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BGSU

Bowling Green 24 at Ohio 30

OHIO
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:51 · James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+17.4Score differential+8.5Garbage-time factor+6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5Time remaining+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:01: Fred Coppet run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 20%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Maleek Irons run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED) — OHIO win probability +5.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:08: Greg Windham run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:07: James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:24: James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 37 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:00OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:38OHIO 4th & 13 at BGSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:01OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:54OHIO 4th & 10 at BGSU 39, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:08BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 11, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:54BGSU 4th & 2 at OHIO 2, down 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:01BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 45, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:07BGSU 4th & 8 at OHIO 13, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 16 at OHIO 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:51BGSU 4th & 2 at OHIO 4, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−5.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:51OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 24, up 13
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:05OHIO 4th & 1 at BGSU 21, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%−1.0
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:05BGSU 4th & 1 at OHIO 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:24BGSU 4th & 27 at OHIO 37, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 13:40OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:01BGSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:37OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:37OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:08OHIO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:07BGSU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:24BGSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
86.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
86.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 13 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.0%
James Morgan run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
86.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 11 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
86.0%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-4
86.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Vanel Dossous for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 0
0
86.0%
MORGAN, James pass complete to MOORE, Ronnie for 11 yards to the OHIO44 (FOX, Jalen), PENALTY BGSU holding off-setting, PENALTY OHIO face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
86.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Quentin PolingSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
86.0%
Joseph Davidson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5785% → 85%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
85.2%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 5 Greg Windham fumbled, recovered by Ohio Greg WindhamSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 15
OWN 5
+5
85.2%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+3
84.9%
Greg Windham run for 3 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+5
84.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds , Scott Miller returns for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
84.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 10 yds to the Ohio 44 Josh Cleveland fumbled, forced by Javon Hagan, recovered by Ohio Randy StitesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4FG
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:2885% → 84%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
84.9%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
84.9%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+9
84.8%
Greg Windham run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
85.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for 10 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
85.0%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+4
84.9%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+3
85.0%
Greg Windham run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+9
85.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Troy Mangen for 9 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
85.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
85.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Troy Mangen, broken up by Terrance BushSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
84.8%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
83.8%
Louie Zervos 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5INT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.0%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
83.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
83.6%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+13
83.6%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
83.5%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-2
83.5%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
83.7%
James Morgan pass intercepted Chad Moore return for 7 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:0583% → 86%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
83.3%
BROWN, Jarid pass complete to REID, Jordan for 38 yards to the BGSU20 (BOZEMAN, Jamari), PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+9
82.8%
Maleek Irons run for 9 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+11
83.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Elijah Ball for 11 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
83.5%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
83.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
83.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
83.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Troy Mangen for 20 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
86.0%
Maleek Irons run for 17 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:3515% → 20%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
85.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 15 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
84.9%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+35
84.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 28 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
84.3%
Ronnie Moore run for 3 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
79.9%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
81.5%
Quinton Maxwell pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 13 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
81.9%
Bo Hardy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+7
81.5%
Bo Hardy run for 7 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
81.9%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+47
81.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds, downed at the OHIO 20 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
81.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+6
81.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
81.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-11
81.1%
James Morgan sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 11 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+18
81.7%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.0%
James Morgan pass intercepted Javon Hagan return for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:4582% → 87%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+20
82.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 20 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
86.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · -14 yds · 1:4814% → 13%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
85.6%
James Morgan run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
85.2%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
85.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin ValdezSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-10
85.5%
CLEVELAND, Josh rush for 5 yards to the BGSU39 (BROWN, Blair), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+4
85.8%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 16
OWN 28
-9
87.0%
James Morgan sacked by Quentin Poling and Evan Croutch for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 10 James Morgan fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 34
OWN 10
+11
87.2%
Joseph Davidson punt for 55 yds , Randy Stites returns for 11 yds to the Ohio 21 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (16 Yards) to the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 4:0886% → 93%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
86.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 7 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
86.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 7 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
86.7%
Maleek Irons run for 30 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
87.2%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+8
