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EMU

Eastern Michigan 48 at Ball State 41

BALL
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2016 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:15 · Kyle Schmidt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the BalSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense+9.5Pregame prior+9.7Garbage-time factor+3.9Score differential+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:34: Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +21.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:54: Brogan Roback pass complete to Dan Buschman for 30 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +16.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:52: Riley Neal pass complete to Cywettnie Brown for 62 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +17.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:35: Riley Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — BALL win probability +46.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:32: Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brogan Roback pass to Sergio Bailey II for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +56.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 9 of 11EMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:31EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:15BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:52EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:24BALL 4th & 2 at EMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:09EMU 4th & 15 at BALL 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:39BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:28BALL 4th & 9 at BALL 10, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:43EMU 4th & 11 at BALL 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:15BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:51BALL 4th & 15 at BALL 20, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:52EMU 4th & 6 at BALL 8, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:47BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 43, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:56EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 24, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:55EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 48, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−2.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:22BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 29, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:54BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:38EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:38BALL 4th & 4 at EMU 47, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:47EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 20, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−4.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:23EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−2.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:15BALL 4th & 2 at EMU 31, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−5.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−11.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:24BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:36BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:37BALL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:57EMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:45EMU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:42BALL Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:08EMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:34EMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:54EMU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:52BALL Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:35BALL Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    70.1%−2.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.9%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:32EMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.4%−1.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2436% → 36%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
64.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+21
64.5%
Brogan Roback run for 21 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
64.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 8 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
64.2%
Antoine Porter run for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
64.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0064% → 64%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
64.3%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
64.3%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+6
64.0%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 57 yds , Blake Banham returns for 6 yds to the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1836% → 36%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
64.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
64.1%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+1
64.3%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
64.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:2164% → 67%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
64.3%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+14
64.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 14 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
64.8%
BALL ST Penalty, False Start (Alex Joss) to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+5
64.3%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
64.7%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+8
64.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 8 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+34
66.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 34 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.5%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the EMich 14 Willie Parker fumbled, recovered by BalSt David MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:2767% → 71%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
67.4%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
71.0%
KeVonn Mabon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
69.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 8 yds Dieuly Aristilde fumbled, forced by Zack Ryan, recovered by BalSt Martez HesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:4471% → 76%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
71.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 18 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
71.7%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
72.1%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.4%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:1524% → 23%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+19
75.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
50
0
76.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
50
+11
76.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 11 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
76.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 6 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
76.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 5 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
77.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
77.7%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+15
78.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 15 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
78.0%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 13Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
78.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 11
OPP 13
-4
79.3%
Brogan Roback sacked by Zack Ryan for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
77.0%
Paul Fricano 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2177% → 77%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
77.2%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
77.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
76.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
76.6%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 44 yds, downed at the EMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:3023% → 23%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+40
77.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 40 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.0%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
76.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
77.1%
Isaac Holder pass intercepted Marc Walton return for no gain to the BalSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3076% → 77%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
76.3%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-1
76.3%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 8Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+2
75.5%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 9
OWN 10
0
76.8%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds, downed at the BalSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3922% → 22%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
77.6%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
78.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Ian EriksenSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
78.7%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
78.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1679% → 77%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
78.5%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-5
78.8%
BALL ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+3
77.8%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 13Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
78.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
77.1%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the BalSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:1022% → 28%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
78.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 12 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
78.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 9 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
77.9%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
77.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 15 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
77.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
77.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+9
78.8%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete to Daugherty, Eddie, PENALTY BALLST pass interference 9 yards to the BALLST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dan Buschman for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:1577% → 77%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
76.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cywettnie Brown for 37 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
77.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Danny PinterSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+16
77.0%
Riley Neal run for 16 yds Riley Neal fumbled, forced by Juan Giraldo, recovered by EMichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 3:3125% → 38%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
74.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+12
75.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 12 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
74.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 10 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
74.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 6 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
73.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+8
73.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 8 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
74.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
74.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 8 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+9
73.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
73.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the BalSt 10Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+9
73.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5069% → 67%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Danny PinterSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.9%
Riley Neal sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 20 Riley Neal fumbled, recovered by BalStSimilar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
66.9%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:5336% → 39%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
64.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
64.6%
Roback, Brogan pass incomplete to Kilby, Nigel, PENALTY BALLST roughing passer 15 yards to the BALLST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTMICH.Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
