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KENT

Kent State 14 at Miami (OH) 18

M-OH
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:18 · George Bollas pass intercepted Deondre Daniels return for 23 yds to the MIAMIOH 43 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Zach Smierciak) to the MiaOh 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingOne-score game
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense+12.5Garbage-time factor+4.7Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4One-score game+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:45: Nick Holley run for 21 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +17.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:59: Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +19.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 1:34: Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 55 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — M-OH win probability +45.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:34: George Bollas pass incomplete — KENT win probability +16.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:57: Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 00:57 — M-OH win probability +11.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:20KENT 4th & 6 at M-OH 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:26KENT 4th & 1 at M-OH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−1.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:22M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:52KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 21, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49M-OH 4th & 4 at KENT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.1%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00M-OH 4th & 7 at KENT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−8.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:10M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:59KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−4.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:08M-OH 4th & 3 at KENT 40, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−3.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−2.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 9 at KENT 47, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:29KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−3.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:29M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 29, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.2 ptsPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−5.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:22KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−2.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:18KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:22KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:45KENT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:59M-OH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:34M-OH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.7%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.6%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
48.6%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
48.6%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
48.6%
Justin Martin punt for 41 yds, downed at the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2INT
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:3551% → 51%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
48.9%
Raekwon James run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+4
48.8%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
48.8%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
48.8%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+10
48.8%
Kavious Price run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
48.7%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
48.7%
Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
48.7%
Kavious Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+8
48.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Johnny Woods for 8 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+1
48.8%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+5
49.6%
HYNES, Shane field goal attempt from 40 GOOD, clock 08:02, PENALTY MIAMI offside defense 5 yards to the MIAMI18, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
48.8%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
48.8%
Nick Holley pass intercepted Tj Williams return for 1 yd to the MiaOh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
49.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+4
49.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+5
49.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
49.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-4
50.4%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+16
49.6%
Gus Ragland run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
50.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
50.7%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+2
49.8%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
49.5%
Justin Martin punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:3050% → 49%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
50.1%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
49.9%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+7
50.3%
Nick Holley pass complete to Brice Fackler for 7 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
49.5%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-6
50.1%
Nick Holley sacked by Jt Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+8
51.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 8 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
51.2%
Derek Adams punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0052% → 54%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
52.1%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+13
52.1%
Gus Ragland run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
53.5%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 47 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by KntSt Anthony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
48.9%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-3
48.6%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
49.2%
Nick Holley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
50.4%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
52.3%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
52.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+1
51.3%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+16
50.8%
Justin Martin punt for 42 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 16 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1853% → 62%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
46.9%
HOLLEY, Nick rush over left tackle for 6 yards to the MIAMI25 (SMIERCIAK, Zach), PENALTY KENT holding (SHINSKY, Connor) 10 yards to the MIAMI41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+1
48.3%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 19
OPP 40
+11
48.6%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 11 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+7
47.9%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 7 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
49.5%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
47.2%
Will Matthews run for 17 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.4%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
41.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Justin Martin punt for 63 yds, downed at the KntSt 12Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
41.5%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
40.8%
Gus Ragland sacked by Chris Fairchild for 0 yards to the MiaOh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:5560% → 61%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
39.6%
Kavious Price run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
39.7%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+2
38.8%
Kavious Price run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+34
38.7%
Derek Adams punt for 49 yds, downed at the MIAMIOH 30 KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Miles Hibbler) to the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:4941% → 44%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
41.0%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
40.0%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+6
39.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+4
40.2%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
42.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 22 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
43.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
43.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+3
42.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 3 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
44.3%
Nick Dowd 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.2%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
43.4%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
43.4%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
42.1%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
42.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
44.1%
Derek Adams punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
45.3%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
45.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
46.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
44.4%
Kyle Kramer punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 2:2556% → 75%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
44.3%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+5
44.6%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+17
45.2%
Kavious Price run for 17 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+48
43.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Will Matthews for 48 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
25.3%
Nick Holley run for 21 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:4027% → 50%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.4%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
27.4%
Spencer McInnis run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
27.2%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
28.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 18 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
29.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 14 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
30.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+22
30.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 22 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
49.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.3%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
40.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
42.6%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 23 Nick Holley fumbled, recovered by KntSt Nick HolleySimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-4
44.4%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
44.5%
Derek Adams punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the KntSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
46.3%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-3
46.3%
Gus Ragland sacked by Elcee Refuge for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+8
42.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 8 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
43.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
46.3%
TEAM run for no gain for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:3852% → 47%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
51.9%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+6
48.9%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+8
50.4%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
53.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
53.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
51.6%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
47.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
41.8%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
41.8%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+4
43.0%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
41.5%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+8
41.8%
Will Matthews run for 8 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
40.4%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
38.7%
Nick Holley pass incomplete, broken up by De'Andre MontgomerySimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
39.4%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+2
41.1%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
43.3%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
47.5%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 15 Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Gus RaglandSimilar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 15
OWN 15
-2
47.0%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+16
44.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
44.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
38.5%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 25 Myles Washington fumbled, recovered by KntSt Myles Washington , return for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
38.2%
Myles Washington run for 8 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
37.3%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-3
37.4%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+7
40.6%
Myles Washington run for 7 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
39.8%
Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:5642% → 91%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
41.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 17 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
45.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+55
90.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 55 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24INT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1626% → 17%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
73.9%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
75.1%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 8 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-13
75.7%
George Bollas sacked by Zach Smierciak for a loss of 13 yards to the KntSt 34 KENT ST Penalty, intentional grounding (George Bollas) to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+35
82.9%
George Bollas pass intercepted Deondre Daniels return for 23 yds to the MIAMIOH 43 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Zach Smierciak) to the MiaOh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · -21 yds · 0:1794% → 95%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-13
94.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 23
OWN 25
-6
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 29
OWN 19
-2
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:34
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 55 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+45.2
TD · Q3 5:59
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
+19.7
TD · Q3 8:45
Nick Holley run for 21 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
-17.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com