87.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Elijah Ball for 8 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+12
86.7%
Greg Windham run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
87.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Troy Mangen for 7 yds to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.9%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
90.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Tarell BashamSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
90.5%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
90.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 28 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
91.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 10 yds Jordan Reid fumbled, forced by Robert Jackson Jr., recovered by Ohio Jordan Reid for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
91.1%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
91.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Maleek Irons, broken up by Trenton GreeneSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+3
90.6%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
90.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 38 yds, downed at the BwGrn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:0910% → 9%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
90.2%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
90.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding, broken up by Toran DavisSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+14
90.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 14 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
89.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for no gain to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
90.0%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-11
90.1%
MORGAN, James pass complete to MILLER, Scott for 8 yards to the BGSU29, out-of-bounds (BROWN, Blair), PENALTY BGSU pass interference 11 yards to the BGSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+1
91.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Vanel Dossous for 1 yd to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
91.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 79 yds, downed at the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
92.3%
Greg Windham pass intercepted Brandon Harris return for 13 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0711% → 10%
Q3 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
89.3%
Ronnie Moore run for 5 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
89.3%
James Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 2 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by BwGrn James MorganSimilar
Q3 10:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
89.7%
Jake Suder 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4692% → 98%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.5%
Bo Hardy run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
91.5%
Bo Hardy run for 7 yds to the Ohio 41 Bo Hardy fumbled, forced by Jamari Bozeman, recovered by Ohio Bo Hardy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
91.9%
Bo Hardy run for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
91.9%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to SMITH, Sebastia, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 7 yards to the BGSU47, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
91.9%
Greg Windham run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
92.0%
Bo Hardy run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+17
91.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 17 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
92.1%
Bo Hardy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-3
92.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Bo Hardy for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+18
91.7%
Bo Hardy run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.9%
Greg Windham run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:543% → 8%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.2%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
97.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
97.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+2
97.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Ronnie Moore, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+38
97.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 38 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
96.7%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
96.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
97.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+13
92.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 1:0793% → 94%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.4%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to BELACK, Kyle, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 13 yards to the OHIO38, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
93.7%
Bo Hardy run for 1 yd to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+14
93.7%
Bo Hardy run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Elijah BallSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-15
95.0%
HARDY, Bo rush for 1 yard to the BGSU46 (LUNSFORD, Izaah), PENALTY OHIO clipping 15 yards to the OHIO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 38
+6
94.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Bo Hardy for 6 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 44
+8
94.5%
Bo Hardy run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 48
-5
94.3%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
94.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Scott Miller at the BwGrn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 90 yds · 0:005% → 7%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
94.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+33
94.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 33 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
93.8%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
93.7%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+15
94.0%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to REDDING, Teo (MILLER, London), PENALTY OHIO personal foul 15 yards to the OHIO36, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
93.7%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+23
93.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 23 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
92.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-10
92.8%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to REDDING, Teo (MILLER, London), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the OHIO22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 20
OPP 22
+18
93.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 18 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
93.5%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 2
OPP 4
0
93.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
95.5%
Greg Windham run for 2 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+9
95.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 9 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
95.6%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Alfonso MackSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
95.6%
Bo Hardy run for 1 yd to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+8
95.4%
Greg Windham run for 8 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
95.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 74 yds, downed at the BwGrn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
96.2%
James Morgan pass intercepted London Miller return for no gain to the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0697% → 97%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
96.8%
Bo Hardy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
96.8%
Bo Hardy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
96.7%
Bo Hardy run for no gain to the BwGrn 21 OHIO Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+38
97.2%
Louie Zervos 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 3:414% → 14%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
96.4%
MORGAN, James rush for 5 yards to the BGSU26 (MOORE, Chad), PENALTY OHIO illegal use of hands 20 yards to the BGSU41, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
96.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
96.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 6 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
95.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Vanel Dossous for 18 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
95.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
95.1%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
95.6%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
95.6%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-7
95.3%
James Morgan sacked by Kurt Laseak and Tarell Basham for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 17
OPP 27
-10
96.0%
James Morgan sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 27
OPP 37
+37
86.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 37 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5295% → 95%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
95.4%
Bo Hardy run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-6
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:24
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 37 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q3 4:08
Greg Windham run for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 0:37
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com