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SAV

Savannah State 0 at Southern Miss 56

USM
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadSAV aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreSAV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:35 · George Payne run for 25 yds to the SavSt 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior+42.2Home team on offense+23.3Score differential+21.1Blowout margin+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.0Garbage-time factor+6.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:33: Nick Mullens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — SAV win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 3:19: Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 8 yds to the SavSt 39 — SAV win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:00: Ito Smith run for 86 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:29: Nick Mullens pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 65 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6SAV made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00SAV 4th & 10 at SAV 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21SAV 4th & 16 at USM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33SAV 4th & 24 at SAV 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07SAV 4th & 4 at SAV 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SAV 4th & 12 at SAV 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47SAV 4th & 16 at SAV 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:33SAV 4th & 23 at SAV 13, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:35USM 4th & 1 at SAV 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00USM 4th & 5 at USM 49, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:38SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 14, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:24USM 4th & 1 at SAV 49, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:20SAV 4th & 6 at SAV 39, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00USM 4th & 1 at USM 39, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00USM 4th & 6 at SAV 38, up 56
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:00SAV 4th & 7 at SAV 28, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:03USM 4th & 6 at SAV 16, up 56
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01SAV 4th & 16 at SAV 10, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:33USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:35USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00USM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:29USM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:33USM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:43USM Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:20USM Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SAVDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SavSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.8%
Nicholas Bentley run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+17
99.8%
Blake Dever pass complete to Jeremiah Harris Jr. for 17 yds to the SavSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.8%
Arshon Spaulding Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Nicholas Bentley run for 2 yds to the SavSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Blake Dever pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
John Barron punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Nick Mullens pass intercepted Marquis Smith return for 2 yds to the SoMis 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Nicholas BentleySimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.8%
Nicholas Bentley run for 1 yd to the SoMis 15Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-7
99.8%
Blake Dever sacked by Xavier Thigpen for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 22Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+39
99.7%
John Barron 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dylan BradleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.7%
Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 8 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+7
99.7%
Ito Smith run for 7 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Nick Mullens pass incomplete to D.J. ThompsonSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 3 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
99.7%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
50
+14
99.8%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Julian Allen for 14 yds to the SavSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Ito Smith run for no gain to the SavSt 36Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.8%
Nick Mullens run for 2 yds to the SavSt 34Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+24
99.8%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Tyre'oune Holmes for 24 yds to the SavSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.8%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Devonta Foster for 8 yds to the SavSt 2Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the SavSt 1Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Nick Mullens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
T.J. Bell pass complete to Arshon Spaulding Jr. for 1 yd to the SavSt 21Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
99.6%
Nicholas Bentley run for no gain to the SavSt 21Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-15
99.6%
T.J. Bell sacked by Ja'Boree Poole for a loss of 15 yards to the SavSt 6Similar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 24
OWN 6
+13
99.7%
John Barron punt for 54 yds , Allenzae Staggers returns for 13 yds to the SavSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.6%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 8 yds to the SavSt 39Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 2 yds to the SavSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.6%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 9 yds to the SavSt 28Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+6
99.6%
George Payne run for 6 yds to the SavSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Nick Mullens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Korey Robertson for 22 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:280% → 1%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
99.6%
Arshon Spaulding Jr. run for 17 yds to the SavSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.6%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SavSt 33Similar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 5
OWN 33
+1
99.6%
Arshon Spaulding Jr. run for 1 yd to the SavSt 34Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
99.6%
T.J. Bell pass incomplete, broken up by Cornell ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
99.6%
T.J. Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
99.5%
John Barron punt for 42 yds , Allenzae Staggers returns for no gain to the SoMis 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
99.5%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 14Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+86
99.7%
Ito Smith run for 86 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.7%
Rashad Saxton run for a loss of 4 yards to the SavSt 21 SAVANNAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
99.7%
Rashad Saxton run for 2 yds to the SavSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Leon Prunty pass incomplete to Cantrell FrazierSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
John Barron punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
99.7%
Nick Mullens pass complete to George Payne for 8 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
99.7%
George Payne run for 15 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (D.J. Thompson) to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Julian Allen for no gain to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.7%
Tez Parks run for 7 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+65
99.8%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 65 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, delay of game (Leon Prunty) to the SavSt 20Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Leon Prunty run for 1 yd to the SavSt 21Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.8%
Rashad Saxton run for 5 yds to the SavSt 26Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+75
99.9%
John Barron punt for 49 yds , Allenzae Staggers returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Blake Dever run for 1 yd to the SavSt 26Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
99.9%
Rashad Saxton run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 24Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Blake Dever run for no gain to the SavSt 24Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (Juwuan Tolbert) to the SavSt 19Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
