Clark for 9 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
48.7%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
48.9%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Jalen Young return for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4759% → 61%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
41.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
41.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tyler CameronSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
39.0%
Greg Joseph 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
41.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+31
39.9%
Alex Gardner run for 31 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+30
30.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Azeez Al-Shaair return for 30 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3430% → 45%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
30.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 14:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+40
29.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 40 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
32.4%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+15
32.4%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to THOMAS, S., PENALTY FAU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Raekw) 15 yards to the FAU12, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
32.4%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
32.4%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
45.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
40.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26 Gregory Howell Jr. fumbled, forced by Anthony Wint, recovered by FlaIn Fermin SilvaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
59.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:2847% → 66%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
52.6%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
50.6%
Jason Driskel run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
50.7%
Devin Singletary run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
49.8%
Devin Singletary run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
48.1%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+6
48.1%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
48.1%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
48.1%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.1%
Devin Singletary 1 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:1941% → 48%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
41.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
42.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 30 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
47.7%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
47.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
45.4%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
47.7%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
47.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
45.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
48.2%
Austin Taylor 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:5857% → 59%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
42.7%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+9
41.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 9 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
40.7%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
40.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
40.9%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
40.2%
Jason Driskel sacked by Fermin Silva and Imarjaye Albury for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-2
40.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+7
42.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 7 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
41.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:0647% → 63%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
47.1%
Anthony Jones run for 35 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
53.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+9
53.1%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
53.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
53.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
50.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
63.1%
Austin Taylor 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
59.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Tyler CameronSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+5
60.3%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+33
60.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 33 yds , Thomas Owens returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
62.7%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
64.3%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
64.4%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
65.8%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-1
66.2%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
64.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
61.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
61.3%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
61.6%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
62.7%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
64.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26END OF GAME
15 plays · 48 yds · 3:5668% → 82%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
68.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 14 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
70.8%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
72.1%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
72.5%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-4
72.9%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+14
68.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 14 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
73.3%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+2
79.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
82.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
84.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-3
84.3%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-3
81.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:45
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT BLOCKED)
+19.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+18.2
TD · Q3 8:17
Devin Singletary 1 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com