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SIU

Southern Illinois 30 at Florida Atlantic 38

FAU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:26 · TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:32: Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 85 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +11.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Daquan Isom run for 69 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK) — SIU win probability +12.3 pts (now 39%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:20: Jason Driskel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +7.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:35: Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +9.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:41: Sam Straub pass complete to Kyle Newquist for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson PAT MISSED) — SIU win probability +8.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10SIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00SIU 4th & 15 at SIU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:23SIU 4th & 5 at SIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:21FAU 4th & 4 at SIU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:40SIU 4th & 10 at SIU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04SIU 4th & 10 at FAU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:23FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:44SIU 4th & 9 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:44FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:37SIU 4th & 7 at FAU 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:20FAU 4th & 2 at SIU 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−12.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:20SIU 4th & 6 at SIU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:35SIU 4th & 3 at SIU 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:03FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 26, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:01SIU 4th & 6 at FAU 33, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:23FAU 4th & 6 at SIU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−4.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:23SIU 4th & 10 at FAU 44, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    6.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:22FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:44FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 48, up 8
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:49FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:46SIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:03FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:23SIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:32FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:08SIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:20FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:35FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:41SIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
76.2%
Aaron Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
-2
76.2%
Aaron Stanton run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+3
76.2%
Josh Straughan run for 3 yds to the SoIll 15Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 15
-5
76.2%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 10Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+8
76.2%
Lane Reazin punt for 49 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for 8 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:1576% → 77%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
76.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 48Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+48
76.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:0324% → 25%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
76.3%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 7 yds to the SoIll 28Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
76.2%
Aaron Stanton run for 4 yds to the SoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.3%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Israel LamprakesSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+54
76.3%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 54 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
76.1%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 8 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
76.1%
Aaron Stanton run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.7%
Jonathan Mixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
75.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
75.2%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+8
75.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 44 yds , Billy Reed returns for 8 yds to the SoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
74.8%
Daquan Isom run for no gain to the SoIll 35Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
74.8%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Daquan IsomSimilar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
75.0%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 5 yds to the SoIll 40Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
75.0%
Lane Reazin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
74.6%
HOWELL, Greg rush for 5 yards to the FAU25 (Jennings, C.J.), PENALTY FAU holding 10 yards to the FAU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+4
74.6%
Jason Driskel run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+11
74.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 11 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+11
74.5%
Jason Driskel run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
74.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+15
74.6%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
75.1%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
75.1%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
74.8%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the SoIll 47Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
74.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the SoIll 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
73.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 7 yds Jimmy Jones fumbled, forced by Anthony Hamilton,Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-2
73.6%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jimmy Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 21 SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
74.0%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Israel LamprakesSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 5
OWN 21
-5
74.3%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 16Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+8
74.4%
Lane Reazin punt for 37 yds , Henry Bussey III returns for 8 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:3275% → 78%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
74.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 8 yds to the SoIll 37Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+37
77.6%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 37 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 3:4023% → 30%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
76.6%
Matt DeSomer run for 3 yds to the SoIll 22Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-4
76.6%
Josh Straughan sacked by Rashad Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the SoIll 18Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+25
77.0%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Aaron Stanton for 25 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
76.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SoIll 48Similar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 5
OWN 48
-2
75.8%
Aaron Stanton run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 46Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
75.9%
Josh Straughan run for no gain to the SoIll 46Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+20
76.3%
D.J. Davis run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
75.4%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Daquan Isom for 10 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
75.3%
Daquan Isom run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.3%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Billy Reed, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
70.1%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:2373% → 73%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
72.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+3
72.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+24
71.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 9 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Devante Lee) to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
73.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+10
72.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
50
0
73.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kerrith Whyte Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
50
0
72.9%
Dalton Schomp punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the SoIll 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
71.2%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 16 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.9%
Aaron Stanton run for 7 yds to the SoIll 38Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
70.0%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 4 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
70.1%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
69.4%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jimmy Jones for no gain to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
69.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jacob Varble for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
69.6%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Jimmy Jones, broken up by DJ JusteSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
69.8%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Jimmy JonesSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
70.4%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Connor IwemaSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
71.4%
Lane Reazin punt for 30 yds, downed at the FlAtl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
71.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Craig JamesSimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
71.2%
Jason Driskel run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
71.0%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.6%
Jason Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
71.3%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+13
70.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tony Thomas for 13 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
72.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
72.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kerrith Whyte Jr.Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-7
71.7%
Jason Driskel sacked by Malik Haynes for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
70.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2632% → 36%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
67.9%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
50
+3
65.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+15
65.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Israel Lamprakes for 15 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
65.2%
Josh Straughan pass complete to D.J. Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+2
66.6%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+3
67.0%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
64.2%
Austin Johnson 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
65.0%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
63.9%