John Barron punt for 49 yds, downed at the SoMis 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Nick Mullens pass incomplete to Ito SmithSimilar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.9%
Ito Smith run for 14 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
99.9%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 9 yds to the SavSt 45Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+11
99.9%
Ito Smith run for 11 yds to the SavSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
99.9%
Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 10 yds to the SavSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
99.9%
Ito Smith run for 8 yds to the SavSt 16Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Nick Mullens pass complete to D.J. Thompson for 16 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Blake Dever pass incomplete, broken up by D'Nerius AntoineSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Nicholas Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 25Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-7
99.9%
Blake Dever sacked by Curtis Mikell for a loss of 7 yards to the SavSt 18Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 18
OWN 18
-5
99.9%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SavSt 13Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 23
OWN 13
0
99.9%
John Barron punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SavSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Parker Adamson run for 2 yds to the SavSt 43Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
George Payne run for 5 yds to the SavSt 38Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
George Payne run for 2 yds to the SavSt 36Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+25
99.9%
George Payne run for 25 yds to the SavSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
George Payne run for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Nicholas Bentley run for 1 yd to the SavSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
99.9%
Tyre'oune Holmes run for 18 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
George Payne run for no gain to the SoMis 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Parker Adamson pass incomplete to Korey RobertsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Parker Adamson run for 5 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Tyler Sarrazin punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cantrell Frazier at the SavSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.9%
T.J. Bell pass complete to Arshon Spaulding Jr. for 6 yds to the SavSt 12Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 12
-7
99.9%
T.J. Bell sacked by LaDarius Harris and Derrick Dixon for a loss of 7 yards to the SavSt 5Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+9
99.9%
T.J. Bell run for 9 yds to the SavSt 14Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 2
OWN 14
-3
99.9%
Lugo Giovanni punt for 51 yds , Allenzae Staggers returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 7:04100% → 100%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
George Payne run for 2 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-10
99.9%
George Payne run for no gain to the SoMis 34 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 24Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+15
99.9%
George Payne run for 15 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
George Payne run for 3 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
George Payne run for no gain to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
George Payne run for 9 yds to the SavSt 49Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Tez Parks run for no gain to the SavSt 49Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Parker Adamson run for 2 yds to the SavSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
Parker Adamson pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the SavSt 40Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Tez Parks run for 6 yds to the SavSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Parker Adamson run for 1 yd to the SavSt 33Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-2
99.9%
Parker Adamson pass complete to Tyre'oune Holmes for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 35Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+23
99.9%
George Payne run for 23 yds to the SavSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
Parker Adamson pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SavSt 36Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
T.J. Bell pass complete to Jeremiah Harris Jr. for 6 yds to the SavSt 42Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-3
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SavSt 39Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Lugo Giovanni punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
Tez Parks run for 10 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
Tez Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 29Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Parker Adamson pass complete to Jarell Aaron for 5 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
Tez Parks run for 5 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Tez Parks run for 7 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Tez Parks run for 5 yds to the SavSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Chase Whitehead run for 1 yd to the SavSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Tez Parks run for 6 yds to the SavSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Parker Adamson pass incomplete to Jarell AaronSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
100.0%
Tez Parks run for 8 yds to the SavSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
100.0%
Tez Parks run for 1 yd to the SavSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-5
99.9%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Oliver Bates) to the SavSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Tyler Sarrazin punt for 36 yds, downed at the SavSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SavSt 3Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+3
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SavSt 6Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+19
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for 19 yds to the SavSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for 2 yds to the SavSt 27Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Keynnard Campbell Jr. run for 1 yd to the SavSt 28Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Tino Smith IISimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Lugo Giovanni punt for 42 yds , Tyre'oune Holmes returns for 5 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Collin Kilcrease run for 3 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Collin Kilcrease run for 4 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+11
100.0%
Parker Adamson run for 11 yds to the SavSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Ja'Boree Poole run for 2 yds to the SavSt 45Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
100.0%
Parker Adamson pass complete to Jarell Aaron for 8 yds to the SavSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
100.0%
Tez Parks run for 17 yds to the SavSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
100.0%
Tez Parks run for a loss of 3 yards to the SavSt 23Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+7
100.0%
Parker Adamson run for 7 yds to the SavSt 16Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Parker Adamson pass incomplete to Tez ParksSimilar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 6
OPP 16
0
100.0%
Parker Adamson pass incomplete to Ja'Boree PooleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Jeremiah Harris Jr.Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-6
100.0%
Blake Dever sacked by Demarrio Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the SavSt 10Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 16
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Blake Dever pass incomplete to Arshon Spaulding Jr.Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 16
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Lugo Giovanni punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SavSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 47Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 5:33
Nick Mullens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
-0.1
KEY PLAY · Q1 3:19
Nick Mullens pass complete to Marquise Ricard for 8 yds to the SavSt 39
-0.1
TD · Q1 0:00
Ito Smith run for 86 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com