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RICE

Rice 14 at Western Kentucky 46

WKU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:33 · Jake Collins punt for 56 yds, fair catch by V.J. Banks at the Rice 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+30.5Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:31: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 87 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +4.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:24: Jowan Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +3.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:37: Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +5.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:03: Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +4.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:24: Skyler Simcox 29 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:24WKU 4th & 6 at RICE 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 45, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 14, up 2
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:48RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 22, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:00RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 48, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:03RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:41WKU 4th & 11 at RICE 21, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:24WKU 4th & 12 at RICE 12, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:24RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 49, down 26
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:31WKU 4th & 5 at RICE 9, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:01RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 28, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:03WKU 4th & 7 at RICE 46, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:03RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 10, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:12WKU 4th & 9 at RICE 14, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:00WKU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:31WKU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:24RICE Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:37WKU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:03WKU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:10RICE Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:01WKU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1SF
6 plays · -25 yds · 1:3616% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
83.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-10
83.6%
STEWART, Samuel rush for 4 yards to the RICE37, out-of-bounds (BROWN, Joe), PENALTY RICE holding 10 yards to the RICE23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
83.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darrion Pollard for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
83.3%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
83.3%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
83.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 1 yd to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+9
83.3%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 9 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
83.4%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
83.4%
Nicholas Norris run for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
83.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+4
83.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the Rice 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:0317% → 18%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
82.6%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
82.5%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+14
82.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 14 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.4%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
82.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 5 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
82.4%
STEHLING, Tyler pass complete to GERMAN, Nate for 20 yards to the WKU35, out-of-bounds (LESTON, Branden;MCCOLLUM, T.J.), PENALTY RICE illegal touching (GERMAN, Nate) 0 yards to the RICE45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
82.2%
Jack Fox punt for 50 yds, downed at the WKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
82.2%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+4
82.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 14
0
82.1%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
82.0%
Jake Collins punt for 56 yds, fair catch by V.J. Banks at the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
81.7%
WALTER, Austin rush for 5 yards to the RICE35 (LESTON, Branden;WARD, Marcus), PENALTY RICE illegal block (MARTIN, Trey) 10 yards to the RICE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+2
81.8%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 18
OWN 22
0
81.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to James Mayden, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 18
OWN 22
0
82.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Darrion Pollard, broken up by Marcus WardSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 18
OWN 22
+63
82.2%
Jack Fox punt for 53 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 21 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:3582% → 84%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
81.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+45
81.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 45 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
82.2%
Mike White pass complete to Shaquille Johnson for 35 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.8%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+18
82.6%
STEHLING, Tyler pass complete to STEWART, Samuel for 5 yards to the RICE37 (TAYLOR, Taywan), PENALTY WKU face mask (IYIEGBUNIWE, J.) 18 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
82.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darrion Pollard for 5 yds Darrion Pollard fumbled, forced by T.J. McCollum, recovered by RiceSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+2
82.8%
Tyler Stehling run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
82.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
83.1%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:4483% → 87%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-7
82.8%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to NORRIS, N. (THOMPSON, Carl), PENALTY WKU personal foul (HALPIN, Max) 7 yards to the WKU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 17
OWN 6
+7
82.8%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 7 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+87
86.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 87 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 4:0714% → 18%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Nate GermanSimilar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
86.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
86.1%
Tyler Stehling run for 13 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
85.9%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+16
86.2%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Parker Smith for 16 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
85.7%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
86.0%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
85.9%
STEHLING, Tyler pass incomplete to GERMAN, Nate, PENALTY WKU pass interference (BROWN, Joe) 9 yards to the WKU37, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
85.7%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Jowan Davis for 15 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
85.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Parker Smith for 18 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
85.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (Calvin Anderson) to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
85.3%
Tyler Stehling run for 3 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
85.3%
STEHLING, Tyler pass incomplete to SMITH, Parker, PENALTY WKU pass interference (BROWN, Joe) 4 yards to the WKU2, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4783% → 89%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
82.9%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 44 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
83.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+9
83.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.8%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the Rice 6Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.8%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the Rice 6Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.4%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
87.5%
RICE Penalty, false start (Connor Patterson) to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted De'Andre Simmons return for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:0190% → 95%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
90.0%
Nacarius Fant pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+17
90.0%
Anthony Wales run for 17 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
90.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+26
90.0%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 26 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
90.1%
WALES, Anthony rush for no gain to the RICE3 (MCGASKEY, T.;LYONS, Alex), PENALTY RICE IS 2 yards to the RICE1, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.1%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the Rice 1Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.5%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
93.2%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
93.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+8
93.2%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Lance Wright for 8 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
92.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darrion Pollard for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
92.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
92.8%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 3
OWN 43
-5
92.9%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
93.2%
Jack Fox punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:1195% → 96%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
95.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
95.1%
WALES, Anthony rush for 5 yards to the WKU34 (ELLERBEE, E.), PENALTY WKU personal foul (WILLIAMS, D.) 14 yards to the WKU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 24
OWN 15
+11
95.4%
Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 11 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+54
95.4%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 54 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
95.7%
Marquez Trigg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
95.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius Fant, broken up by J.T. BlasingameSimilar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 11
OPP 21
0
95.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 11
OPP 21
+38
96.1%
Ryan Nuss 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
94.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:3696% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
95.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 4 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+16
95.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 16 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
95.7%
Anthony Wales run for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
95.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 14 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
95.9%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to DONATELL, S. (BLASINGAME, JT), PENALTY RICE pass interference (WRIGHT, Zach) 15 yards to the RICE26, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
95.9%
Mike White pass complete to Kylen Towner for 17 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
95.9%
Nacarius Fant run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
95.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
95.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Shaquille Johnson, broken up by Christian BertrandSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
98.4%
Skyler Simcox 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
98.9%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 19Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+26
98.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Parker Smith for 26 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
98.8%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
98.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Nate German for 6 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-4
98.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darik Dillard for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Jack Fox punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:0999% → 100%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+40
98.8%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 40 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.9%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+27
98.9%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 27 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
98.9%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+2
98.9%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 2 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
99.7%
Ryan Nuss 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:210% → 3%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (Peter Godber) to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+20
99.6%
Tyler Stehling run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
50
0
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
50
-5
99.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (Jowan Davis) to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+22
99.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 22 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to James Mayden, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 11 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
97.5%
Tyler Stehling run for 22 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:0999% → 100%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
98.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 14 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.5%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
98.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
98.4%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
98.7%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-5
98.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Deon Yelder) to the Rice 19Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 19 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.8%
Tyler Stehling run for 4 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Tabari McGaskey, broken up by Marcus WardSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 6
OWN 28
-3
99.8%
Jack Fox punt for 53 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+35
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Will Bush for 35 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by D Angelo EllisSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+2
99.8%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+2
99.8%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds , V.J. Banks returns for 2 yds to the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 12
-2
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Tyler Stehling run for no gain to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 10:03
4TH & 9
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+39
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 39 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Shaquille JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Ryan Nuss 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25INT
19 plays · 74 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.9%
Tyler Stehling run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 13 Tyler Stehling fumbled, recovered by Rice Tyler StehlingSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Darik Dillard for 3 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+13
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 13 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 8 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 10 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to James Mayden, broken up by AJ JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Tyler Stehling run for 8 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 8 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Ben HoltSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
100.0%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
Tyler Stehling run for 2 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+12
100.0%
Tyler Stehling run for 12 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted, touchback. AJ Jackson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:37
Mike White pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 7:03
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+4.4
TD · Q1 1:31
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 87 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com