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ELON

Elon 14 at Charlotte 47

CLT
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:05 · Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ElonU 43 , Khalil Moore returns for 19 yds to the ElonU 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Home team on offense−2.5Pregame prior+20.4Score differential−0.8Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:44: Brandon Gentry run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Gallagher KICK) — ELON win probability +4.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:39: Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 12 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +5.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:39: Kevin Olsen pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello PAT MISSED) — CLT win probability +5.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:35: Kevin Olsen pass complete to Justin Bolus for 8 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK) — CLT win probability +6.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:44: Robert Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CLT win probability +6.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 9ELON made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28ELON 4th & 5 at ELON 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32ELON 4th & 4 at ELON 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:05CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:52ELON 4th & 6 at CLT 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:39CLT 4th & 1 at ELON 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−6.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ELON 4th & 8 at CLT 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36ELON 4th & 8 at ELON 32, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:26CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 17, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:01ELON 4th & 2 at CLT 34, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−1.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:56CLT 4th & 2 at ELON 31, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:55ELON 4th & 1 at ELON 35, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:29CLT 4th & 2 at ELON 18, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00ELON 4th & 6 at CLT 33, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:53ELON 4th & 1 at CLT 6, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:45CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 13, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:20ELON 4th & 1 at CLT 44, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:32CLT 4th & 3 at ELON 48, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:53ELON 4th & 5 at ELON 47, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ELON made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:44ELON Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:39CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:39CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:35CLT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:44CLT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:02CLT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:14CLT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:53ELON Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
76.1%
Kevin Olsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
76.1%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 7 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
76.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
76.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 61 yds, downed at the ElonU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 2TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 5:5424% → 29%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
75.9%
Brandon Gentry run for 3 yds to the ElonU 4Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
75.8%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Jeremiah Bridges for 6 yds to the ElonU 10Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+3
75.9%
Daniel Thompson run for 3 yds to the ElonU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
75.8%
Brandon Gentry run for 4 yds to the ElonU 17Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
75.8%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Bridges, broken up by Kedrick DavisSimilar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+9
75.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Corey Joyner for 9 yds to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
75.8%
Brandon Gentry run for 1 yd to the ElonU 27Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+8
75.8%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Corey Joyner for 8 yds to the ElonU 35Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+7
75.8%
Brandon Gentry run for 7 yds to the ElonU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
75.7%
Malcolm Summers run for 9 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
75.7%
M. Summers rush for loss of 2 yards to the ELON49 (FLEMING, Tanner;B.-THOMPSON, J.), PENALTY CHA offside (CARROLL, Nick) 5 yards to the CHA44, 1ST DOWN ELON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+42
75.7%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Jeremiah Bridges for 42 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.3%
Brandon Gentry run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Gallagher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
72.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 9 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
72.7%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-1
72.6%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
72.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds , Corey Joyner returns for no gain to the ElonU 18 Corey Joyner fumbled, recovered by ElonU Malcolm GallowaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
71.2%
Malcolm Summers run for no gain to the ElonU 18Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
71.3%
Malcolm Summers run for no gain to the ElonU 18Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+5
71.5%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Brandon Gentry for 5 yds to the ElonU 23Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+4
71.6%
David Petroni punt for 37 yds , Austin Duke returns for 4 yds to the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
70.9%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
70.6%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
70.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
69.4%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Jeremiah Bridges for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 16Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+14
69.5%
Malcolm Summers run for 14 yds to the ElonU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.1%
Malcolm Summers run for no gain to the ElonU 30Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
69.3%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Demetrius Oliver for 4 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+2
69.2%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Brandon Gentry for 2 yds to the ElonU 36Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+4
69.4%
David Petroni punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 29 , Austin Duke returns for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
67.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+3
68.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
68.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Bolus, broken up by John SilasSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+19
67.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ElonU 43 , Khalil Moore returns for 19 yds to the ElonU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0834% → 36%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
