Try the model
AKR

Akron 3 at Ohio 9

OHIO
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2016 · Peden Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:53 · Nick Gasser punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Score differential−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:00: Quinton Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Akron 29 — OHIO win probability +7.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:47: Tyrell Goodman run for 7 yds to the Ohio 39 — AKR win probability +9.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:00: Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 32 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Larry Hope) to the Akron 19 for a 1ST down — OHIO win probability +7.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:59: Louie Zervos 23 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +7.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16: OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cleon Aloese) to the Ohio 12 — OHIO win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:53AKR 4th & 15 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:58OHIO 4th & 2 at AKR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:42AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07AKR 4th & 6 at OHIO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:59OHIO 4th & 2 at AKR 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:14AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:54OHIO 4th & 21 at AKR 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:03OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:57AKR 4th & 5 at OHIO 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−8.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:27OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:30AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−4.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:20OHIO 4th & 9 at AKR 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:11AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:56OHIO 4th & 2 at AKR 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    69.8%−3.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−20.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:54AKR 4th & 24 at OHIO 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−3.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:59OHIO 4th & 4 at AKR 6, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%−1.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−21.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:12AKR 4th & 1 at OHIO 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−11.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−11.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:16AKR 4th & 11 at OHIO 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−4.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−6.3
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5731% → 31%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
69.3%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 12 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
69.1%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 4 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
69.0%
Tyrell Goodman run for 4 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-13
68.9%
Tyrell Goodman sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 13 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 15
50
0
69.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2DOWNS
18 plays · 57 yds · 8:4769% → 68%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
69.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for 6 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+2
68.9%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
68.7%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
68.8%
Maxwell, Quinton pass complete to Smith, Sebastian for 16 yards to the OHIO42, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Smith, Sebastian) 13 yards to the OHIO13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 23
OWN 13
+5
68.7%
Maxwell, Quinton pass complete to Irons, Maleek for loss of 2 yards to the OHIO11, PENALTY AKRON offside (Pittman, Se'Von) 5 yards to the OHIO18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 18
OWN 18
+4
68.6%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+10
68.5%
Quinton Maxwell run for 10 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+8
68.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.7%
Papi White run for no gain to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
68.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 12 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
68.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 8 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
68.7%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
68.8%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
68.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for 7 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
68.5%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 2
OPP 28
0
67.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0333% → 32%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
66.9%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to JoJo Natson for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+5
67.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
67.2%
Tyrell Goodman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
67.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
68.3%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 40 Dorian Brown fumbled, recovered by Akron DeAndre ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2835% → 35%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
65.0%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 10 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.5%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-4
64.5%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+8
65.8%
Tyrell Goodman run for 8 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
65.5%
Tom O'Leary 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 4:0667% → 68%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
67.1%
Papi White run for 11 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
67.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
50
+1
68.3%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+21
68.3%
Maleek Irons run for 21 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
68.8%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Akron 27Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
68.8%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
68.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
68.2%
Louie Zervos 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2632% → 31%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
67.6%
Tyrell Goodman run for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
66.6%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
66.3%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kevin Robbins) to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.0%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
66.5%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 6
50
-4
65.9%
Tyrell Goodman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
68.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:1168% → 72%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+32
68.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 32 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Maleek IronsSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
69.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 8 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
69.8%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
70.3%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 4 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
70.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Elijah BallSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+12
69.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for 12 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
70.8%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+1
70.9%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-13
70.0%
Quinton Maxwell sacked by Josh Ward for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 32 Quinton Maxwell fumbled, recovered by Ohio Maleek Irons , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 21
OPP 32
+49
71.8%
Louie Zervos 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:2328% → 26%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
72.5%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
73.1%
Tyrell Goodman run for 5 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+6
74.0%
Tyrell Goodman run for 6 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
