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EMU

Eastern Michigan 31 at Western Michigan 45

WMU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:42 · Brogan Roback pass complete to Willie Parker for 6 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:35: Antoine Porter 29 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Paul Fricano Kick), (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +7.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:14: Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +4.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:27: Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 8 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:16: Breck Turner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +10.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:12: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 31 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +6.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:02EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:35WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:55EMU 4th & 1 at WMU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32EMU 4th & 10 at WMU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:35EMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 28, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:55EMU 4th & 4 at WMU 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:02WMU 4th & 14 at EMU 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:02WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:35EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:13WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:35EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:14WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:27WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:16EMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:12WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:55WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:21EMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.3%
FRANKLIN, J rush for 12 yards to the WMU37 (PACE, DaQuan;SPEARMAN, Ike), PENALTY WMU illegal formation 5 yards to the WMU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
94.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 12 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
94.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 37 yds, downed at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
93.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner to Antoine Porter for 14 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
93.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 7 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+9
93.9%
Breck Turner run for 38 yds to the WMich 17 Breck Turner fumbled, forced by Justin Ferguson, recovered by WMich Darius Phillips , return for 9 yds to the WMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:4394% → 94%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
93.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
93.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 18 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
93.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 12 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
93.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
93.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 8 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
93.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 32 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:007% → 7%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
93.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 12 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
93.4%
Breck Turner run for 9 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-4
93.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
93.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 5
OWN 45
-5
93.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
93.2%
Austin Barnes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
93.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 8 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+8
93.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 8 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
93.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+21
93.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 21 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
93.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
93.3%
Zach Terrell sacked by Jeremiah Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 37 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by EMich Kwanii Figueroa , return for 0 yards , return for 10 yds to the WMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:438% → 11%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
92.2%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+13
92.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 13 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
92.0%
Willie Parker run for 7 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
92.0%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
92.2%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
89.4%
Brogan Roback run for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:2291% → 92%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
90.3%
Fabian Johnson run for 7 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
90.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+36
90.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 36 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
90.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
90.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (Jeremiah Harris) to the EMich 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+3
90.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
90.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+6
90.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 5:419% → 11%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
91.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 9 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
91.5%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+16
91.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
91.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Willie Parker for 9 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
90.7%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+9
91.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Lavonte Robinson for 9 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
90.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Justin FergusonSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
90.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 15 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
90.4%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
90.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
90.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Sam BealSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
89.4%
Paul Fricano 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
89.3%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Ross Williams return for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 2:4011% → 20%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
88.9%
Breck Turner run for 14 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
88.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+3
89.3%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+16
89.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dan Buschman for 16 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
87.8%
Brogan Roback run for 8 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
87.7%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
87.4%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-5
87.6%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to GARDNER, Cole for 5 yards to the WMU19 (BROWN, Asantay), PENALTY EMU illegal procedure 5 yards to the WMU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+29
80.4%
Antoine Porter 29 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Paul Fricano Kick), (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:2181% → 88%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
81.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+51
80.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 51 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
83.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
83.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the EMich 6Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
87.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
87.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 4 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
87.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
87.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 9 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
86.0%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Obbie Jackson return for no gain to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:3687% → 91%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
86.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 15 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
87.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
86.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (Maxx Crosby) to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+26
87.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 26 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
88.3%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+44
90.5%
B. Hampton 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
88.7%
TURNER, Breck rush for no gain to the EMU6 (ASSUOA, Eric), PENALTY WMU offside defense 5 yards to the EMU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 11
0
88.5%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
88.7%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+8
89.1%
Brogan Roback run for 8 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
88.5%
Sergio Bailey II run for 2 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
88.6%
Brogan Roback run for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
88.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Willie Parker for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+6
89.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 27 , Darius Phillips returns for 6 yds to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:5288% → 95%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
87.9%
Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
88.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 4 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
88.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 4 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Rachwal) to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
89.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 15 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
89.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-3
89.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+15
88.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 15 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
89.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 8 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:117% → 18%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
92.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
92.7%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+56
92.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 56 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
82.1%
Breck Turner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0488% → 96%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
88.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
89.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
89.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 16 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
89.7%
FRANKLIN, J rush for 5 yards to the EMU33 (BECK, Jason;MOODY, Justin), PENALTY WMU holding (DAY, Jackson) 10 yards to the EMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+19
89.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 19 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
89.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
89.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.9%
Corey Davis run for no gain to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-7
89.9%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 13 yds to the EMich 11 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Taylor Moton) to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+31
95.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 31 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:126% → 6%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.6%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
93.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 9 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
93.1%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.2%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
93.6%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
93.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie Daugherty, broken up by Obbie JacksonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 6:4296% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
95.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+11
95.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 11 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
95.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 42 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (John Keenoy) to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+7
95.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 7 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+12
95.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
95.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
95.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 13 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
95.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 21 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
95.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+4
95.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 4 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
95.9%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 3 Zach Terrell fumbled, forced by Ikie Calderon, recovered by WMich Donnie ErnsbergerSimilar
Q4 14:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:341% → 3%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 12 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-2
99.0%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+5
99.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 5 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
99.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 22 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 2 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+7
98.8%
Breck Turner run for 7 yds to the WMich 9 Breck Turner fumbled, forced by Justin Tranquill, recovered by EMich Breck Turner , return for no gain to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
99.3%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.3%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
98.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
98.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
98.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+3
99.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds D'Wayne Eskridge fumbled, forced by Juan Giraldo,Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 34 yds, downed at the EMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+25
97.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Willie Parker for 10 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
97.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Willie Parker for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
97.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Willie Parker for 6 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:16
Breck Turner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-10.8
TD · Q2 3:35
Antoine Porter 29 Yd pass from Brogan Roback (Paul Fricano Kick), (Paul Fricano KICK)
-7.2
TD · Q3 1:12
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 31 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com