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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 20 at North Texas 41

UNT
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:42 · Eric Keena punt blocked by Diquan Richardson blocked by Diquan Richardson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior+9.9Home team on offense+28.3Score differential+20.0Garbage-time factor+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:02: Jeffrey Wilson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +4.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:16: Trevor Moore 19 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +1.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:38: Andrew Tucker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +6.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:19: Alec Morris pass intercepted for a TD Diquan Richardson return for 30 yds for a TD, (Uriel Hernandez PAT MISSED) — BCU win probability +1.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 4:33: Trevor Moore 20 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9BCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BCU 4th & 12 at BCU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24UNT 4th & 21 at UNT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10BCU 4th & 2 at BCU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:10UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:01BCU 4th & 12 at BCU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 2 at BCU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:32BCU 4th & 21 at BCU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:02BCU 4th & 6 at UNT 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:32UNT 4th & 2 at BCU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:16UNT 4th & 2 at BCU 2, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 37, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:28BCU 4th & 5 at UNT 43, down 24
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:33UNT 4th & 3 at BCU 3, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:33BCU 4th & 5 at UNT 22, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:42UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00BCU 4th & 3 at UNT 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:21BCU 4th & 21 at BCU 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:44UNT 4th & 4 at BCU 38, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:10UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:02UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:38UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:19BCU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:21UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:42BCU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.4%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 2 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
82.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 3 yds to the BthCk 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
82.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. sacked by Cortney Finney for a loss of 7 yards to the BthCk 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+1
82.4%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 35 yds , Anthony Wyche returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:1482% → 81%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
81.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 8 yds to the BthCk 49Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-4
82.0%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-15
81.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Trey Keenan) to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 21
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 21
OWN 32
+88
80.5%
Eric Keena punt for 56 yds , Frank Brown returns for 88 yds for a TD, (Uriel Hernandez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:1481% → 81%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
80.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Willie Robinson for 13 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
80.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 11 yds to the BthCk 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
80.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
81.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the BthCk 32Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+5
80.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the BthCk 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.0%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
81.0%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+11
80.9%
Mason Fine run for 11 yds to the BthCk 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
81.0%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 4 yards to the BthCk 20Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+20
80.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
80.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Jawill Davis for 8 yds to the BthCk 21Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+9
80.3%
Tupac Isme run for 9 yds to the BthCk 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
80.3%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Jawill Davis for 5 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
80.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 3 yds to the BthCk 38Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-5
80.1%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, delay of game (Larry Brihm Jr.) to the BthCk 33Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+5
80.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 5 yds to the BthCk 38Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
80.4%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
79.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 11 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
79.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Terian Goree for 8 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+11
79.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to O'Keeron Rutherford for 11 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
79.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
79.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
79.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Terian GoreeSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
79.0%
Eric Keena punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
77.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (Job Buissereth) to the BthCk 15Similar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
78.0%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jontavious CarterSimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
78.0%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jontavious CarterSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+3
78.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Tupac Isme for 3 yds to the BthCk 18Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
78.7%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 35 yds, downed at the NoTex 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:0179% → 78%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
79.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the BthCk 47Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
79.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the BthCk 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
78.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Terian Goree, broken up by Diquan RichardsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
79.0%
Mason Fine run for 1 yd to the BthCk 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+7
78.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for 7 yds to the BthCk 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-3
78.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Turner Smiley for a loss of 3 yards to the BthCk 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 8PUNT TD
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:3024% → 18%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.1%
Anthony Cruz run for 2 yds to the BthCk 37Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
76.0%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (Jamaruz Thompkins) to the BthCk 32Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-1
76.4%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 31Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-7
76.9%
Anthony Cruz sacked by Joshua Wheeler for a loss of 7 yards to the BthCk 24 Anthony Cruz fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 21
OWN 24
+1
81.6%
Jonathan Cagle punt blocked by Tyler Wilson blocked by Tyler Wilson Andrew Tucker return for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 9INT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.7%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 2 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
80.6%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Keavon Mitchell for 8 yds to the BthCk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.4%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 4 yds to the BthCk 39Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-5
79.8%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (Phillip Norman) to the BthCk 34Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+18
80.7%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass intercepted Kishawn McClain return for 18 yds to the BthCk 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:2382% → 87%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
82.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the BthCk 32Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+6
82.4%
Mason Fine run for 6 yds to the BthCk 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
82.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 16 yds to the BthCk 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
82.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
86.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 54 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.8%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Dre'Sean Nelson, broken up by Eric JenkinsSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+31