65.7%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Jeremiah Bridges for 12 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
65.5%
Daniel Thompson run for 5 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
65.4%
De'Sean McNair run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
65.7%
De'Sean McNair run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-5
63.8%
ELON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
64.0%
David Petroni punt for 26 yds, downed at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:0365% → 73%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
64.6%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+19
64.6%
Austin Duke run for 19 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
65.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 5 yds to the Charl 41 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+6
64.7%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-2
64.6%
Kevin Olsen sacked by Nick Groll for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+19
63.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 19 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
66.4%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the ElonU 48Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+14
66.7%
OLSEN, Kevin pass incomplete to FOGGIE, Juwan, PENALTY ELON pass interference (K. Moore) 14 yards to the ELON34, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
67.4%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 18 yds to the ElonU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
67.4%
Ben LeMay run for 4 yds to the ElonU 12Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
67.4%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the ElonU 12Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
72.5%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 12 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 10INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Corey JoynerSimilar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
69.2%
Brandon Gentry run for 3 yds to the ElonU 24Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+10
69.6%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Tre Lennon for 10 yds to the ElonU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-13
68.3%
Daniel Thompson pass intercepted Kedrick Davis return for 2 yds to the ElonU 36 ELON Penalty, personal foul (O'Shane Morris) to the ElonU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3173% → 77%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
72.7%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the ElonU 23Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-10
72.7%
OLSEN, Kevin pass incomplete to FOGGIE, Juwan, QB hurry by M. Willoughby, PENALTY CHA holding 10 yards to the ELON33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+24
71.6%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 15 yds to the ElonU 18 for a 1ST down ELON Penalty, personal foul (Warren Messer) to the ElonU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
72.7%
Austin Duke run for 6 yds to the ElonU 3Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.7%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the ElonU 1Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.0%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the ElonU 1Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
74.6%
Malcolm Summers run for 3 yds to the ElonU 25Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+12
74.4%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Cole Taylor for 12 yds to the ElonU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
73.7%
Daniel Thompson run for a loss of 7 yards to the ElonU 13 Daniel Thompson fumbled,Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 34
OWN 13
0
75.0%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Jeremiah BridgesSimilar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 34
OWN 13
+3
75.7%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Brandon Gentry for 3 yds Brandon Gentry fumbled, forced by Tanner Fleming, recovered by ElonU Brandon GentrySimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 31
OWN 16
+8
76.1%
David Petroni punt for 41 yds , Austin Duke returns for 8 yds to the ElonU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 49 yds · 2:1078% → 85%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
78.4%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the ElonU 44Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
78.4%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the ElonU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
78.5%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Juwan Foggie for 7 yds to the ElonU 32Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+8
78.6%
Robert Washington run for 8 yds to the ElonU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
78.6%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 1 yd to the ElonU 23Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
78.6%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 6 yds to the ElonU 17Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+12
77.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Justin Bolus for 12 yds to the ElonU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
79.0%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the ElonU 8Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
85.4%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Justin Bolus for 8 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
83.9%
Brandon Gentry run for 5 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.2%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Corey JoynerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+28
84.3%
Brandon Gentry run for 28 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.1%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to John Luke ArringtonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
83.5%
Brandon Gentry run for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-1
83.2%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Cole Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
84.2%
David Petroni punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2687% → 94%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+44
86.6%
Ben LeMay run for 44 yds to the ElonU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
87.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 23 yds to the ElonU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
87.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Ben LeMay for 6 yds to the ElonU 7Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
87.3%
Kevin Olsen run for 6 yds to the ElonU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
91.0%
Malcolm Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 28Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
91.4%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Tre LennonSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+4
91.5%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Corey Joyner for 4 yds to the ElonU 32Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+1
91.5%
David Petroni punt for 52 yds , Austin Duke returns for 1 yd to the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.4%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 18
-1
94.3%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Chris Montgomery for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 17Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
94.1%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Chris Montgomery, broken up by Chris BlairSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
93.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the ElonU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
