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OHIO

Ohio 14 at Kent State 10

KENT
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:52 · Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense−1.7Pregame prior−8.0Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:35: Maleek Irons run for 4 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +8.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:36: Nick Holley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +12.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:17: Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9 — KENT win probability +12.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:45: Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8 — OHIO win probability +11.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Timeout KENT ST, clock 01:27 — OHIO win probability +9.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 13OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 7 at KENT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30KENT 4th & 1 at OHIO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:45OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:52KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:53KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:22KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:05KENT 4th & 5 at OHIO 5, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54KENT 4th & 1 at OHIO 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%−2.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:55KENT 4th & 17 at OHIO 32, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−2.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:41OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:08KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 38, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:48KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:44OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:46KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 47, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−2.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:19OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:49KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:52KENT 4th & 6 at OHIO 7, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.4 ptsWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%−6.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−17.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:55OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:35OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:36KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.2%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
40.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 21 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
40.2%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+1
40.2%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+1
40.2%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+9
40.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 40 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 9 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
41.1%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+8
41.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 8 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
41.1%
Nick Holley run for 12 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
41.3%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 0
0
41.1%
PENALTY KENT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY OHIO unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+10
41.2%
Nick Holley run for 10 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
41.3%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-2
41.2%
Nick Holley sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:2159% → 61%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
41.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
39.2%
Dorian Brown run for 49 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
39.8%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
39.8%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+13
39.6%
Nick Holley run for 13 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
40.0%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 17
OWN 32
0
39.8%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+8
39.5%
Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 8 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+50
39.5%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the KENTST 20 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
39.5%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-8
39.4%
BROWN, Dorian rush for 3 yards to the OHIO19 (FAIRCHILD, C.), PENALTY OHIO illegal block (LOWERY, Joe) 8 yards to the OHIO8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
39.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+2
39.9%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
40.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 51 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for no gain to the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
39.9%
Kavious Price run for 6 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
40.5%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
40.3%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
40.1%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2361% → 61%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
39.0%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+6
39.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Elijah Ball for 6 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 2
OWN 21
-10
39.1%
MAXWELL, Quinto pass complete to WHITE, Papi for 11 yards to the OHIO32 (HOLLEY, Nate), PENALTY OHIO pass interference (BALL, Elijah) 10 yards to the OHIO11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+1
39.5%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 12Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
39.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
39.8%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
39.3%
Myles Washington run for no gain to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
38.8%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
38.1%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 6:1862% → 71%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
38.4%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+8
38.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for 8 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
37.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Mason Morgan for 8 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
37.2%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
37.1%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+1
37.8%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+10
38.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 10 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+34
37.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 34 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
36.7%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+4
36.2%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+6
36.5%
Quinton Maxwell run for 6 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.6%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
Q2 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
28.7%
FARKAS, Michael kickoff 63 yards to the KENT2, PRICE, Kavious return to the KENT20 (CROUTCH, Evan), PENALTY OHIO offside 5 yards to the OHIO30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
29.2%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
28.8%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
29.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
28.9%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
28.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+60
28.1%
Maleek Irons run for 60 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
27.1%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
27.1%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the KntSt 4 Maleek Irons fumbled, forced by Kevin Bourne, recovered by KntSt Kevin BourneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12FG
22 plays · 91 yds · 4:5027% → 30%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
27.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 4 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+20
27.4%
Nick Holley run for 20 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
28.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Johnny Woods for 7 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
28.6%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
29.0%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
28.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ryan Malone for 9 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
29.4%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
50
+5
29.6%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
26.4%
Nick Holley pass complete to Myles Washington for 6 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
26.4%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
27.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Myles Washington for 4 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
27.2%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+11
27.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 11 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
27.2%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ryan MaloneSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
26.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 1 yd to the Ohio 5Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
30.0%
Shane Hynes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
27.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:1829% → 44%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
28.8%
Nick Holley sacked by Blair Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-2
28.5%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+31
27.6%
Nick Holley pass complete to Brice Fackler for 31 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
30.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 10 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
31.1%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+2
30.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ryan Malone for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+11
29.6%
Nick Holley run for 11 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
29.7%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
32.3%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
32.2%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+12
30.9%
Nick Holley run for 12 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
32.3%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
32.3%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+5
31.0%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
32.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
32.3%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.4%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
38.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
37.5%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
37.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass intercepted Jerrell Foster return for no gain to the KntSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:1743% → 38%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
43.2%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45 Justin Rankin fumbled, forced by Kevin Robbins, recovered by KntSt Justin RankinSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
43.9%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
42.5%
HOLLEY, Nick pass intercepted by HAGAN, Javon at the 50 yardline, HAGAN, Javon return to the KENT17 (FACKLER, Brice), PENALTY OHIO roughing passer (BROWN, Blair) 15 yards to the OHIO40, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
44.9%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
47.1%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-10
47.1%
Nick Holley sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 17
OPP 32
0
41.1%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ryan Malone, broken up by Quentin PolingSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 17
OPP 32
0
37.7%
Nick Holley punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
36.6%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
36.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+8
37.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Dorian Brown for 8 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+13
38.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 13 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.3%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
40.6%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+6
39.3%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 48 Nick Holley fumbled, forced by Grant Cunningham, recovered by KntStSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+23
39.0%
Derek Adams punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the KENTST 19 KENT ST Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0366% → 66%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
33.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-4
34.0%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+12
36.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Dorian Brown for 12 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+6
33.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 6 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Myles WashingtonSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.6%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
38.2%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by Javon HaganSimilar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
36.3%
TEAM punt, downed at the Ohio 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
32.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
33.1%
Quinton Maxwell run for 5 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
31.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
34.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0039% → 41%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
38.6%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+20
38.3%
Nick Holley run for 20 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
40.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
40.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+7
38.9%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
40.9%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
31.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 12 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
30.9%
Dorian Brown run for 11 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
30.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 4 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
28.1%
Quinton Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
28.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
30.9%
Michael Farkas punt for 34 yds, downed at the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0036% → 33%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.0%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
39.6%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-6
38.0%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
33.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
32.9%
Derek Adams punt for 49 yds , Papi White returns for no gain to the Ohio 11 Papi White fumbled, recovered by KntSt Ernest CalhounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2545% → 34%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
45.3%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
45.3%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-3
42.2%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 7Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 6
OPP 7
0
33.7%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:1878% → 91%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
22.4%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+10
20.8%
Dorian Brown run for 10 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
19.7%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+11
19.2%
Dorian Brown run for 11 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
18.4%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
8.9%
Dorian Brown run for 10 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
7.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 14
OWN 39
-4
8.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:17
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9
+12.3
TD · Q3 6:36
Nick Holley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+12.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:45
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com