85.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Jawill Davis for 31 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.0%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jawill DavisSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
85.3%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Jontavious Carter for 8 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-2
84.8%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+13
85.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nate Brooks) to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
84.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Jaime Wilson for 6 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-2
84.2%
Dre'Sean Nelson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
84.8%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jawill DavisSimilar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
85.5%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Keavon MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 3:5687% → 91%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
86.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jeffrey Wilson, broken up by Alexander MoralesSimilar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+25
86.3%
Mason Fine run for 25 yds to the BthCk 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
87.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the BthCk 42Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+4
87.3%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the BthCk 38Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+1
87.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tyler Wilson for 1 yd to the BthCk 37Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+4
88.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the BthCk 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
89.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+32
89.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 32 yds to the BthCk 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
89.6%
Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 2Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kenny BuyersSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
90.8%
Trevor Moore 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
89.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 4:2290% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
90.3%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
90.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
90.3%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+3
89.9%
Alec Morris run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+9
89.5%
Eric Keena run for 9 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.7%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Terian GoreeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
90.5%
Alec Morris pass complete to Terian Goree for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+15
90.1%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Elliott Miller) to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.7%
Mason Fine run for 7 yds to the BthCk 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+13
90.7%
Willy Ivery run for 13 yds to the BthCk 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
90.7%
Willy Ivery run for 8 yds to the BthCk 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
90.7%
Willy Ivery run for 1 yd to the BthCk 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+10
90.4%
Andrew Tucker run for 10 yds to the BthCk 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Andrew Tucker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:104% → 3%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.3%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 3 yds to the BthCk 28Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
96.1%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 5 yds to the BthCk 33Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
96.1%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 4 yds to the BthCk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Keavon MitchellSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
96.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
96.0%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for 6 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+3
95.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-4
95.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 43 Larry Brihm Jr. fumbled, recovered by BthCk Larry Brihm Jr.Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
96.8%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16INT TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:0297% → 96%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
97.1%
Alec Morris pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 8 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+3
97.2%
Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
95.5%
Alec Morris pass intercepted for a TD Diquan Richardson return for 30 yds for a TD, (Uriel Hernandez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:4696% → 97%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
95.9%
Willy Ivery run for 9 yds to the BthCk 16Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+14
95.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jamaal Burgess) to the BthCk 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.9%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 3Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.9%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Tyler Wilson, broken up by Jamaal BurgessSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.8%
Alec Morris pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q3 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
97.4%
Trevor Moore 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
97.3%
Cameron Rigby run for 24 yds to the BthCk 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
97.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 24 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
96.8%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass complete to Jawill Davis for 5 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
96.7%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for no gain to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
97.0%
Cameron Rigby run for no gain to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 5
OPP 22
0
97.1%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jontavious CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
98.4%
Willy Ivery run for 6 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-2
98.4%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
98.4%
Alec Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Eric Keena punt blocked by Diquan Richardson blocked by Diquan RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:192% → 2%
Q3 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
98.0%
Jamaruz Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jawill DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.2%
Larry Brihm Jr. pass incomplete to Jawill Davis, broken up by Cortney FinneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 3:5499% → 100%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
98.7%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+4
98.7%
Willy Ivery run for 4 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+5
98.7%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, offside defense (Jamaal Burgess) to the NoTex 10Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+4
98.7%
Alec Morris pass complete to Kenny Buyers for 4 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
98.7%
Andrew Tucker run for 16 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
98.7%
Andrew Tucker run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
98.7%
Andrew Tucker run for 7 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
98.8%
Willy Ivery run for 5 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+34
98.8%
Willy Ivery run for 34 yds to the BthCk 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
98.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (Alec Morris) to the BthCk 25Similar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Willy Ivery run for 25 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Marcus Levy run for 3 yds to the BthCk 24Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Marcus Levy run for 1 yd to the BthCk 25Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
Larry Brihm Jr. sacked by Brandon Garner and Jareid Combs for a loss of 10 yards to the BthCk 15Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 16
OWN 15
-5
99.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (Delwaun Beard) to the BthCk 10Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 54 yds, downed at the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, offside defense (Tony Williams) to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 5 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 12 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Alec Morris pass complete to O'Keeron Rutherford for 2 yds to the BthCk 42Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 4 yds to the BthCk 38Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Alec Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Eric Keena punt for 25 yds, downed at the BthCk 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 1:320% → 1%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
100.0%
Marcus Levy run for 2 yds to the BthCk 15Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Akevious Williams run for 2 yds to the BthCk 17Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+83
99.5%
Akevious Williams run for 83 yds for a TD, (Uriel Hernandez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Anthony Wyche run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.5%
Anthony Wyche run for 16 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.6%
Anthony Wyche run for 9 yds to the BthCk 48Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+4
99.6%
Anthony Wyche run for 4 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:38
Andrew Tucker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 7:02
Jeffrey Wilson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q3 6:19
Alec Morris pass intercepted for a TD Diquan Richardson return for 30 yds for a TD, (Uriel Hernandez PAT MISSED)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com