Try the model
BUF

Buffalo 0 at Western Michigan 38

WMU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Waldo Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:42 · Kyle Deween punt for 48 yds, downed at the WMich 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense+25.5Score differential+15.9Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 14:19: Grant Rohach pass incomplete — BUF win probability +0.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:08: Jarvion Franklin 20 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick) — WMU win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Derrick Mitchell kickoff for 64 yds , Johnathan Hawkins return for 22 yds to the Buff 23 — WMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:01: Butch Hampton 30 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:42: Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 65 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BUF made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:42WMU 4th & 1 at BUF 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35BUF 4th & 6 at WMU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:13WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:42BUF 4th & 19 at WMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:34WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:26BUF 4th & 1 at BUF 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:19BUF 4th & 13 at BUF 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:16BUF 4th & 3 at BUF 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:44WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:31BUF 4th & 2 at BUF 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00BUF 4th & 7 at BUF 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:01WMU 4th & 6 at BUF 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:01BUF 4th & 13 at WMU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:42BUF 4th & 19 at BUF 14, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:20WMU 4th & 7 at BUF 8, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:37BUF 4th & 10 at WMU 47, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 8:16WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:08WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:42WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:37WMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:47WMU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:1898% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
98.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 23 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+16
98.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
98.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 7 yds to the Buff 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-5
98.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
98.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Buff 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
98.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
98.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Buff 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+28
97.9%
Jordan Johnson run for 28 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.9%
Jamarl Eiland run for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Kyle Deween punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
97.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 12 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
97.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for no gain Michael Henry fumbled, recovered by WMich Michael Henry , return for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.5%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 42Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+20
97.5%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Marcus McGill for 20 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
97.5%
JOHNSON, Jordan rush for 15 yards to the WMU23 (FERGUSON, J;BEAL, Sam), PENALTY UB holding (O'HAGAN, James) 10 yards to the WMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
97.5%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Marcus McGillSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+1
97.5%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Marcus McGill for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 19
OPP 47
-5
97.5%
BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 48Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+5
97.5%
Grant Rohach run for 5 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Kyle Deween punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson, broken up by Boise RossSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
97.0%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 36 yds, downed at the Buff 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.6%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 22Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.6%
Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+4
96.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Marcus McGill for 4 yds to the Buff 31 BUFFALO Penalty, false start ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+1
96.6%
Kyle Deween punt for 43 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 1 yd to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:3896% → 96%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
96.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
96.2%
Zach Terrell run for 1 yd to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+14
96.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
96.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 27 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.2%
Fabian Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 24 Fabian Johnson fumbled, forced by Ishmael Hargrove, recovered by Buff Ryan WilliamsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
95.5%
Grant Rohach run for 3 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-6
95.6%
Grant Rohach sacked by Obbie Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 21Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+6
95.7%
Kyle Deween punt for 50 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 6 yds to the WMich 31 Darius Phillips fumbled, forced by Brandon Williams,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:2195% → 96%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
95.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+9
95.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
95.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
95.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds to the Buff 47Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
95.5%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
95.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 45Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+20
95.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
95.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Buff 22Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
95.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.4%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 3 yds to the Buff 28Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
95.3%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.3%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.5%
Kyle Deween punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2295% → 95%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 10 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis Timeout BUFFALO, clock 05:44Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
95.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
94.9%
James Coleman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamarl Eiland at the Buff 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
95.1%
Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
95.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
95.1%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 2 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Kyle Deween punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:1895% → 97%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+40
95.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 40 yds to the Buff 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
95.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 1 yd to the Buff 20Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
95.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+20
96.6%
Jarvion Franklin 20 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:054% → 4%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
96.3%
Grant Rohach run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 29Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
96.2%
Grant Rohach run for 7 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the Buff 41Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
95.7%
Johnathan Hawkins run for 10 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
95.9%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 31 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
96.3%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 11 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
96.1%
Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
96.3%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Kamathi HolseySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+4
96.3%
Grant Rohach run for 4 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
96.4%
Kyle Deween punt for 31 yds, downed at the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4096% → 97%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
96.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to N/A for 26 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
96.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 25 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
96.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Buff 11Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
96.5%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 13 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by WMich Zach Terrell , return for no gain to the Buff 13Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
96.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
97.4%
Butch Hampton 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.9%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 14 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
96.7%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 26 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
96.3%
Grant Rohach run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 41 Grant Rohach fumbled, recovered by Buff Grant RohachSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 16
OPP 41
0
96.8%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Kamathi HolseySimilar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+3
97.0%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 3 yds to the WMich 38 BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
97.0%
Kyle Deween punt for 33 yds, downed at the WMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 2:0198% → 99%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
97.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+15
97.4%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to DAVIS, Corey (LEWIS, Cameron), PENALTY UB pass interference (LEWIS, Cameron) 15 yards to the WMU23, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
97.6%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 65 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
98.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 21Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-7
98.8%
Grant Rohach sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 7 yards to the Buff 14Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 19
OWN 14
0
98.8%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 19
OWN 14
0
98.8%
Kyle Deween punt for 48 yds, downed at the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:3599% → 99%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+38
99.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 38 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
99.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 8 yds to the Buff 16Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+5
99.2%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the Buff 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.2%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 16 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by WMich Zach Terrell , return for no gain to the Buff 16Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+1
99.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Buff 15Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+7
99.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to N/A for 7 yds to the Buff 8Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+24
99.2%
Butch Hampton 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
99.2%
Jordan Johnson run for 10 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.2%
Grant Rohach run for 19 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
99.1%
ROHACH, Grant pass incomplete to MCGILL, Marcus, PENALTY WMU holding (BEAL, Sam) 10 yards to the WMU37, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.1%
Grant Rohach run for no gain to the WMich 37 Grant Rohach fumbled, forced by Keion Adams, recovered by WMich Caleb Bailey , return for 1 yd to the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:5999% → 100%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
99.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to N/A for 16 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
99.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 24 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 3 yds to the Buff 20Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
99.4%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the Buff 17Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+6
99.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Buff 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.4%
Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the Buff 2Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-5
99.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Luke Juriga) to the Buff 7Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds for a TD BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 26Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+27
99.9%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Marcus McGill for 27 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
Grant Rohach run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Grant Rohach run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Kyle Deween punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 5:44100% → 100%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to N/A for 2 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+27
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 27 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson, broken up by Ryan WilliamsonSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Fabian Johnson run for 8 yds to the Buff 36Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Fabian Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
Fabian Johnson run for 11 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
99.9%
Zach Terrell run for 13 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
F. Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (B. Hampton KICK),D. Mitchell kick for 57 yds,J. Hawkins return for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+22
100.0%
Jordan Johnson run for 22 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Kamathi HolseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:42
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 65 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 2:08
Jarvion Franklin 20 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)
+1.3
FG · Q3 10:01
Butch Hampton 30 yd FG GOOD
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com