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BGSU

Bowling Green 38 at Akron 28

AKR
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2016 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:18: Ronnie Moore run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 12:38: Tyrell Goodman run for a loss of 11 yards Tyrell Goodman fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Marcus Milton , return for 76 yds, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +16.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:48: Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 64 yds for a TD, (Tyrell Goodman pass to Jerome Lane for Two-Point Conversion) — AKR win probability +35.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:23: Jake Suder 27 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +26.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:12: Donovan Wilson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +18.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 10BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:40AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:45AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30BGSU 4th & 7 at AKR 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:27AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:55BGSU 4th & 17 at BGSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:56AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:04BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:17AKR 4th & 14 at AKR 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:47AKR 4th & 5 at BGSU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:19BGSU 4th & 3 at AKR 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:52AKR 4th & 1 at BGSU 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−2.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:00BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.2%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:35BGSU 4th & 4 at AKR 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:06AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:52BGSU 4th & 24 at BGSU 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−4.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:20AKR 4th & 5 at BGSU 28, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−7.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:18BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−4.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:40AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 38, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:07BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 36, up 8
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−0.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:55BGSU 4th & 8 at AKR 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−0.4
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−3.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:55BGSU 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:23BGSU 4th & 3 at AKR 10, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%−4.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−33.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:44BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:19BGSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:24AKR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:18BGSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:07AKR Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:48AKR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    51.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:12BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1679% → 78%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
78.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-2
78.6%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+7
78.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds , Will Watson returns for 7 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2INT
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:4122% → 22%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
78.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+17
78.2%
Fred Coppet run for 17 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
78.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Fred Coppet for 4 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+10
77.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 10 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
77.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 12 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
77.6%
James Morgan pass intercepted DeAndre Scott return for no gain to the Akron 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4978% → 77%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
77.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
77.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 16
-3
77.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 7 yds to the Akron 23 AKRON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kyle Ritz) to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 5
OWN 13
0
77.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 5
OWN 13
+10
77.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds , Will Watson returns for 10 yds to the Akron 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0523% → 23%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
77.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
77.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+2
77.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
77.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5877% → 76%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
77.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 7 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-9
77.1%
AKRON Penalty, Illegal Block (Logan Tuley-Tillman) to the Akron 8Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+5
76.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-3
76.5%
Tra'Von Chapman sacked by Tyrik Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
76.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 35 yds, downed at the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2924% → 24%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
76.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
75.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 41
-11
75.7%
James Morgan sacked by Ulysees Gilbert III for a loss of 11 yards to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
76.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Akron 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5376% → 75%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
76.1%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
76.0%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 8 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
75.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+11
75.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 50 yds , Will Watson returns for 11 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4625% → 24%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
75.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
74.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
75.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4376% → 75%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
75.7%
AKRON Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Ritz) to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
75.5%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+6
75.3%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
74.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
74.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Will Watson at the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:2426% → 32%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
74.0%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
73.6%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+34
73.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 34 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
72.6%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
68.4%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:3870% → 72%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
70.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+9
69.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 9 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
70.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
70.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 33 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
71.1%
AKRON Penalty, False Start (JoJo Natson) to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+3
70.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 3 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
70.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+7
69.4%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
71.9%
Tom O'Leary 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:5630% → 39%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+42
70.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 42 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
68.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+12
68.4%
Donovan Wilson run for 12 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
68.1%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
67.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Leonard SkatteboSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+3
68.4%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+6
61.2%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:4263% → 70%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
62.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
63.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
62.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 1 yd to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
61.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
59.1%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
60.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 28 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
60.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.0%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 3:3334% → 38%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
