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CMU

Central Michigan 34 at Northern Illinois 28

NIU
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:48 · Christian Hagan run for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4OTPlay 11Pregame prior−11.9Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:31: Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 11 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +21.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:30: Anthony Maddie pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 44 — NIU win probability +15.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:21: Devon Spalding run for 58 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +31.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:43: Aregeros Turner run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +39.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 19 — CMU win probability +13.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:48NIU 4th & 3 at CMU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:32CMU 4th & 18 at NIU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:52CMU 4th & 28 at NIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:52CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:53NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:18NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:29CMU 4th & 7 at NIU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:19CMU 4th & 6 at NIU 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−1.5
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:05NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:30NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:16CMU 4th & 8 at NIU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−10.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−33.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 8:38CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:30NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:42CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:31NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:21CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:43NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
37.9%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
37.9%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Shawun Lurry return for no gain to the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
38.4%
BOUAGNON, Joel rush for no gain to the NIU40 (ANNESE, Tony), PENALTY CMU face mask (COLEMAN, Amari) 15 yards to the CMU45, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
38.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 9 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+12
38.5%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 12 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
38.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
38.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
38.5%
Anthony Maddie run for no gain to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 3
OPP 17
-9
38.4%
Christian Hagan run for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
39.1%
Devon Spalding run for 9 yds to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
38.9%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
39.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 2 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
38.9%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+6
39.0%
Cooper Rush run for 6 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
39.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 26 yds, downed at the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
40.1%
Anthony Maddie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
40.0%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 8 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
40.3%
Jordan Huff run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
40.0%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
14 plays · 40 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
40.3%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 6Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+12
40.4%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to CHILDRESS, B., PENALTY NIU pass interference (BRINSON, Damari) 12 yards to the CMU18, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
40.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 5 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
40.2%
Devon Spalding run for 7 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
40.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
40.1%
Cooper Rush run for 6 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+9
39.8%
Jahray Hayes run for 9 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
39.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+8
39.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 8 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
39.5%
CHAPMAN, Mark rush for no gain to the NIU40 (ALLEN, Mycial), PENALTY CMU personal foul 15 yards to the CMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 25
OWN 45
0
40.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 25
OWN 45
+15
40.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 15 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-8
39.8%
Cooper Rush sacked by Ladell Fleming for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
40.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 44 yds, downed at the NoIll 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:3943% → 42%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
42.9%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 8 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+5
43.0%
Aregeros Turner run for 5 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
43.3%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
43.3%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+2
42.5%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 2 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
42.2%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
42.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 26Similar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
42.5%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
42.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+34
41.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Zach Crouch for 34 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
40.3%
CHAPMAN, Mark rush for no gain to the NIU27 (FOLLIARD, Sean), PENALTY CMU personal foul (EDWARDS, Derek) 15 yards to the NIU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 25
OPP 42
0
41.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 25
OPP 42
+6
41.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 6 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 19
OPP 36
-9
42.3%
Cooper Rush sacked by Ladell Fleming for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 28
OPP 45
0
43.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
45.3%
Anthony Maddie pass intercepted Josh Cox return for 13 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:5959% → 66%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
40.7%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the NoIll 18Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
40.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 7 yds to the NoIll 11Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
34.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Trevor Thomas for 11 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0836% → 50%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.2%
Anthony Maddie run for 8 yds to the NoIll 33 Anthony Maddie fumbled, forced by Alex Briones, recovered by NoIll Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
37.6%
Aregeros Turner run for 15 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
38.1%
Jordan Huff run for 23 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
39.6%
Jordan Huff run for 11 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
39.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
49.5%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Christian Blake for 17 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:4857% → 73%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
42.7%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+13
41.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 13 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
40.9%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+12
40.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 12 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
40.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+6
40.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
40.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+7
40.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 7 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
40.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+5
38.4%
Cooper Rush run for 5 yds to the NoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
27.4%
Jahray Hayes 3 Yd Run (Brian Eavey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.9%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
30.9%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
29.7%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
29.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
30.0%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
30.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
32.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
32.3%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 5 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
32.6%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Kenny Golladay, broken up by Chris KantzavelosSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+3
31.3%
Anthony Maddie run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+8
30.9%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 37 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for 8 yds to the CMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
28.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+16
28.4%
Jahray Hayes run for 16 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
28.0%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
27.9%
Devon Spalding run for 7 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
27.9%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 21 Devon Spalding fumbled, recovered by NoIll Austin SmahaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
32.0%
GOLLADAY, Kenny rush for 3 yards to the NIU24 (ANNESE, Tony), PENALTY NIU holding (WIMANN, Shane) 7 yards to the NIU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 17
OWN 14
0
31.8%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+4
31.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 18Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 13
OWN 18
0
30.5%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 13
OWN 18
+4
29.9%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 31 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for 4 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
26.8%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
26.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
27.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
28.6%
Jack Sheldon punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0632% → 59%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
31.8%
Jordan Huff run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
31.7%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Christian Blake for 9 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
31.7%
Jordan Huff run for 4 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.5%
Anthony Maddie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
32.3%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+10
31.7%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Shane Wimann for 10 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
34.8%
Anthony Maddie run for 1 yd to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
34.8%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+12
33.9%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Christian Blake for 12 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
36.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 3 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+24
36.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 24 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
37.8%
Anthony Maddie run for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
58.9%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 11 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:1253% → 54%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
47.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 8 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
44.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
44.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
45.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 16 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
43.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 3 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
41.8%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
43.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
46.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
47.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-1
47.6%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+11
46.1%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 11 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
47.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
48.0%
Anthony Maddie run for 1 yd to the NoIll 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
46.8%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Kenny Golladay, broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
45.5%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0053% → 49%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.7%
Anthony Maddie run for no gain to the NoIll 20Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.3%
Anthony Maddie run for 4 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
50.6%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+9
49.2%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 45 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for 9 yds to the CMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0055% → 57%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
44.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 5 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
43.5%
Cooper Rush run for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+6
43.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 6 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
42.5%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
43.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+18
43.2%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Trequan Smith return for 18 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 53%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
58.7%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+3
56.4%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 3 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
55.2%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
53.2%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:5753% → 88%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
47.4%
Devon Spalding run for 13 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
45.5%
Devon Spalding run for 7 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
42.7%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+58
11.6%
Devon Spalding run for 58 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:3222% → 61%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
21.8%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to D.J. Brown for 8 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+53
60.8%
Aregeros Turner run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26MISSED FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 3:2752% → 56%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Joe BacciSimilar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.4%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+38
49.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 38 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
39.2%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
38.5%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+11
39.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 11 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
36.3%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
36.3%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the NoIll 15Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
38.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Joe BacciSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
43.9%
Brian Eavey 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
55.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+7
64.7%
Aregeros Turner run for 7 yds to the CMich 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
62.3%
Anthony Maddie pass intercepted Nathan Ricketts return for no gain to the CMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 29MISSED FG
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
49.1%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 19
-1
50.3%
Jahray Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+35
52.4%
Brian Eavey 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 30POSSESSION (FOR OT DRIVES)
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 59%
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
64.7%
Kenny Golladay run for 3 yds to the CMich 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+4
59.0%
Anthony Maddie run for 4 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
64.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 27Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+8
59.0%
Christian Hagan 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by D'Andre Dill TEAM return for 8 yds to the CMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-59
TD · Q4 3:43
Aregeros Turner run for 53 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+39
TD · Q4 4:21
Devon Spalding run for 58 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-31.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com