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IU

Indiana 34 at Florida International 13

FIU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:46 · Joseph Gedeon punt for 53 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Home team on offense−3.0Score differential−2.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:00: Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Rashard Fant return for 34 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +6.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +8.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:08: Austin Taylor 29 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +7.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:55: Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 21 yds for a TD, (R. Jones Run For Two-point Conversion) — IU win probability +31.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:54: Richard Lagow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +12.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:00FIU 4th & 1 at IU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40FIU 4th & 10 at IU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30IU 4th & 8 at FIU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:20IU 4th & 1 at FIU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−1.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:17IU 4th & 5 at FIU 5, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:14FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 28, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:32IU 4th & 6 at FIU 9, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:33IU 4th & 7 at FIU 35, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%−0.5
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:10FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 23, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:06IU 4th & 18 at FIU 47, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:17FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 45, down 2
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:18FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 36, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:46IU 4th & 16 at IU 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−5.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:28FIU 4th & 3 at IU 46, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−5.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:56IU 4th & 14 at FIU 25, up 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.1 ptsWent for it · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%−4.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−16.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:08FIU 4th & 12 at IU 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−4.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−17.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:01FIU 4th & 4 at IU 44, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−4.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:26FIU 4th & 17 at IU 43, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:10IU 4th & 7 at IU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 13:00IU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:04FIU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:55IU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.8%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:54IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:57IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:0044% → 46%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
44.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
44.2%
Tony Gaiter IV run for 27 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
44.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+1
44.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+6
44.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 6 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+14
44.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
44.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
44.7%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+5
44.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
44.7%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
45.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
45.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
45.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+24
46.2%
Austin Taylor 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:4754% → 53%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
46.3%
Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+10
46.0%
Devine Redding run for 10 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
45.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+5
46.0%
Devonte Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
46.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
46.1%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
46.2%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
46.9%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:3447% → 47%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
46.6%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
46.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-1 Yards) to the FlaIn 0 for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:3554% → 54%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
46.1%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
46.3%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+6
46.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+19
47.0%
Devine Redding run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
46.1%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+8
46.1%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 10 Devine Redding fumbled, recovered by IndSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:0854% → 54%
Q1 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
46.2%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
46.3%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
46.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
45.8%
Griffin Oakes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5946% → 46%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.3%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
46.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
45.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7MISSED FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:3154% → 54%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
45.8%
Mike Majette run for 5 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+26
45.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 26 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
44.7%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+26
44.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 26 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
44.3%
Mike Majette run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-5
44.3%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
44.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for no gain to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+3
45.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 3 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
46.1%
Griffin Oakes 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:1947% → 41%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
47.4%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+34
40.5%
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Rashard Fant return for 34 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
40.9%
INDIANA Penalty, Sideline Interference (-15 Yards) to the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:2941% → 51%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
40.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+40
40.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 40 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
42.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+13
42.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 13 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.3%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.3%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:0853% → 54%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
46.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 9 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+12
46.0%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
45.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 23 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
44.8%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
44.1%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-5
44.0%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
44.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
45.6%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1748% → 47%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
48.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
48.1%
Jonnu Smith run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+3
47.6%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
47.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:4254% → 52%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
46.2%
Cole Gest run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+11
46.4%
Cole Gest run for 11 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
44.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
45.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 6 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+13
44.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 13 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
43.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-3
43.6%
Cole Gest run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 42 Cole Gest fumbled, recovered by Ind Wes MartinSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
45.6%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 13
OPP 42
-4
47.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 18
OPP 47
0
47.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:4147% → 49%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
47.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 19 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
48.8%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
50.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
49.6%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
48.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:3853% → 54%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
47.3%
Devonte Williams run for 6 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-5
47.0%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+6
47.7%
Devonte Williams run for 6 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+7
46.3%
Devonte Williams run for 7 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:5956% → 57%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
44.5%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
43.9%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
43.5%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
42.9%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
42.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+11
43.2%
Mike Majette run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
41.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 12 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
41.0%
Richard Lagow sacked by Treyvon Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+5
43.4%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37 Devine Redding fumbled, recovered by FlaInSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1448% → 45%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
47.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
49.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-3
46.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
44.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2455% → 52%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.2%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.2%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete.Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.5%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
46.5%
Richard Lagow sacked by Fermin Silva for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+7
48.3%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 53 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5448% → 49%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
47.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
50.8%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
49.6%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
49.6%
Alexander, Maurice pass complete to Smith, Jonnu for 5 yards to the FLAINTL47, 1ST DOWN FLAINTL. to Jonnu Smith for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
50.9%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
50.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 7 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
50.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
48.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:2456% → 54%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
44.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 6 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+7
43.7%
Mike Majette run for 7 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
43.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 13 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
40.6%
Mitchell Paige run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
38.9%
Mike Majette run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
38.4%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
39.9%
Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
38.3%
Devonte Williams run for no gain to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
38.6%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-5
40.5%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+1
42.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devonte Williams for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 14
OPP 25
0
45.6%
Mitchell Paige pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:3247% → 59%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
46.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 45 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
54.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 22 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
56.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
54.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
53.8%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
51.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
58.7%
Austin Taylor 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:4542% → 79%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
57.7%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
57.0%
Richard Lagow run for 9 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
55.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 28 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
51.8%
Devine Redding run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
20.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 21 yds for a TD, (R. Jones Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:3828% → 30%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
28.3%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+15
27.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
28.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
50
0
32.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 10
50
+6
31.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
32.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
29.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5076% → 96%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
23.8%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
23.8%
Redding, Devine rush for 7 yards to the INDIANA27.Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
20.8%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
20.2%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+18
18.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
17.4%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
17.2%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+28
17.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 28 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
16.7%
Mike Majette run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
4.2%
Richard Lagow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:196% → 6%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
6.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
6.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 25 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
6.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Nile Sykes for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 17
OPP 43
0
6.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 17
OPP 43
0
6.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
5.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:0396% → 98%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
3.8%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
3.3%
Cole Gest run for 4 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
2.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
2.3%
Cole Gest run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
2.4%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:083% → 1%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
3.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+16
1.0%
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Tegray Scales return for 16 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27INT
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
1.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
1.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+10
1.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 10 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
0.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
0.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 8 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
0.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 1 yd to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
0.8%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Ben Bach return for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
Alex Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:55
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 21 yds for a TD, (R. Jones Run For Two-point Conversion)
-31
TD · Q4 6:54
Richard Lagow run for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q2 10:04
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com