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AAMU

Alabama A&M 0 at Middle Tennessee 55

MTSU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:12 · Nick Carden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+48.1Home team on offense+1.9Score differential+0.6Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:54: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:47: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 6 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — AAMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:31: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 7 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:50: Canon Rooker 25 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6AAMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 13:42AAMU 4th & 8 at MTSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12AAMU 4th & 5 at AAMU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:27AAMU 4th & 8 at AAMU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54AAMU 4th & 8 at MTSU 42, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:33AAMU 4th & 11 at AAMU 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:31AAMU 4th & 15 at AAMU 20, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50MTSU 4th & 7 at AAMU 8, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:49AAMU 4th & 2 at AAMU 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00AAMU 4th & 6 at AAMU 29, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:43MTSU 4th & 9 at AAMU 39, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:05AAMU 4th & 4 at AAMU 14, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:28MTSU 4th & 19 at MTSU 9, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:08AAMU 4th & 8 at MTSU 38, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:36MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 41, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:01AAMU 4th & 2 at AAMU 30, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:20MTSU 4th & 1 at AAMU 16, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:20AAMU 4th & 17 at AAMU 18, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:30MTSU 4th & 11 at AAMU 29, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:30AAMU 4th & 7 at MTSU 47, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:42MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:12MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:27MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:54MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:47MTSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:31MTSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:20MTSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.5%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, IS (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+4
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+2
99.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 12 yds to the AlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 6 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
99.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 32 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 7 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+1
99.5%
Jordan Bentley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+21
99.5%
Nick Carden punt for 39 yds , Richie James returns for 21 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 11 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 14 yds to the AlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 6 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the AlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 9 yds to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 24 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.3%
Tevin McKenzie run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
99.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan DorseySimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
99.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Nick Carden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:5199% → 99%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
99.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+17
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 17 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 44Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-2
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ruben Garnett for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+7
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the AlaAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ruben Garnett for 15 yds to the AlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 10 yds to the AlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 1 yd to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 13 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.3%
Jordan Bentley run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 23Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
99.3%
Jordan Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
99.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan Dorsey, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds, downed at the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 1:0899% → 100%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 17 yds to the AlaAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 3 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+42
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard run for no gain to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Alex Dale) to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.6%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard run for no gain to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Nick Carden punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 13 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 8 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Kenneth DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+9
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the AlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+25
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 25 yds to the AlaAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 6 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard sacked by Darrius Liggins for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Nick Carden punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+22
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 22 yds to the AlaAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.6%
Ruben Garnett run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 35Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Devonte SimonSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+29
99.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 29 yds to the AlaAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.6%
Terelle West run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 7 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard sacked by Khalil Brooks and Malik Hawkins for a loss of 5 yards to the AlaAM 20Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete, broken up by Khalil BrooksSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Nick Carden punt for 33 yds , Richie James returns for no gain to the MTnSt 20 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FG
19 plays · 55 yds · 6:40100% → 100%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
99.6%
Terelle West run for 16 yds to the AlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.7%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to WINDHAM, CJ for 12 yards to the AAMUFB35 (Justin Brown), QB hurry by Patrick Burroug, PENALTY MT ineligible downfield on pass (BREWER, C.) 5 yards to the MT48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+7
99.7%
Terelle West run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 45Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
99.7%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.7%
J'Vonte Herrod run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-5
99.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Carlos Johnson) to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+10
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 10 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+5
99.6%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive offside (Patrick Burroughs) to the AlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.7%
J'Vonte Herrod run for 9 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 15
-15
99.7%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to ANDERSON, D. for 11 yards to the AAMUFB4 (Quantravis Kell), PENALTY MT illegal block 15 yards to the AAMUFB30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 16
OPP 30
-5
99.7%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to UPTON, Isiah for 8 yards to the AAMUFB22 (Devonte Simon), QB hurry by Patrick Burroug, PENALTY MT IF (JOHNSON, Carlos) 5 yards to the AAMUFB35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 21
OPP 35
+3
99.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 18
OPP 32
+21
99.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 21 yds to the AlaAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 9Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 1 yd to the AlaAM 8Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Dennis AndrewsSimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Canon Rooker 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 18Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+14
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 34 yds , Richie James returns for 14 yds to the AlaAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 8 yds to the AlaAM 33Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Devonte Simon return for no gain to the AlaAM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard sacked by Myles Harges for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 5 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Ledarion Heath, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Nick Carden punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Max LinderSimilar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Tyshawn Brown for 11 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 4 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+18
99.9%
Terelle West run for 18 yds to the AlaAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
99.9%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Terelle WestSimilar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
99.9%
John Urzua pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Rashad Anderson at the AlaAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 10Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (Chaz Wilson) to the AlaAM 5Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 5
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+9
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 9 yds to the AlaAM 14Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 4
OWN 14
-2
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 34 yds , Ty Lee returns for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.9%
John Urzua pass intercepted N/A return for 1 yd to the AlaAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 21INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Jordan Bentley run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+12
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 12 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
Damion May pass complete to Ledarion Heath for 12 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Damion May pass intercepted Deontay Evans return for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Terelle West run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-12
99.9%
GARNETT, Ruben rush for 9 yards to the MT33 (Bryan Brower;Justin Brown), PENALTY MT illegal block 12 yards to the MT12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 16
OWN 12
0
99.9%
John Urzua pass incomplete to Tyshawn BrownSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 16
OWN 12
-3
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 19
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Rashad Anderson at the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan DorseySimilar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan DorseySimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 26 yds, downed at the MTnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
99.9%
Terelle West run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
John Urzua pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 10 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Tristan Walker for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
J'Vonte Herrod run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rashad Anderson at the AlaAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
100.0%
Pj Garrett pass complete to Ledarion Heath for 6 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Pj Garrett pass complete to Damion May for 3 yds to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Byran Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
99.9%
John Urzua pass complete to Ricky Blair for 43 yds to the AlaAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
J'Vonte Herrod run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
J'Vonte Herrod run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
John Urzua pass complete to J'Vonte Herrod for 2 yds to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Tyshawn Brown for 16 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Pj Garrett pass incomplete to Ledarion Heath, broken up by Dontavious HeardSimilar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (Pj Garrett) to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-4
100.0%
Pj Garrett sacked by Darrius Liggins for a loss of 4 yards to the AlaAM 18Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Isiah Upton for 5 yds to the AlaAM 49Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 6
50
+11
100.0%
John Urzua pass complete to Tristan Walker for 11 yds to the AlaAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Terelle West run for no gain to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
100.0%
Terelle West run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
100.0%
Terelle West run for a loss of 4 yards to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
100.0%
John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+3
100.0%
J'Vonte Herrod run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+46
100.0%
Canon Rooker 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+36
100.0%
Byran Brower run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
100.0%
Pj Garrett pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Pj Garrett pass complete to Marceles Clash for no gain to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Byran Brower run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
Ruben Garnett run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+10
100.0%
Ruben Garnett run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
Ruben Garnett run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
J'Vonte Herrod run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Terelle West run for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Ruben Garnett run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Ruben Garnett run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:54
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 9:31
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 7 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
+0.2
FG · Q2 1:50
Canon Rooker 25 yd FG GOOD
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com