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KENT

Kent State 7 at Bowling Green 42

BGSU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2016 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:10 · Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds, downed at the KntSt 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+17.5Pregame prior−2.7Garbage-time factor+9.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:43: Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:40: James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +8.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:14: Fred Coppet run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:07: Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 56 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +14.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:26: Josh Cleveland run for 85 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +14.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:33KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:20BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:03KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:13KENT 4th & 21 at KENT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:19KENT 4th & 5 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:19KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:38KENT 4th & 7 at BGSU 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:06KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:10BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 20, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:54KENT 4th & 23 at KENT 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:50KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:43BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:40BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:14BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:07KENT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:26BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:38BGSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:29BGSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1759% → 59%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.0%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
41.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
41.5%
Derek Adams punt for 48 yds , Marquis Zimmerman returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5942% → 42%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
41.5%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-2
41.7%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
41.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 6
OWN 28
-4
41.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 52 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 16 Zaquon Tyson fumbled, recovered by KntStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0258% → 58%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
41.9%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-3
42.0%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 16Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
42.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
42.4%
Derek Adams punt for 36 yds, downed at the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4443% → 43%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
42.7%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
42.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+33
42.5%
James Morgan pass intercepted Jamal Parker return for 33 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:4058% → 57%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
41.9%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
42.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-13
42.6%
Nick Holley sacked by Tyrik Jones for a loss of 13 yards to the BOWLGREEN 47 KENT ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Nick Holley) to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 21
OWN 47
0
43.0%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marquis Zimmerman at the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
17 plays · 89 yds · 6:0743% → 50%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
42.8%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-1
42.8%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+7
42.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
43.2%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
43.3%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+6
43.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Fred Coppet for 6 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
43.7%
Fred Coppet run for 19 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
44.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
45.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 6 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
45.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Hunter FolkertsmaSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+4
44.8%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+10
44.5%
Morgan, James pass incomplete to Miller, Scott, PENALTY KENTST holding (Parker, Jamal) 10 yards to the KENTST24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
45.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Donovan Wilson for 18 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
46.1%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 7Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
46.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.4%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0151% → 49%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.1%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
48.9%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
49.8%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Reno Reda) to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
50.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 19 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
49.4%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+6
50.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 5
50
0
49.5%
George Bollas run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 5
50
0
50.9%
Derek Adams punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:2952% → 66%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.7%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
52.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
51.4%
Fred Coppet run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
52.9%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
54.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
54.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
55.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
54.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
55.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 14 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
56.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 9 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
56.7%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
56.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+4
57.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
57.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
57.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0137% → 35%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
63.5%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
64.3%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
65.1%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
65.5%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marquis Zimmerman at the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5167% → 87%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
66.8%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-10
67.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (J.J. Beggan) to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
66.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+18
67.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 18 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
69.0%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+19
69.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 19 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
70.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21 Josh Cleveland fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Logan DietzSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+8
71.1%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
71.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.6%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 0:4816% → 31%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
83.7%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+16
83.5%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ryan Malone for 16 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
83.7%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
69.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 56 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12INT
11 plays · 72 yds · 1:2873% → 74%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
72.5%
Donovan Wilson run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+2
73.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
73.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
73.5%
Donovan Wilson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+48
73.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 48 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
73.1%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
75.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
74.3%
James Morgan pass intercepted, touchback. Jamal Parker return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
72.4%
Nick Holley run for 9 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14FUMBLE
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:2975% → 81%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
75.1%
Donovan Wilson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
75.5%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+3
76.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
76.5%
Morgan, James pass incomplete to Moore, Ronnie, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Parker, Jamal) 15 yards to the KENTST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
77.9%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-10
77.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Hunter) to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 22
OWN 39
-10
78.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 32
OWN 29
+12
77.7%
Fred Coppet run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+13
78.2%
Morgan, James pass incomplete to Moore, Ronnie, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (Monday, Demetrius) 13 yards to the KENTST46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
79.8%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+9
79.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 9 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-2
80.5%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 43 Donovan Wilson fumbled, recovered by KntSt Elcee RefugeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0723% → 21%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
77.0%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
75.8%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
76.7%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ryan Malone for 6 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-3
76.7%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
77.8%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
79.1%
Derek Adams punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Marquis Zimmerman at the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
1 play · 85 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
93.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 85 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:027% → 7%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
93.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 9 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
93.0%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
92.9%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
93.1%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
93.2%
Derek Adams punt for 56 yds, downed at the BwGrn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4895% → 96%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
95.3%
Fred Coppet run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
94.9%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
96.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
96.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds, downed at the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:565% → 4%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
94.9%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
95.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+10
95.6%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 10 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.6%
Holley, Nick pass sacked for loss of 13 yards to the KENTST34 (Greene, Trenton), PENALTY KENTST intentional grounding 0 yards to the KENTST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 23
OWN 34
0
96.0%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 23
OWN 34
0
96.1%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 23
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marquis Zimmerman at the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:5798% → 100%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
97.7%
Donovan Wilson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+6
97.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 9 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
98.3%
Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-6
98.6%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+22
98.4%
Donovan Wilson run for 22 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
98.5%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
98.6%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+4
98.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
98.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 11 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
99.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 17 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
99.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 18 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
99.8%
George Bollas sacked by Tyrik Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Myles Washington for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 6
50
0
99.8%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 6
50
-5
99.8%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Marques Moore) to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquis Zimmerman at the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 6:06100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
99.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 9 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-2
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+10
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 10 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 15 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
Terence Stephens Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 19 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 83 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
99.9%
George Bollas sacked by Dorian Hendrix for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 9Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 17
OWN 9
+11
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Zaquon Tyson for 11 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+29
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Myles Washington for 29 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+18
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 18 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+30
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 30 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:14
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q2 2:07
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 56 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q3 7:26
Josh Cleveland run for 85 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
+14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com