91.8%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Cole Taylor for 11 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
91.6%
De'Sean McNair run for no gain to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
91.7%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Corey Joyner, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+8
91.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Demetrius Oliver for 8 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
91.7%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Demetrius OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2495% → 99%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
95.2%
Ben LeMay run for 27 yds to the ElonU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
95.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Justin Bolus for 8 yds to the ElonU 31Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
95.4%
Ben LeMay run for no gain to the ElonU 31Similar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+13
95.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 23 yds to the ElonU 8 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (Chris Brown) to the ElonU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the ElonU 18Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+14
95.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Juwan Foggie for 14 yds to the ElonU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.0%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.3%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Cole Taylor for 8 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to De'Sean McNairSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
99.2%
De'Sean McNair run for 1 yd to the ElonU 35Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
99.3%
David Petroni punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 61 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
99.2%
Robert Washington run for 14 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
99.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 39 yds to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.2%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the ElonU 24Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-15
99.2%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to MULLEN, Nate, dropped pass, PENALTY CHA illegal block (MONTGOMERY, C.) 15 yards to the ELON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 23
OPP 39
+22
99.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Justin Bolus for 22 yds to the ElonU 17Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 17
-1
99.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Uriah LeMay for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 18Similar
Q3 3:29
4TH & 2
OPP 18
0
99.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Ben LeMaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 23INT
11 plays · 55 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Daniel Thompson run for no gain to the ElonU 18Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.6%
De'Sean McNair run for no gain to the ElonU 18Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+28
99.6%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Jeremiah Bridges for 28 yds to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.6%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Tre LennonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.6%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to De'Sean McNair for 7 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+10
99.6%
Daniel Thompson run for 10 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to John Luke ArringtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.6%
De'Sean McNair run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+3
99.6%
De'Sean McNair run for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+6
99.6%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to John Luke Arrington for 6 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Daniel Thompson pass intercepted, touchback. Alex Duncan return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Ben LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+76
99.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 76 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 25FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to De'Sean McNair for 8 yds to the ElonU 27 CHARLOTTE Penalty, OF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Matt Foster, broken up by Ben DeLucaSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+17
99.9%
De'Sean McNair run for 2 yds to the ElonU 29 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ElonU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Cole Taylor for 9 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+59
99.9%
Daniel Thompson run for 3 yds Daniel Thompson fumbled, forced by Nafees Lyon, recovered by Charl Ben DeLuca , return for 59 yds, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 26TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Demetrius OliverSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+26
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Corey Joyner for 26 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to De'Sean McNair for 27 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
De'Sean McNair run for 3 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Demetrius OliverSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-5
99.9%
ELON Penalty, false start (Olisaemeka Udoh) to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+11
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to De'Sean McNair for 11 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Daniel Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Gallagher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Bradan Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Lee McNeill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Bradan Smith run for 2 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ElonU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Cole TaylorSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Demetrius Oliver for 11 yds to the ElonU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Cole TaylorSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-7
99.9%
Daniel Thompson sacked by Tommy Doctor for a loss of 7 yards to the ElonU 40Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+16
99.9%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to De'Sean McNair for 16 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
De'Sean McNair run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Bradan Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Lee McNeill run for 6 yds to the ElonU 48Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Khalil Moore at the ElonU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Matt Foster for 4 yds to the ElonU 14Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+28
100.0%
Daniel Thompson pass complete to Cole Taylor for 28 yds to the ElonU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Demetrius OliverSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
De'Sean McNair run for 5 yds to the ElonU 47Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to John Luke ArringtonSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Daniel Thompson pass incomplete to Tre LennonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:44
Robert Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+6.9
TD · Q2 0:35
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Justin Bolus for 8 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 4:39
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 1 yd for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello PAT MISSED)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com