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Florida Atlantic 7 at Kansas State 63

KSU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:54 · Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:23: Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:41: Winston Dimel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:10: Winston Dimel run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:53: Jesse Ertz 12 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick) — KSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:02: Winston Dimel 1 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick) — KSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 4 at KSU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:23FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:53FAU 4th & 16 at KSU 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:25KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:02FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:46KSU 4th & 6 at FAU 41, up 35
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:11FAU 4th & 18 at FAU 3, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:19KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 28, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:39FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 28, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:53KSU 4th & 27 at KSU 24, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:44FAU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:10FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:10FAU 4th & 22 at FAU 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:23KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:41KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:10KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:02KSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
91.0%
Jason Driskel run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
91.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 11 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Kendall Adams) to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
91.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+7
91.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 7 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
91.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
91.0%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+4
91.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 4 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
91.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
18 plays · 89 yds · 7:3790% → 90%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
90.2%
Jesse Ertz run for 7 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+6
90.2%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
90.2%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Winston Dimel for 5 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
90.2%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+11
90.2%
Jesse Ertz run for 11 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
90.3%
Ertz, Jesse rush for 6 yards to the KS48 (SMITH, Rashad), PENALTY KS holding (Mitchell, Tyler) 10 yards to the KS32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
90.2%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+9
90.2%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+20
90.2%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 20 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
90.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+9
90.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 9 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
90.4%
Justin Silmon run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+8
90.3%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
90.4%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-2
88.6%
Winston Dimel run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-4
88.5%
Jesse Ertz run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 10 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Deante Burton) to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
89.7%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.3%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
89.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
89.3%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
89.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4289% → 91%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
89.2%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 11 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.4%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Winston DimelSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
89.4%
Dalvin Warmack run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
50
+43
89.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for 43 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.2%
Winston Dimel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
90.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
90.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+15
90.6%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Kendall Adams return for 15 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.1%
Winston Dimel run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
93.5%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 7 Jason Driskel fumbled, recovered by KanSt Colby Moore , return for 20 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0794% → 96%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
93.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
96.3%
Jesse Ertz 12 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
95.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
96.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 22 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-6
95.9%
Jason Driskel sacked by Colby Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 48 Jason Driskel fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
96.1%
Dalton Schomp punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Byron Pringle at the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:4097% → 97%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
96.5%
Justin Silmon run for 13 yds to the KanSt 26 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Deante Burton) to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 7
OWN 16
-5
96.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Dayton Valentine) to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 7
OWN 16
+9
96.5%
Jesse Ertz run for 9 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.5%
Ertz, Jesse pass incomplete to Zuber, Isaiah, PENALTY FAU DPI (LEWIS, Shelton) 15 yards to the KS40, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 12
OWN 11
+5
96.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive offside (Jacob Douglas) to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.9%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
96.9%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
96.8%
Jesse Ertz sacked by Shelton Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
96.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 54 yds, downed at the FlAtl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
97.2%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+7
97.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-10
97.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 21 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+2
97.2%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 14
OWN 13
-12
97.2%
Jason Driskel sacked by Tanner Wood for a loss of 12 yards to the FlAtl 1 Jason Driskel fumbled, recovered by KanSt Will Geary , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Winston Dimel 1 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
98.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 39 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 33 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.4%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
98.4%
Alex Barnes run for 22 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.5%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
98.5%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dayton ValentineSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Henry Bussey III at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 3 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-11
99.0%
Jason Driskel sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 11 yards to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 18
OWN 3
+4
99.1%
Dalton Schomp punt for 48 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 4 yds to the KanSt 7 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.0%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+15
99.0%
Ertz, Jesse pass incomplete to Burton, Deante, PENALTY FAU personal foul (HENDRICKSON, Tr) 15 yards to the FAU39, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+36
99.0%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 36 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.4%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 0
0
99.5%
Ertz, Jesse pass incomplete to Heath, D., PENALTY KS illegal motion off-setting, PENALTY FAU DPI off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+12
99.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 12 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 10 yds to the KANSASST 45 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (Kalib Woods) to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted DJ Reed return for no gain to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.6%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-4
99.6%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+12
99.6%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Charles Jones for 12 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 28
-2
99.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 50 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Devin Singletary for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+44
99.7%
Dalton Schomp punt for 44 yds , Byron Pringle returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
Dalvin Warmack run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+8
99.7%
Dalvin Warmack run for 8 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
99.7%
Warmack, Dalvin rush for no gain to the KS41 (WILLIAMS, Raekw), PENALTY KS holding (Najvar, Reid) 10 yards to the KS31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 20
OWN 31
-8
99.7%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 28
OWN 23
+5
99.6%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 23
OWN 28
-4
99.7%
Alex Delton sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 27
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 11:041% → 0%
Q2 0:26
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+3
99.3%
Winston Dimel 3 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 0:060% → 0%
Q3 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+75
99.8%
Dominique Heath 75 Yd Punt Return (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon, broken up by DJ ReedSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Antonyo Woods) to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 15
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Nate Terry for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 2
50
+6
99.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+39
99.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 39 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25FUMBLE
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 10 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 8 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.8%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
99.8%
Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
Alex Barnes run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
99.8%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+9
99.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 9 yds Isaiah Harris fumbled, forced by Ocie Rose, recovered by FlAtl Herb MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q4 14:57
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+1
99.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. 1 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+9
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 6 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
99.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+12
99.9%
Alex Delton run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Daniel Parr pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-12
99.9%
Daniel Parr sacked by Ray Price for a loss of 12 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 22
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 45 yds, downed at the KanSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 29TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 8:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+9
99.9%
Alex Delton 9 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
99.9%
Alex Barnes run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+9
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 9 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Daniel Parr pass complete to John Mitchell for 4 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+10
100.0%
Devin Singletary run for 10 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:10
Winston Dimel run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q2 14:53
Jesse Ertz 12 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)
+2.4
TD · Q1 1:41
Winston Dimel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com