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UTEP

UTEP 7 at Texas 41

TEX
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:39 · Alan Luna punt for 39 yds, downed at the Texas 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+27.3Home team on offense+11.5Score differential+5.1Blowout margin+0.9Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:28: Aaron Jones run for 51 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +3.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 4:42: Trent Domingue 43 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +1.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:22: Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 8 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +3.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:09: Chris Warren III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:07: Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 46 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:19UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:09UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:11UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:44TEX 4th & 6 at UTEP 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:16UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:39TEX 4th & 5 at UTEP 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:53TEX 4th & 25 at TEX 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:42TEX 4th & 3 at UTEP 26, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:34UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:48TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:39UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 13, down 13
    Close callPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:33TEX 4th & 1 at UTEP 43, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:32UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:38UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 48, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:24TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:35UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 45, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:01UTEP 4th & 18 at UTEP 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:47TEX 4th & 22 at TEX 24, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:57UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:32TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:28UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:22TEX Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:09TEX Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:07TEX Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:30TEX Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:234% → 5%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
95.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
95.6%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Cole Freytag, broken up by Sheroid EvansSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+9
95.4%
Alan Luna punt for 32 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for 9 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:3295% → 95%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.4%
Chris Warren III run for 9 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+10
95.4%
Shane Buechele run for 10 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
95.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 9 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+7
95.3%
Chris Warren III run for 7 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
95.3%
Shane Buechele run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
95.2%
Chris Warren III run for 2 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:035% → 5%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.0%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
94.9%
Walter Dawn run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
94.8%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Leon Hayes, broken up by Malik JeffersonSimilar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+41
94.8%
Alan Luna punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Boyd) to the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:3195% → 95%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
94.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 6 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+25
94.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 10 yds to the TEXAS 44 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Gino Bresolin) to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
95.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 29 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:585% → 5%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
95.0%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-3
94.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+5
94.8%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Warren Redix for 5 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+48
94.8%
Alan Luna punt for 38 yds, downed at the 50 yard line TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Boyd) to the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:2295% → 95%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
94.8%
Chris Warren III run for 14 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
94.8%
Chris Warren III run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
94.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+2
94.7%
Chris Warren III run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
94.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 41 yds, downed at the UTEP 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:286% → 6%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
94.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Paul Boyette Jr.) to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+2
94.5%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+1
94.4%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+16
94.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 16 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.1%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
94.0%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Malcolm Roach for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+14
94.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Brandon Jones. Brandon Jones return for 14 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1794% → 94%
Q1 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
94.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
94.0%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
93.9%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 5Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
93.8%
Trent Domingue 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FUMBLE
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:406% → 7%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
93.7%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+15
93.7%
Johnson, Kavika pass incomplete to Freytag, Cole, PENALTY TEXAS roughing passer (Wilbon, Gerald) 15 yards to the UTEP35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTEP.Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
93.6%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
93.3%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+10
93.3%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 10 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
93.0%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
92.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Aaron Jones for 1 yd to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+17
93.2%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Tyler Batson for 17 yds Tyler Batson fumbled, forced by Davante Davis, recovered by Texas DeShon ElliottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:3293% → 93%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
93.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-2
93.4%
Shane Buechele sacked by Jayson VanHook for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 24Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-10
93.1%
Shane Buechele sacked by Nick Usher for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 14Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 20
OWN 14
-5
92.8%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 25
OWN 9
0
92.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:197% → 10%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
93.0%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
92.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+51
89.6%
Aaron Jones run for 51 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 3:3790% → 92%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.4%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
90.7%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
90.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 4 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
90.4%
Porter, Kyle rush for 8 yards to the TEXAS43, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Rodriguez, Elijah) 10 yards to the TEXAS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+3
90.2%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+11
90.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 11 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
90.1%
Buechele, Shane pass incomplete to Burt, John, PENALTY UTEP roughing passer (Jones, Alvin) 15 yards to the UTEP46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
90.8%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+10
90.8%
Shane Buechele run for 10 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
90.9%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
90.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+5
90.4%
Jerrod Heard run for 5 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
91.7%
Trent Domingue 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:549% → 8%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
91.1%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-17
90.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by DeShon Elliott for a loss of 17 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 25
OWN 16
+12
91.6%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
91.7%
Alan Luna punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:0492% → 95%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.1%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+17
92.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 17 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
92.1%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+8
92.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 8 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
92.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
92.1%
Chris Warren III run for 5 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+11
91.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 11 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.0%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 8 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:516% → 6%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
94.1%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+10
93.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 10 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
93.7%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the UTEP 45 UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sterling Napier) to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 11
OWN 35
+7
93.7%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0494% → 94%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.0%
Chris Warren III run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
94.0%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
94.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-7
93.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 57 yds , Terry Juniel returns for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 4 Terry Juniel fumbled, recovered by UTEP Justin RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:537% → 6%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
93.5%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
93.5%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+2
93.6%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
93.7%
Alan Luna punt for 39 yds, downed at the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:2495% → 98%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.6%
Chris Warren III run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-1
94.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
94.2%
Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+5
94.0%
Shane Buechele run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
94.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 8 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
94.6%
Chris Warren III run for 3 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
94.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 6 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
94.6%
Chris Warren III run for 7 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
94.6%
Chris Warren III run for 11 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.6%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:192% → 2%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
98.0%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-3
98.0%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+5
98.1%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 4
OWN 17
+2
98.1%
Alan Luna punt for 39 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for 2 yds to the Texas 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:1399% → 100%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
98.5%
Shane Buechele run for 8 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+46
99.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 46 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Kavika Johnson run for no gain to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Malcolm Roach) to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Kent TaylorSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Kent Taylor, broken up by Timothy ColeSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.7%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 8 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Alan Luna punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
Chris Warren III run for 6 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
99.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 10 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 6 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
99.8%
Chris Warren III run for 6 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-4
99.8%
Shane Buechele sacked by Nick Usher for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 5:390% → 0%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Poona Ford) to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
99.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Kevin Vaccaro for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 19
OWN 27
-8
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Kent Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 27
OWN 19
+17
99.9%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kris Boyd) to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Terry Juniel for 1 yd to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Jaquan White for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
99.9%
Kyle Porter run for 16 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 7 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
99.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 21 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 8 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 7 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 4:080% → 0%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Tyrone Nelson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Hayden Plinke) to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyrone Nelson for no gain to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+16
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for 16 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-14
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for 1 yd to the UTEP 36 UTEP Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaquan White) to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 24
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyrone NelsonSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 24
OWN 21
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Anthony Kyles) to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 29
OWN 16
-1
99.9%
Tyrone Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 30
OWN 15
+12
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyrone Nelson for 12 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for 7 yds to the Texas 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Tristian Houston run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Tristian Houston run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-15
99.9%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass complete to Duvernay, Devin for 44 yards to the UTEP20, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Duvernay, Devin) 15 yards to the TEXAS21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 25
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Tristian Houston run for 3 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 22
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Quadraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-5
100.0%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Augie Touris) to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:20100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:09
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 1:22
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 8 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 8:28
Aaron Jones run for 51 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com