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KENT

Kent State 27 at Central Michigan 24

CMU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:58 · Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+21.2Home team on offense−7.8Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:22: Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +10.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:26: Corey Willis 3 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Cooper Rush Pass to Tyler Conklin for Two-Point Conversion) — CMU win probability +14.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:17: Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 40 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +7.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:58: Nick Holley pass intercepted for a TD Tony Annese return for 28 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +9.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:58: KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jon Cunningham) to the 50 yard line — CMU win probability +6.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:23CMU 4th & 8 at KENT 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:23KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:47CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:21KENT 4th & 3 at CMU 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.2%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:31KENT 4th & 8 at CMU 37, up 1
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:58KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 33, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:26CMU 4th & 3 at KENT 3, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−7.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:13KENT 4th & 9 at CMU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:13CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:14CMU 4th & 15 at KENT 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:14KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:39CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 47, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:22KENT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:26CMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    69.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:17CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:58CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
84.7%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 17 Nick Holley fumbled, recovered by CMich Joe OstmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2985% → 84%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.6%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
84.6%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
84.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
84.3%
Brian Eavey 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Terence WaughSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
84.2%
Nick Holley run for 12 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
84.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
84.1%
Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-4
84.1%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
84.2%
Derek Adams punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
84.2%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
84.2%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
83.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+6
83.1%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the CMich 18 Devon Spalding fumbled, forced by Jerrell Foster,Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
83.0%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 8
OWN 18
-3
82.9%
Jack Sheldon punt for 57 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 4:4218% → 20%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
82.5%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
82.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 10 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
82.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Brice Fackler for 15 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
82.1%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+11
82.1%
Nick Holley run for 11 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
82.0%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
81.9%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-2
82.1%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
80.0%
Shane Hynes 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
79.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 10 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
80.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 8 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
80.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-1
80.5%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
79.9%
Jack Sheldon punt for 54 yds, downed at the KntSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7SF
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1721% → 21%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-3
79.1%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 1Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 13
OWN 1
+4
79.1%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+3
79.5%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 6
OWN 8
0
79.4%
Derek Adams punt blocked by Winslow Chapman for a SAFETY blocked by Winslow Chapman for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8INT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:2579% → 78%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
79.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+1
80.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
80.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 8 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+6
80.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-4
79.1%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+30
77.8%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Kevin Bourne return for 30 yds to the CMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
75.1%
Kavious Price run for 4 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-2
74.4%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
75.3%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
76.2%
Derek Adams punt for 35 yds, downed at the CMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
76.1%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 3Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
76.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+8
75.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 8 yds Corey Willis fumbled, forced by Najee Murray, recovered by KntSt Nate Holley , return for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:4128% → 35%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
72.5%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
72.5%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the CMich 9Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+6
73.2%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.5%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
64.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, roughing passer (Malik Fountain) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0065% → 68%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
64.7%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Kevin Bourne) to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.8%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
64.7%
HAYES, Jahray rush for 9 yards to the CMU29 (BOURNE, Kevin;MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY CMU holding (QUINN, J.P.) 10 yards to the CMU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+11
64.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 11 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+11
63.9%
Cooper Rush run for 11 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
65.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 15 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
67.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 7 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+14
67.5%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Kevin Bourne return for 14 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1839% → 38%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
60.6%
Nick Holley sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 18
OWN 21
+6
61.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 6 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+6
62.0%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 33 Nick Holley fumbled, forced by Mike Danna, recovered by KntStSimilar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
61.6%
Derek Adams punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 2:5561% → 75%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+17
60.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 17 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
62.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+12
63.3%
Devon Spalding run for 12 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
64.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+14
62.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 14 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
64.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 12 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
64.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by James AlexanderSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
64.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q2 3:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
63.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 0
OPP 7
+4
59.2%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jamal Parker) to the KntSt 3Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.8%
Corey Willis 3 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Cooper Rush Pass to Tyler Conklin for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
71.3%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:4374% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-8
73.8%
Cooper Rush sacked by Nick Cuthbert for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+2
73.6%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 13
+17
72.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 17 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
74.1%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+14
75.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 14 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
76.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+18
76.1%
Cooper Rush run for 18 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
76.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
76.8%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-10
76.0%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to SPALDING, Devon for 7 yards to the KENT23, out-of-bounds (CUTHBERT, Nick), PENALTY CMU holding (CARR, Shakir) 10 yards to the KENT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+40
83.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 40 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17INT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1919% → 10%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.1%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
80.9%
Nick Holley sacked by Alex Briones and Jabari Dean for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+28
90.1%
Nick Holley pass intercepted for a TD Tony Annese return for 28 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
96.9%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jon Cunningham) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:434% → 3%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
96.6%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+29
96.6%
Nick Holley pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 29 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
96.4%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+40
96.4%
Justin Rankin run for 40 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
95.9%
Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.9%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
96.9%
Jahray Hayes run for 9 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
97.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
97.0%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 8
50
+23
96.9%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Najee Murray return for 23 yds to the CMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:142% → 2%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.6%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+8
97.5%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.5%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-1
98.1%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
98.4%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
98.5%
Shane Hynes 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jabari DeanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:13
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+8
98.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 37 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 8 yds to the KntSt 32 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (15 Yards) to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
Cooper Rush run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Brandon ChildressSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23MISSED FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 7:5999% → 99%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
98.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 9 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
98.6%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
98.7%
Devon Spalding run for 7 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.7%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
98.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+11
98.7%
Cooper Rush run for 11 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
98.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 12 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
98.7%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-6
98.7%
Cooper Rush sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
99.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jahray HayesSimilar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+48
99.4%
Brian Eavey 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Quan Robinson Jr. Jerrell Foster return for 3 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:161% → 1%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
98.6%
Nick Holley 68 Yd Run (Shane Hynes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.2%
KENT ST Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
99.2%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Derek Adams punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.5%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to WILLIS, Corey for 16 yards to the CMU36 (PARKER, Jamal), PENALTY CMU holding (QUINN, J.P.) 10 yards to the CMU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+28
99.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 28 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-7
99.6%
Cooper Rush sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+16
99.5%
Cooper Rush run for 16 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 1:551% → 0%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.4%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+20
99.4%
Nick Holley run for 20 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin RankinSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.5%
Nick Holley pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 13 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.5%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 13 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.4%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
99.4%
Nick Holley pass incomplete, broken up by Kelby LattaSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+3
99.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 3 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
99.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 7 yds to the CMich 16Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-2
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 18Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+35
99.7%
Shane Hynes 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-99.7
TD · Q2 0:26
Corey Willis 3 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Cooper Rush Pass to Tyler Conklin for Two-Point Conversion)
+14.7
TD · Q2 7:22
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com