73.2%
Goodman, Tyrell rush for 8 yards to the AKRON43, PENALTY AKRON illegal use of hands 15 yards to the AKRON20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+3
74.0%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3774% → 73%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
74.2%
Maxwell, Quinton pass complete to Mangen, Troy for 17 yards to the AKRON48, PENALTY OHIO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the OHIO30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
73.9%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
74.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 5 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
74.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
73.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 31 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:5929% → 34%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
71.3%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
71.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+9
72.4%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
70.1%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
69.1%
Tyrell Goodman run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
50
+11
68.5%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 11 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
68.5%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 16 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
66.8%
Tyrell Goodman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
67.3%
Tyrell Goodman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+5
69.0%
Tyrell Goodman run for 5 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 8:57
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
65.6%
Tom O'Leary 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1869% → 68%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
68.3%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 12 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
69.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 6 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
71.1%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
69.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
68.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:5733% → 31%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
66.9%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (Jovann Letuli) to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 15
OWN 9
-1
67.3%
Tyrell Goodman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 16
OWN 8
+5
67.6%
Goodman, Tyrell pass incomplete to Wolf, Austin, PENALTY OHIO offside (Smart, Trent) 5 yards to the AKRON13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-8
67.2%
JoJo Natson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 5Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 19
OWN 5
+6
69.1%
Manny Morgan run for 6 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 13
OWN 11
0
69.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0072% → 67%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
71.6%
Papi White run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
68.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+8
67.3%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 8 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
67.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:0431% → 30%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
68.9%
Morgan, Manny rush for 1 yard to the AKRON10, PENALTY AKRON holding (Gauthney, LaVonne) 5 yards to the AKRON4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 15
OWN 4
+3
68.9%
Tyrell Goodman run for 3 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 12
OWN 7
0
69.2%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+16
70.6%
Manny Morgan run for 16 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
67.8%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-8
68.0%
Tyrell Goodman run for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 15 Tyrell Goodman fumbled, forced by Blair Brown, recovered by Akron Kyle RitzSimilar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 18
OWN 15
+10
69.9%
Manny Morgan run for 10 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+11
70.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 36 yds , Papi White returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0972% → 73%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
50
0
71.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
50
0
71.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 10
50
+17
68.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 17 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
76.1%
Quinton Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+16
76.2%
Maleek Irons run for 16 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
76.4%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
76.5%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+2
75.0%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+1
73.3%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Akron 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:5731% → 30%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
68.8%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+3
69.3%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 7
+47
72.2%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 47 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
62.9%
Tyrell Goodman run for 7 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
62.2%
Tyrell Goodman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+8
62.7%
Tyrell Goodman run for 8 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
60.8%
Goodman, Tyrell rush for 4 yards to the OHIO27, PENALTY AKRON holding (Letuli, Jovann) 10 yards to the OHIO41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 20
OPP 41
-5
65.2%
Tyrell Goodman sacked by Trent Smart for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 25
OPP 46
+1
66.3%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 1 yd to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 24
OPP 45
0
66.8%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 24
OPP 45
0
70.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18FG
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:5172% → 92%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
71.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+23
71.6%
Dorian Brown run for 23 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+47
79.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 32 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Larry Hope) to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
79.0%
Maxwell, Quinton pass complete to White, Papi for 18 yards to the AKRON1, PENALTY OHIO illegal formation 5 yards to the AKRON24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
78.5%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+12
79.1%
Maxwell, Quinton pass incomplete to Morgan, Mason, PENALTY AKRON illegal use of hands (Moore, Deon'Tae) 12 yards to the AKRON12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
82.4%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
83.8%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
84.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
91.8%
Louie Zervos 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 2:3315% → 14%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
85.0%
Tyrell Goodman run for 2 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+22
85.0%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 22 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.8%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
82.8%
Manny Morgan run for 9 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
79.7%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+19
84.6%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 19 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
78.2%
Tyrell Goodman sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
79.6%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
83.1%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 11
OPP 25
0
86.3%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -15 yds · 0:0695% → 95%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
95.4%
OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cleon Aloese) to the Ohio 12Similar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 23
OWN 12
-2
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:47
Tyrell Goodman run for 7 yds to the Ohio 39
-9.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:16
OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cleon Aloese) to the Ohio 12
+9.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:00
Quinton Maxwell run for 4 yds to the Akron 29
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com