Jason Driskel run for no gain to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
63.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 29 yds, downed at the SoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:1639% → 38%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
61.2%
Aaron Stanton run for 4 yds to the SoIll 47Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
61.1%
Aaron Stanton run for 1 yd to the SoIll 48Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+5
60.6%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jacob Varble for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
59.4%
Josh Straughan run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
59.4%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Israel LamprakesSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
60.0%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Billy Reed, broken up by Shelton LewisSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
61.6%
Lane Reazin punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
1 play · 85 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
73.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 85 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:2426% → 39%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
73.6%
Josh Straughan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+69
61.4%
Daquan Isom run for 69 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
63.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4062% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
62.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
63.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
65.1%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+16
64.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 16 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
65.6%
Jason Driskel run for 11 yds to the SoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
66.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+9
66.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 9 yds to the SoIll 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+10
65.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 10 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
66.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 2 yds to the SoIll 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
66.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoIll 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
65.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the SoIll 2Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.6%
Jason Driskel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
70.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 6 yds to the SoIll 40Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-2
69.0%
Daquan Isom run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 38Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
70.9%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Billy ReedSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
72.4%
Lane Reazin punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:2074% → 87%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
74.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+21
74.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 21 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
76.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
75.9%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
50
+8
76.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 8 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
76.9%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 9 yds to the SoIll 33Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
77.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
77.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
77.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to John Mitchell for 13 yds to the SoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
77.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoIll 15Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+3
77.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 3 yds to the SoIll 12Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+5
76.5%
Jason Driskel run for 5 yds to the SoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
77.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 4Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.3%
Matt DeSomer run for 6 yds to the SoIll 31Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
83.5%
Jimmy Jones run for 6 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
83.5%
Matt DeSomer run for 1 yd to the SoIll 38Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-4
83.5%
Josh Straughan sacked by Trey Hendrickson and Shalom Ogbonda for a loss of 4 yards to the SoIll 34Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+10
85.2%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Daquan Isom for 10 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
84.3%
Lane Reazin punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
86.9%
Henry Bussey III run for no gain to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
86.8%
Jason Driskel run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+2
86.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Marcus Clark for 2 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
85.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Billy Reed at the SoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4913% → 13%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
86.9%
Aaron Stanton run for 1 yd to the SoIll 20Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-3
87.0%
Aaron Stanton run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+14
88.1%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Aaron Stanton for 14 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
86.1%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 5 yds to the SoIll 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+9
85.3%
Aaron Stanton run for 9 yds to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
85.1%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 18 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
84.2%
Josh Straughan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+2
84.4%
Josh Straughan run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+3
84.9%
Josh Straughan run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 12:01
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+8
86.8%
Austin Johnson 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Shelton Lewis return for 8 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25FG
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:3889% → 95%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
89.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 37 yds to the SoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
89.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry Bussey IIISimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
89.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 24Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+1
89.5%
Jason Driskel run for 1 yd to the SoIll 23Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
94.5%
Greg Joseph 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 4 yds to the SoIll 29Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
92.2%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Daquan Isom for 2 yds to the SoIll 31Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
92.4%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Connor Iwema for 6 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
92.2%
Josh Straughan sacked by Haiden Nagel for a loss of 7 yards to the SoIll 30Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+7
92.8%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 7 yds to the SoIll 37Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+19
92.9%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Darrell James for 19 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.8%
Daquan Isom run for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
91.7%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Darrell JamesSimilar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
91.9%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Darrell James, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
92.4%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Jimmy Jones, broken up by DJ JusteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
96.2%
HOWELL, Greg rush for no gain to the FAU44 (Barnett, Deondr), PENALTY FAU holding 10 yards to the FAU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 20
OWN 34
-6
95.8%
Jason Driskel sacked by Deondre Barnett for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 28 Jason Driskel fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Kelly Parfitt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 26
OWN 28
+2
95.7%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 24
OWN 30
+12
95.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 12 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
95.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Billy Reed at the SoIll 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 28TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:385% → 16%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
94.6%
Aaron Stanton run for 3 yds to the SoIll 16Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+8
94.5%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Billy Reed for 8 yds to the SoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
94.5%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Darrell James for 22 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.7%
Josh Straughan pass incomplete to Jimmy JonesSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
93.7%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jacob Varble for 16 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
93.6%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Aaron Stanton for 6 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
92.7%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Jacob Varble for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
92.7%
Straughan, Josh sacked for loss of 4 yards to the FAU31 (OZDEMIR, Nate), PENALTY FAU offside 5 yards to the FAU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+2
92.7%
Sam Straub run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+20
84.1%
Sam Straub pass complete to Kyle Newquist for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5796% → 97%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
95.5%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
95.4%
Gregory Howell Jr. run for no gain to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+3
95.2%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey III for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Dalton Schomp punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Billy Reed at the SoIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 30FUMBLE
1 play · 17 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
92.9%
Josh Straughan pass complete to Aaron Stanton for 12 yds Aaron Stanton fumbled, forced by Ocie Rose, recovered by FlAtl Jalen YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · -21 yds · 0:0697% → 97%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the SoIll 42Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 17
OPP 42
-6
97.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the SoIll 48Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 23
OPP 48
-8
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:08
Daquan Isom run for 69 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q2 0:32
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 85 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+11.8
TD · Q3 5:35
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com