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WMU

Western Michigan 37 at Kent State 21

KENT
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2016 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDFGTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:55 · Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior−34.4Home team on offense+5.6Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor+2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Davon Tucker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +6.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 2:11: Zach Terrell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Terrell pass to Fabian Johnson for Two-Point Conversion) — WMU win probability +20.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:52: Justin Rankin run for 20 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +23.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:27: Jarvion Franklin run for 19 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +17.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:00: Fabian Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:07KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:21WMU 4th & 9 at KENT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−4.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:55KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00WMU 4th & 6 at KENT 6, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:01WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:19KENT 4th & 2 at WMU 48, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:11WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:57KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.2%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:43KENT 4th & 3 at WMU 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:38WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 30, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 5:14KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:12WMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:11WMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:52KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:27WMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:00WMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2910% → 11%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
10.0%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-5
10.2%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 12Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+8
10.4%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
10.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
10.6%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds , Darius Phillips returns for no gain to the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FUMBLE TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+47
11.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Juantez McRae, recovered by KntSt Najee Murray , return for 47 yds for a TD. (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0989% → 88%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
11.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-4
11.6%
Zach Terrell sacked by Chris Fairchild for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 20Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
12.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+2
12.1%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 32 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 2 yds to the KntSt 22 KENT ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the KntSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 5:5112% → 20%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
12.2%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+19
12.6%
Kavious Price run for 19 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
13.2%
Nick Holley run for 15 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
13.8%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
14.2%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
14.6%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
15.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
15.9%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+8
16.3%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.6%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 4:4081% → 78%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
18.6%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 15 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
19.0%
Zach Terrell run for 3 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
19.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+18
20.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 18 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
20.3%
Fabian Johnson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
20.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
21.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
21.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 17 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
21.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
21.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 8Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
21.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
23.7%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
21.7%
Butch Hampton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:0622% → 26%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
22.1%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
22.9%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
22.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 5 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
23.9%
Nick Holley run for 12 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
26.4%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
26.8%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
26.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
26.0%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:3573% → 75%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+27
26.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 27 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
26.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
27.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+8
27.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
28.2%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
29.1%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+7
29.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
29.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
29.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+12
31.7%
Fabian Johnson run for 12 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
31.0%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+5
31.7%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.7%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8INT
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:1628% → 34%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
27.7%
Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 15 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
28.5%
Raekwon James run for 10 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
30.5%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
31.4%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
31.8%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
33.3%
KENT ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+7
33.1%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+28
33.6%
Nick Holley pass intercepted Caleb Bailey return for 28 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9END OF HALF
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2371% → 71%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
29.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
29.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
28.9%
Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
29.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
30.2%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
31.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
29.0%
Butch Hampton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3969% → 66%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
30.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
31.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Donnie ErnsbergerSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael HenrySimilar
Q3 14:01
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
33.7%
James Coleman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2133% → 36%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
33.2%
Nick Holley run for 11 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
35.6%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
36.6%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+4
36.2%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
35.8%
Derek Adams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
21 plays · 90 yds · 8:5265% → 83%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
34.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
35.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
36.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
35.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-5
36.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+5
37.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 5 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+11
38.9%
Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
36.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
37.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
36.0%
Fabian Johnson run for 5 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
35.7%
Fabian Johnson run for 15 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
35.8%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
34.6%
Fabian Johnson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
34.8%
Fabian Johnson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
35.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
37.0%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
35.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+10
36.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the KntSt 2Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
37.0%
Fabian Johnson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
16.6%
Zach Terrell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Terrell pass to Fabian Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:0421% → 49%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
21.4%
Justin Rankin run for 18 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
22.1%
Holley, Nick pass incomplete to James, Raekwon, PENALTY WESTMICH offside 5 yards to the KENTST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+4
24.4%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
24.8%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+30
22.7%
Nick Holley run for 30 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
25.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
48.9%
Justin Rankin run for 20 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:0660% → 60%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
39.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 2 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+29
39.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 14 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
36.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
37.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+6
39.6%
Fabian Johnson run for 6 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
39.9%
James Coleman punt for 53 yds, downed at the KntSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
35.8%
Robert Spillane SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5869% → 90%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
29.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
30.6%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
29.1%
Fabian Johnson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 6
50
+22
28.8%
Fabian Johnson run for 22 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
27.2%
Fabian Johnson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
27.4%
Fabian Johnson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+19
10.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 19 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0514% → 12%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
13.8%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+9
13.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 9 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
13.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
12.1%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:4091% → 98%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
9.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+12
8.0%
Fabian Johnson run for 12 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
7.4%
Fabian Johnson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+8
7.2%
Fabian Johnson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.4%
Fabian Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
2.9%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
3.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 5 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
3.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
3.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+10
2.9%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 10 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
3.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Zaquon Tyson for 15 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
3.6%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
3.4%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+7
2.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 7 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
2.9%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:5998% → 99%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
1.9%
Fabian Johnson run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
1.8%
Fabian Johnson run for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-1
1.7%
Fabian Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
1.3%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:151% → 1%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
1.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Brice Fackler for 8 yds to the KntSt 39 lat. to Raekwon James for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 39 lat. to Mike Marinelli for no gain to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ryan MaloneSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
1.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Brice Fackler for 10 yds to the KntSt 46 lat. to Justin Rankin for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:52
Justin Rankin run for 20 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+23.1
TD · Q3 2:11
Zach Terrell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Terrell pass to Fabian Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)
-20.4
TD · Q4 8:27
Jarvion Franklin run for 19 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)
-17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com