Try the model
NIU

Northern Illinois 31 at Eastern Michigan 24

EMU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2016 · Rynearson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:25 · Jacob Ambrose punt for 50 yds, downed at the EMich 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 112Home team on offense+12.5Pregame prior−5.7Score differential+4.7Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Time remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:41: Jordan Huff run for 60 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +17.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:32: Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 74 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +15.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:45: Jordan Huff run for 27 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +27.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:43: Paul Fricano 24 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +22.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jordan Huff run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +16.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:36NIU 4th & 5 at EMU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:04NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:14NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:08EMU 4th & 7 at NIU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−6.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:16EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:25NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:02EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−3.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:45NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:15EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:37EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:36NIU 4th & 8 at EMU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−11.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:25EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 19, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−4.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:46NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 29, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.2%−2.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−17.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:43EMU 4th & 7 at NIU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−14.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−34.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:26EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:56EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:12EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:41NIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:32NIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:45NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:2837% → 39%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
36.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 5 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+6
36.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
37.0%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
37.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+20
37.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 20 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
37.7%
Brogan Roback run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 47Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+20
37.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 20 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
38.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 27 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2862% → 61%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
38.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
38.6%
Ryan Graham pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
38.8%
Ryan Graham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
39.0%
Ryan Graham punt for 14 yds, downed at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2039% → 40%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
39.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+5
39.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 5 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
40.2%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
40.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
40.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
40.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kenny Golladay at the NoIll 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4MISSED FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:2460% → 57%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
40.3%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
40.8%
Ryan Graham run for 2 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+12
41.2%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 12 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
41.1%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Jordan Huff for 3 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
41.4%
Ryan Graham pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+7
41.8%
Ryan Graham run for 7 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
41.5%
Aregeros Turner run for 5 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
41.6%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+17
42.0%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Shane Wimann for 17 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
41.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+8
42.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+15
41.7%
Graham, Ryan pass incomplete, PENALTY EASTMICH roughing passer 15 yards to the EASTMICH19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
41.9%
Ryan Graham run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 24 Ryan Graham fumbled, recovered by NoIll Ryan GrahamSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+5
43.2%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:5044% → 54%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
44.4%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
44.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
45.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 29 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
46.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+11
46.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 11 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
47.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Izaiah FullerSimilar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+9
46.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
47.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 12 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
53.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 13 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3049% → 47%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
51.0%
Tommy Mister run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+13
52.2%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Christian Blake for 13 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
51.6%
Ryan Graham run for no gain to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
53.0%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7INT
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0355% → 60%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
55.0%
Brogan Roback run for 19 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
55.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 10 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
56.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 20
OWN 36
0
56.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+25
56.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dan Buschman for 25 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
57.7%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+7
57.9%
Brogan Roback run for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+7
58.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
59.9%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Brandon Mayes return for 6 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:3143% → 40%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
56.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 9 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+6
56.2%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 6 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
56.9%
Ryan Graham run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
57.6%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
57.6%
Ryan Graham pass complete to Christian Blake for 5 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
57.3%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
58.3%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
58.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
59.6%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 32 yds, downed at the EMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:5262% → 64%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
62.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+24
62.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 24 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
62.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-5
62.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+30
63.0%
Brogan Roback run for 15 yds to the EASTMICH 42 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
64.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
64.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+40
63.8%
Paul Fricano 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1137% → 36%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
63.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+5
63.8%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+8
64.2%
Jordan Huff run for 8 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
64.0%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 1 yd to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
64.6%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+17
64.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass intercepted Kyle Rachwal return for 17 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:2869% → 89%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
68.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+16
68.7%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
69.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 2 yds to the NoIll 15Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
69.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the NoIll 9Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+4
70.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 4 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
71.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the NoIll 1Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:0215% → 15%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.0%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
84.6%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
85.2%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
71.0%
Jordan Huff run for 60 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:0774% → 75%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
73.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 18 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
73.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+2
75.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
76.0%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
75.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
76.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
75.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kenny Golladay at the NoIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4525% → 24%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
75.0%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 6 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
74.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+9
74.9%
Jordan Huff run for 9 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
74.6%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
75.0%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
74.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Shane WimannSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
76.0%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 50 yds, downed at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0878% → 78%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-5
78.3%
Brogan Roback sacked by Austin Smaha for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 3 Brogan Roback fumbled, recovered by EMich , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 15
OWN 3
+3
78.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
78.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+61
77.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kenny Golladay at the EASTMICH 48 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0123% → 20%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
77.1%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
78.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+4
78.9%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
79.6%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:2582% → 82%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
82.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+7
82.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 7 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
82.7%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
83.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Izaiah FullerSimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
83.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
82.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
82.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:4320% → 35%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
80.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+9
80.4%
Jordan Huff run for 9 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+74
65.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 74 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4271% → 69%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
70.8%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-8
70.3%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete to Bailey II, Sergio, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference 8 yards to the EASTMICH8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+3
70.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+7
69.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 7 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
68.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21FG
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:3939% → 38%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
61.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
62.1%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 2 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
66.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Jordan HuffSimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
62.1%
Christian Hagan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5465% → 63%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
65.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dan BuschmanSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
64.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+9
63.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 9 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
63.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kenny Golladay at the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:3339% → 66%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
61.5%
Kenny Golladay run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
61.0%
Jordan Huff run for 5 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
61.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jordan Huff for 6 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
60.8%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
60.9%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Aregeros Turner for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+10
61.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 10 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
34.2%
Jordan Huff run for 27 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24INT
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:3043% → 47%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
43.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
44.1%
Brogan Roback run for 8 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
42.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
46.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
47.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
48.7%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+15
48.2%
Blake Banham run for 15 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
51.8%
Blake Banham run for 10 yds to the NoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-13
49.4%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the NoIll 9 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 24Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 23
OPP 24
+30
46.6%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Shawun Lurry return for 30 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25MISSED FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0968% → 70%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
32.1%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
32.4%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+13
32.8%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 13 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
29.8%
Jordan Huff run for 8 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+4
28.8%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
28.2%
Aregeros Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 14
OPP 39
0
30.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+10
31.7%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 10 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
30.5%
Christian Hagan 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 5:5541% → 62%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
40.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
42.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
42.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 4
50
+6
44.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
44.7%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
44.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 5 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
44.3%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
47.7%
Blake Banham run for 5 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
44.5%
Brogan Roback run for 7 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
44.6%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
44.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+7
40.4%
Brogan Roback run for 7 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
42.9%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the NoIll 9Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
42.7%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
39.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
61.6%
Paul Fricano 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:3348% → 50%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
51.9%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 21 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
47.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
47.1%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 6
50
-5
44.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
-2
49.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 76%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
40.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 13 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
40.5%
Jordan Huff run for 6 yds to the EMich 6Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
40.5%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the EMich 4Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
42.7%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
40.6%
Kenny Golladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.9%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 29Uncategorized
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 24%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
28.1%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
28.1%
Blake Banham run for 6 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
25.8%
Blake Banham run for no gain to the NoIll 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+1
23.5%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the NoIll 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:45
Jordan Huff run for 27 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
-27.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.5
FG · Q4 0:43
Paul Fricano 24 yd FG GOOD
+22.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com