65.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
64.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
64.6%
Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+1
65.8%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
64.5%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Se'Von Pittman) to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 4
OWN 43
+8
63.4%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
62.8%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
62.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-2
61.1%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+1
62.2%
Joseph Davidson punt for 37 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 1 yd to the Akron 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-5
63.5%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 2 Tra'Von Chapman fumbled, forced by Trenton Greene, recovered by BwGrn Trenton GreeneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.6%
Ronnie Moore run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:5752% → 51%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
51.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
51.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+2
51.8%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
51.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Will Watson at the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:3851% → 52%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
49.4%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+10
48.0%
Fred Coppet run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
48.6%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32 Fred Coppet fumbled, recovered by Akron Alvin DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4252% → 34%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
52.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+2
50.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+15
49.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
50.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+76
33.9%
Tyrell Goodman run for a loss of 11 yards Tyrell Goodman fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Marcus Milton , return for 76 yds, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:2332% → 46%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
31.7%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
31.9%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+1
31.4%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 49 Denzel Jones Jr. fumbled, forced by Trenton Greene, recovered by Akron LaVonne Gauthney for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+50
31.7%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 50 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · -14 yds · 1:1358% → 58%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
41.8%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+4
41.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+7
41.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-15
41.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+3
41.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 16
OWN 17
-8
41.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (-8 Yards) to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 24
OWN 9
+22
41.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 22 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2644% → 46%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
44.4%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+2
41.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
45.8%
Tom O'Leary 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4558% → 57%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
41.6%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-10
41.5%
James Morgan sacked by Ulysees Gilbert III for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+7
42.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+2
42.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 51 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 2 yds to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2940% → 38%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
39.7%
Tyrell Goodman run for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
40.2%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
40.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+1
37.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 45 yds , Will Watson returns for 1 yd to the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2364% → 66%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
35.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
35.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
35.0%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
34.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
34.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+4
33.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
34.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 63 yds, downed at the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27TD
14 plays · 99 yds · 5:1335% → 60%
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
35.0%
Tyrell Goodman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
34.7%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+9
32.9%
Tyrell Goodman run for 9 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
34.1%
Tyrell Goodman run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+6
32.6%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
29.4%
Tyrell Goodman run for 6 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.1%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
29.6%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 9 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
29.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-3
31.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+64
61.0%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 64 yds for a TD, (Tyrell Goodman pass to Jerome Lane for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-15
59.5%
AKRON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JoJo Natson) to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:3745% → 48%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
54.7%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
53.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+16
54.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Vanel Dossous for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
50
-1
49.1%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+15
51.0%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bryce Jones) to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
48.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
46.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
48.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
52.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 22 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 29INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
59.3%
Tyrell Goodman pass intercepted Jamari Bozeman return for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3552% → 47%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
50
0
48.0%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
50
0
47.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 10
50
0
49.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 10
50
0
53.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 20 yds, downed at the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 31INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:0359% → 57%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
58.9%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
58.6%
Tyrell Goodman run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
56.7%
Tyrell Goodman pass intercepted Marcus Milton return for no gain to the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 32FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:0256% → 79%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
44.5%
Fred Coppet run for 12 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
42.1%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
41.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the Akron 16Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-4
40.6%
Donovan Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 13
OPP 20
+10
44.9%
Fred Coppet run for 10 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
20.7%
Jake Suder 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 33TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0096% → 94%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
4.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
5.7%
AKRON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ibrahima Camara) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 34INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 1:115% → 5%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
5.2%
Tyrell Goodman sacked by David Konowalski and Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+16
3.5%
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 16 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+25
3.5%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 25 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
3.9%
Tyrell Goodman run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+5
4.0%
Tyrell Goodman run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
4.7%
Tyrell Goodman run for no gain to the BwGrn 31 Tyrell Goodman fumbled, recovered by AkronSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
4.5%
Tyrell Goodman pass intercepted Jamari Bozeman return for no gain to the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 35END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:1997% → 96%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
3.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
OWN 13
-1
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:48
Tyrell Goodman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 64 yds for a TD, (Tyrell Goodman pass to Jerome Lane for Two-Point Conversion)
+35.9
FG · Q4 2:23
Jake Suder 27 yd FG GOOD
-26.6
TD · Q4 2:12
Donovan Wilson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
-18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com