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M-OH

Miami (OH) 13 at Akron 35

AKR
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:02 · Justin Martin punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense+4.3Pregame prior+11.7Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:25: Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 24 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +3.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:12: Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 22 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +10.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:56: Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +8.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:50: Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:01: Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 32 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +7.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 8:34M-OH 4th & 11 at AKR 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:02M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:34M-OH 4th & 6 at AKR 6, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:49AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 40, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 27, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:25AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 38, up 15
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:43M-OH 4th & 2 at AKR 10, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:49AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 44, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:45M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 37, down 15
    Close callPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 34, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:50M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 19, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:51AKR 4th & 19 at M-OH 34, up 22
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:11M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 12, down 22
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:07AKR 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:50AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:25AKR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:12AKR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:56M-OH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:50AKR Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:01AKR Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 6:1835% → 36%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
65.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Jared Murphy for 5 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
65.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
65.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Jared Murphy for 10 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
65.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+18
65.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to James Gardner for 18 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
65.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
65.3%
Noah Wezensky pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+15
65.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Luke Mayock for 15 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
65.3%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
65.3%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 11Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 0
OPP 11
-5
64.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+5
64.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
64.3%
Nick Dowd 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:3864% → 66%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
64.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+70
65.9%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 70 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
66.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+7
66.2%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Jared Murphy for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
66.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
66.1%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
66.4%
Noah Wezensky pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
66.6%
Justin Martin punt for 43 yds, downed at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:1766% → 71%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
66.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
66.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+11
65.7%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 11 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
66.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 7 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+19
66.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to A.J. Coney for 19 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
66.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 2 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
66.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+15
66.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 15 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
67.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Austin GearingSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
70.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 24 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1430% → 28%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
70.2%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
70.0%
Noah Wezensky run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-7
71.5%
Noah Wezensky sacked by Brock Boxen for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
72.5%
Justin Martin punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1972% → 71%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
71.6%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
71.7%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
71.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Deondre DanielsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
71.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
72.6%
Noah Wezensky run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
72.6%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
72.0%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
72.5%
Justin Martin punt for 44 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
19 plays · 84 yds · 4:3874% → 88%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
74.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
74.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+5
73.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
73.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
74.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
74.1%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Anthony Lauro for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
74.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 5 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
74.8%
CHAPMAN, T. pass incomplete to NATSON, JoJo, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference 15 yards to the MIAMI47, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
75.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+5
74.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+9
74.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
75.3%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 37 Tra'Von Chapman fumbled, recovered by Akron Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
74.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Austin GearingSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+15
76.6%
CHAPMAN, T. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MIAMI44 (JONES, JT), PENALTY MIAMI face mask 15 yards to the MIAMI22, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
77.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
87.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 22 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:3018% → 20%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
81.9%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by John LakoSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+26
82.0%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 26 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
80.5%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+5
79.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
79.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+12
79.8%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
79.8%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the Akron 6Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.8%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Alvin DavisSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
80.5%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
80.4%
Nick Dowd 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:4584% → 86%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
84.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 18 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
84.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+2
84.5%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-3
86.5%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
86.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 33 yds, downed at the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
87.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-9
86.7%
Noah Wezensky sacked by Daumantas Venckus for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.0%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
83.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
83.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
82.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
81.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.3%
Noah Wezensky pass intercepted Larry Hope return for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
84.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Anthony Lauro for 7 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
84.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+25
83.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the AKRON 32 AKRON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:4717% → 28%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
83.5%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 18 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
82.6%
Kenny Young run for 15 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
81.8%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
81.9%
Kenny Young run for 12 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
81.4%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Bryce JonesSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
81.8%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+8
82.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+9
82.7%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 9 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-5
80.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 6Similar
Q3 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.0%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0779% → 78%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
78.8%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
78.9%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 6 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 6:49
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
78.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1122% → 21%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
77.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
77.7%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-1
77.8%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-14
79.3%
Noah Wezensky run for a loss of 14 yards to the MiaOh 16 Noah Wezensky fumbled, recovered by Akron Van Edwards Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5785% → 95%
Q3 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.3%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
85.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 8 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
85.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
85.7%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
91.2%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
90.7%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+11
90.8%
Justin Martin punt for 39 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 11 yds to the Akron 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4095% → 94%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
94.8%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Junior McMullenSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
92.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+4
92.1%
Noah Wezensky run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
91.6%
Noah Wezensky pass intercepted Kyron Brown return for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 32 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.5%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
98.5%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
98.6%
Justin Martin punt for 31 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.4%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
99.4%
Manny Morgan run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+5
99.3%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
99.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
99.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 13
OPP 28
-1
99.4%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 14
OPP 29
-5
99.3%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 19
OPP 34
0
99.2%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 19
OPP 34
0
99.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
99.4%
Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
99.4%
Spencer McInnis run for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+7
99.4%
Spencer McInnis run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
99.3%
Justin Martin punt for 31 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.8%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
99.8%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-2
99.7%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.5%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:12
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 22 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q3 1:50
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+9
TD · Q3 7:56
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com