62.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 32 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
61.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
61.2%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
62.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
60.8%
Paul Fricano 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0164% → 76%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 5 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
64.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 7 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
65.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 6 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+8
66.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 8 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
67.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 9 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
68.2%
Riley Neal run for 12 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
76.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 13 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21END OF HALF
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:3127% → 26%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
73.5%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
73.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
73.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
72.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
72.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+25
73.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 25 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5975% → 75%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
75.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 5 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+5
75.5%
Teddy Williamson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
75.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
75.7%
Malik Dunner run for 7 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
76.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Danny Pinter for 2 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
74.6%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4526% → 23%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
74.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
75.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
76.2%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+2
76.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds , Corey Lacanaria returns for 2 yds to the BalSt 40 Corey Lacanaria fumbled, recovered by EMichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3927% → 43%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
72.7%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
72.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 5 yds to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+13
73.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 13 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
71.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 19 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.3%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:2964% → 66%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
64.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 8 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
65.8%
Teddy Williamson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
66.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 15 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0941% → 36%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
59.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
61.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
62.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
62.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
64.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:1964% → 62%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
63.7%
Teddy Williamson run for 11 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
64.0%
Teddy Williamson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
64.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 1 yd to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
63.0%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+2
61.7%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 43 yds , Blake Banham returns for 2 yds to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:3738% → 65%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
61.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+9
60.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 9 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
59.2%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+29
62.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 29 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
56.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 14 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
34.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1741% → 38%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.1%
Teddy Williamson run for no gain to the BalSt 25Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
40.6%
Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
40.4%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 29Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
37.5%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 41 yds, downed at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 2:4662% → 84%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
38.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
36.6%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+4
36.2%
Brogan Roback run for 4 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
34.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Blake BanhamSimilar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
35.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Isaac HolderSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+19
36.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 19 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
33.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly AristildeSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
33.3%
Blake Banham run for 9 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
32.2%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
15.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dan Buschman for 30 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 31TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4621% → 40%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
21.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 7 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
21.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cywettnie Brown for 6 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
39.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cywettnie Brown for 62 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 32PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 1:4865% → 70%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.6%
Brogan Roback run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
32.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
33.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 12 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
31.1%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
31.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+8
33.8%
Brogan Roback run for 8 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
28.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 7
OWN 47
+4
30.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 42 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for 4 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 33PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:4634% → 35%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
34.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Teddy Williamson for 9 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
35.5%
Teddy Williamson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
35.1%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+20
34.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 20 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
38.8%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
34.4%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+8
34.4%
Riley Neal run for 8 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+8
33.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 8 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
35.3%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 34PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3672% → 70%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.9%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
28.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
29.5%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
30.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 29 yds, downed at the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 35INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4236% → 36%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
36.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
34.5%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Aaron HeppSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
33.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+7
33.7%
Teddy Williamson run for 7 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
36.0%
Riley Neal pass intercepted, touchback. DaQuan Pace return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 36PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2277% → 80%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
22.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
18.7%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
18.7%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
20.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Aaron Hepp at the BalSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 37TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 2:4327% → 83%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
26.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
50
+11
27.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 11 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
26.9%
Riley Neal sacked by Pat O'Connor and Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 16
OPP 45
-5
24.1%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 21
50
+15
22.2%
Riley Neal run for 15 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
27.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 4 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+9
23.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 9 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
25.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Aaron HeppSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
24.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 21 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.7%
Teddy Williamson run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.5%
Riley Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 38TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 0:5331% → 97%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
69.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+5
68.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 5 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
69.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 18 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
65.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 11 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
62.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 11 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+35
59.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 35 yds to the BalSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brogan Roback pass to Sergio Bailey II for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 39INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:219% → 11%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
9.2%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
8.7%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+22
8.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 22 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
11.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
10.9%
Riley Neal pass intercepted DaQuan Pace return for 15 yds to the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:32
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brogan Roback pass to Sergio Bailey II for Two-Point Conversion)
-56.3
TD · Q4 1:35
Riley Neal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+46.9
TD · Q3 4:34
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-21.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com