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EMU

Eastern Michigan 27 at Ohio 20

OHIO
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:52 · Michael Farkas punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Eddie Daugherty at the EMich 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+21.8Home team on offense−0.6Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:44: Dorian Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +14.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:49: Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +20.2 pts (now 55%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:09: Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 14 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +20.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:14: Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +24.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 3:47: Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +22.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12EMU 4th & 4 at OHIO 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:02OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:10EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 44, up 3
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:52OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 15, down 3
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:58EMU 4th & 4 at OHIO 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:42OHIO 4th & 1 at EMU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:46OHIO 4th & 5 at EMU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:41EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:10EMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:54EMU 4th & 3 at OHIO 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.5%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:40OHIO 4th & 6 at EMU 37, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:14EMU 4th & 15 at OHIO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−3.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−9.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:39OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−2.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:33OHIO 4th & 10 at EMU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 3:44OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:49EMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:09EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:14OHIO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:47EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.1%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
75.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 7 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.1%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
75.1%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
75.1%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Dorian BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+1
75.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 40 yds , Eddie Daugherty returns for 1 yd to the EMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2FG
13 plays · 77 yds · 4:0125% → 27%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
74.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
74.7%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to NIUPALAU, J. for 29 yards to the OHIO40, out-of-bounds (MOORE, Chad), PENALTY EMU pass interference 15 yards to the EMU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+32
74.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 32 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
74.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 17 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
74.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
74.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 7 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
74.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
74.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 9 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+9
74.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 9 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
74.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete, broken up by Casey SaylesSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
74.5%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.5%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
73.3%
Paul Fricano 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
73.4%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
73.4%
Greg Windham pass incomplete, broken up by Dion DawsonSimilar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-3
73.1%
Greg Windham sacked by Maxx Crosby for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
73.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Eddie Daugherty at the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 6 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
72.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
72.7%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
73.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
72.4%
Greg Windham run for 5 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 5
OWN 11
-3
72.4%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 8Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+7
72.1%
Papi White run for 7 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
72.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Eddie Daugherty at the EMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
71.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
71.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for no gain to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
71.3%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
71.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
71.0%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+2
70.9%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+9
70.5%
Greg Windham run for 9 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+35
71.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 35 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
72.3%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
72.2%
Greg Windham run for no gain to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+9
71.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 9 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-1
71.7%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:2631% → 31%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
69.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 20 yds to the OHIO 41 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.0%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
68.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sam Browning for 10 yds Sam Browning fumbled, forced by Chad Moore, recovered by Ohio Kylan Nelson , return for 2 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:0171% → 72%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
70.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Papi White for 16 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
71.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+19
71.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 19 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
71.6%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+5
71.6%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the EMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
71.6%
Quinton Maxwell run for a loss of 8 yards to the EMich 14 Quinton Maxwell fumbled, recovered by Ohio Quinton MaxwellSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+9
71.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Elijah Ball for 9 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
70.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
72.2%
Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
69.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
70.0%
Brogan Roback run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+3
70.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 3 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+1
70.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 56 yds , Papi White returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11INT
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:0071% → 73%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
71.0%
Bo Hardy run for 2 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+11
71.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 11 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
71.4%
Bo Hardy run for 1 yd to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
72.4%
Bo Hardy run for 4 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
72.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+35
73.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass intercepted DaQuan Pace return for 35 yds to the EMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.5%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
66.0%
Brogan Roback run for 8 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
65.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine Porter EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, tripping ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
66.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0070% → 71%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
70.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
71.1%
Dorian Brown run for 8 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
70.8%
Greg Windham sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 27 Greg Windham fumbled, recovered by EMich Ike Spearman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1037% → 36%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
63.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+2
63.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
64.1%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
63.7%
Paul Fricano 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 43 yds · 2:1468% → 69%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
68.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+9
68.6%
Dorian Brown run for 9 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
68.6%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 10 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
70.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
71.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.6%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-10
71.5%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to BROWN, Dorian, QB hurry by BAILEY, Sergio, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+14
69.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 14 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
71.3%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+27
68.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds for a touchback OHIO Penalty, illegal touching (-10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
64.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:4136% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
64.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 7 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+3
63.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
64.2%
Brogan Roback run for 17 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
62.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dan Buschman for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
61.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+17
61.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 17 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
60.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 9 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 13
-1
60.1%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 14Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+2
61.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
60.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-13
60.1%
Brogan Roback sacked by Kevin Robbins for a loss of 13 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 21
OPP 23
+6
63.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 6 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
56.5%
Paul Fricano 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:2457% → 78%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
57.4%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+8
59.3%
Quinton Maxwell run for 8 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
60.2%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
61.4%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+12
61.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 12 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
62.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
62.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for 2 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+16
61.0%
Quinton Maxwell run for 16 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
62.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 8 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
77.8%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 0:5030% → 55%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+57
70.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 57 yds to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly Aristilde, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
45.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
54.2%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
54.9%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
52.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:2852% → 80%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.8%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
48.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+10
46.6%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 10 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine Porter, broken up by Chad MooreSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
45.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+13
46.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 13 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
43.6%
Breck Turner run for 9 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
43.1%
Brogan Roback run for 5 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
43.1%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
43.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 7 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
20.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 14 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:4923% → 55%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
22.7%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+14
22.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Elijah Ball for 14 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
23.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Kyle Belack for 7 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+27
24.1%
Dorian Brown run for 27 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
26.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Kyle Belack for 15 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
30.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 19 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
30.0%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
54.6%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:2063% → 91%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
37.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
34.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 7 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+24
33.9%
Breck Turner run for 24 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
31.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 8 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+2
31.9%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
31.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+7
32.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 7 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
31.9%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
9.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 1:1410% → 19%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
10.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Elijah Ball for 14 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
11.6%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
13.0%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Elijah BallSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
12.3%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
12.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 10 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
14.8%
Quinton Maxwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
14.4%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Elijah BallSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
12.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
19.0%
Louie Zervos 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:1191% → 91%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
9.3%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
8.9%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+4
7.9%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
7.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-2
8.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 14
OPP 33
-2
8.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:14
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+24.5
TD · Q4 3:47
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-22.5
TD · Q4 11:09
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 14 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-20.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com