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MD

Maryland 41 at Florida International 14

FIU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2016 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Jermaine Carter Jr. return for 14 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +4.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:27: Lorenzo Harrison run for 40 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +8.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:21: Alex Gardner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +8.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:57: Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +10.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:56: Perry Hills pass complete to Derrick Hayward for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +4.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:10FIU 4th & 3 at MD 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51MD 4th & 5 at FIU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:53MD 4th & 14 at FIU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:20FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:02FIU 4th & 1 at MD 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−1.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08MD 4th & 1 at FIU 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−1.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−7.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:10MD 4th & 6 at FIU 10, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:46FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:52MD 4th & 12 at FIU 41, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:16FIU 4th & 10 at MD 34, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:46FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 9, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:09MD 4th & 18 at FIU 49, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:51MD 4th & 2 at MD 43, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:27FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:46MD 4th & 25 at FIU 43, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:09FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 22, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 2:33MD Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:27MD Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:21FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:57MD Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:56MD Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:21MD Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:49FIU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:4228% → 29%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
28.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 17 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
28.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
28.6%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+7
28.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
29.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 7 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
29.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
29.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-4
29.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:1471% → 69%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
29.1%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
29.3%
Perry Hills run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 3
50
+6
29.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
29.3%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
29.4%
Trey Edmunds run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-4
29.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 30 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Dunn) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+14
29.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 14 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
29.8%
D.J. Moore pass complete to Perry Hills for 21 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
30.0%
D.J. Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
30.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
30.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 4 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
30.8%
Adam Greene 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:3131% → 31%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
30.9%
Alex McGough sacked by William Likely for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
30.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 17
-9
30.7%
McGough, Alex rush for 12 yards to the FLAINTL29, PENALTY FLAINTL holding (Absheer, Kai) 9 yards to the FLAINTL8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 20
OWN 8
+8
30.8%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 12
OWN 16
-5
30.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Davison Colimon) to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 17
OWN 11
+12
30.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds , William Likely returns for 12 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3869% → 67%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
31.0%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
31.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to William Likely for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 13
OPP 41
-1
31.9%
Perry Hills sacked by Milord Juste for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
32.6%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlaIn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:0232% → 28%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
32.0%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+5
32.2%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+14
27.7%
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Jermaine Carter Jr. return for 14 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:4728% → 28%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
28.1%
Maurice Alexander run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+19
28.6%
Alex Gardner run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
29.0%
Alexander, Maurice rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline, PENALTY FLAINTL holding (Saunders, Trenton) 10 yards to the FLAINTL39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+10
28.4%
Alexander, Maurice pass incomplete to Owens, Thomas, PENALTY MARYLAND holding 10 yards to the FLAINTL49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLAINTL.Similar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
29.0%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
29.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-15
29.3%
Gardner, Alex rush for 12 yards to the MARYLAND33, PENALTY FLAINTL personal foul 15 yards to the FLAINTL40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 19
OWN 40
0
28.0%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 19
OWN 40
0
27.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:4271% → 80%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
28.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 16 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
28.4%
Ty Johnson run for 8 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+13
28.1%
Perry Hills run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
27.9%
Trey Edmunds run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+40
19.7%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 40 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:5222% → 30%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
21.9%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
21.9%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+5
21.3%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
21.2%
Maurice Alexander run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+55
22.0%
Alex Gardner run for 55 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
30.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:1271% → 82%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
28.8%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
28.5%
Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+23
28.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 23 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
18.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 3:4321% → 22%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
21.2%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
21.2%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
21.5%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
21.5%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+11
21.2%
Maurice Alexander run for 11 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
21.7%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 9 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
21.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
21.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
22.0%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:5278% → 90%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
21.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 9 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+10
20.9%
Ty Johnson run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
19.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 23 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
17.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
13.2%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
13.0%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
13.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
9.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Derrick Hayward for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4312% → 12%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
11.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+3
11.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
11.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
8.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:3591% → 95%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
9.2%
Perry Hills run for 9 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
9.2%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
8.6%
Perry Hills run for 3 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
8.0%
Trey Edmunds run for 10 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
7.7%
Trey Edmunds run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
6.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 17 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
6.5%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
6.3%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
6.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Kenneth Goins Jr.Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
5.0%
Adam Greene 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:045% → 4%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
5.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
4.4%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
4.7%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
4.3%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-6
4.2%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
4.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4196% → 97%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
3.6%
Perry Hills run for 25 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
3.3%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-6
3.2%
Perry Hills sacked by Vontarius West for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
2.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
3.3%
Wade Lees punt for 29 yds, downed at the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:194% → 4%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+32
4.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 32 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
4.2%
Maurice Alexander run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 4
50
0
4.1%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 4
50
+16
4.0%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 16 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
4.6%
Alexander, Maurice pass incomplete, PENALTY MARYLAND offside 5 yards to the MARYLAND29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 5
OPP 29
-4
4.5%
Maurice Alexander run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
4.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-1
4.0%
Maurice Alexander sacked by Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
3.6%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4898% → 99%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
2.1%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 3 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+9
1.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 9 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
1.8%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 6
50
+10
1.7%
Levern Jacobs run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
0.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 40 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
0.9%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
0.8%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 17
-8
0.8%
Gardner, Alex rush for 6 yards to the FLAINTL23, PENALTY FLAINTL personal foul 8 yards to the FLAINTL9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
0.5%
Maurice Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
0.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
0.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-10
0.6%
Edmunds, Trey rush for 4 yards to the FLAINTL35, PENALTY MARYLAND holding 10 yards to the FLAINTL49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 18
OPP 49
0
0.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 18
OPP 49
0
0.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 18
OPP 49
0
0.7%
Wade Lees punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Thomas Owens at the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 4:090% → 1%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
0.4%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+9
0.4%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
0.4%
Maurice Alexander run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-13
0.4%
Alexander, Maurice pass complete to Smith, Jonnu for 13 yards to the FLAINTL38, PENALTY FLAINTL personal foul 13 yards to the FLAINTL12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+30
0.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 30 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
0.3%
Alexander, Maurice pass incomplete to Maloney, Austin, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Davis, RaVon) 15 yards to the MARYLAND43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLAINTL.Similar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
0.4%
Anthony Jones run for 19 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
0.4%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+2
0.3%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+13
0.3%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 13 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
0.4%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+14
0.4%
Trey Edmunds run for 14 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.4%
Trey Edmunds run for 5 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
0.3%
Lorenzo Harrison run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
0.3%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Wade Lees punt for 43 yds , Anthony Jones returns for no gain to the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
0.3%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+1
0.3%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+11
0.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 31 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 11 yds to the Mary 32 MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
0.2%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
50
+3
0.2%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
0.2%
Trey Edmunds run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
0.2%
Lorenzo Harrison run for no gain to the FlaIn 28 MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 25
OPP 43
-10
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 10 yards to the Mary 47 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by Mary Tyrrell PigromeSimilar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 35
OWN 47
+10
0.2%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 25
OPP 43
+5
0.1%
Wade Lees punt for 37 yds , Tony Gaiter IV returns for 5 yds to the FlaIn 38 MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
0.2%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
0.1%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-5
0.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Pol Guzman) to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Maurice Alexander pass incomplete to Shawn AbramsSimilar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:57
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 45 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
-10
TD · Q2 12:27
Lorenzo Harrison run for 40 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 9:21
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com