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WMU

Western Michigan 49 at Central Michigan 10

CMU
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:56 · James Coleman punt for 42 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense−2.1Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Pregame prior−8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:16: Brian Eavey 45 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:21: Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +2.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:58: Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +16.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:52: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 45 yds for a TD CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +12.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:58: Cooper Rush pass intercepted for a TD Darius Phillips return for 85 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:16CMU 4th & 13 at WMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:00CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:56WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:09CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:27CMU 4th & 6 at CMU 44, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:44WMU 4th & 2 at CMU 45, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 1:21WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:58WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:52WMU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:58WMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:02CMU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:27WMU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:37WMU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:4439% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
39.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 10 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
39.1%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
39.1%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
39.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
39.1%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
39.1%
Cooper Rush run for 9 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+15
39.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 15 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
41.1%
Cooper Rush sacked by Darius Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+5
40.9%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-3
40.9%
Cooper Rush sacked by Nathan Braster and Asantay Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 27Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
41.9%
Brian Eavey 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
42.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for no gain to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
42.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
42.3%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
42.6%
James Coleman punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5043% → 42%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
42.7%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
42.7%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
42.3%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
42.0%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:2257% → 61%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
43.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
43.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+6
43.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
42.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 5 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
42.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
42.3%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
42.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+16
42.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 16 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
42.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 9 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
41.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
41.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 13 yds to the CMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
41.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
39.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:2141% → 40%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
41.0%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 24Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
40.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
40.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
41.9%
Cooper Rush sacked by David Curle for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
41.0%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
40.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
40.2%
Jack Sheldon punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
41.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Malik FountainSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
41.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 9 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+4
41.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
41.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-7
40.7%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 34 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
41.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete, broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+12
42.1%
Zach Terrell run for 12 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
41.3%
James Coleman punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5242% → 42%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
41.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 21 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
43.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Brandon Childress for 6 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+4
43.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
43.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey Willis, broken up by Justin TranquillSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
44.9%
Cooper Rush sacked by Andre Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 48Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 15
OWN 48
-7
42.4%
Cooper Rush sacked by Eric Assuoa for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 43 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by WMich Keion Adams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
34.6%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-15
34.7%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 22
OWN 18
0
34.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by David CurleSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 22
OWN 18
+7
33.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 7 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
33.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 41 yds, downed at the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3067% → 68%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
33.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
32.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 34 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:4068% → 86%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
32.1%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 12 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
31.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+8
31.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+9
30.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
30.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 22 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
30.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the CMich 13Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+7
30.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+3
30.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
30.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
30.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the CMich 10Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
30.6%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the CMich 10Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
30.8%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
30.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Josh CoxSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
30.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1620% → 20%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
20.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 6 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-6
19.6%
Cooper Rush sacked by Keion Adams for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
5.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 45 yds for a TD CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13INT TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:545% → 4%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
4.8%
Devon Spalding run for 6 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+10
4.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 10 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Brandon Childress, broken up by Obbie JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
4.9%
Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+2
5.2%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
5.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 12 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
5.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
5.5%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
5.6%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
5.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
5.8%
Cooper Rush run for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+85
3.6%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted for a TD Darius Phillips return for 85 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:563% → 1%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
3.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Trevor Thomas) to the CMich 10Similar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
3.2%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 11Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-5
3.2%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to SPALDING, Devon for 14 yards to the CMU25 (JACKSON, Obbie), PENALTY CMU holding (ROGERS, Kenny) 5 yards to the CMU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+12
3.1%
Devon Spalding run for 12 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
3.3%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
3.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 9 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+14
3.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 14 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
3.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Obbie JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+26
3.3%
Mark Chapman run for 26 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
3.8%
Cooper Rush sacked by Eric Assuoa for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+37
1.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 37 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:3599% → 100%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
1.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
1.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+14
1.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
1.3%
TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to DAVIS, Corey, PENALTY CMU pass interference (COLEMAN, Amari) 15 yards to the CMU43, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
1.3%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 44Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+10
1.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+12
1.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 12 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
1.2%
Davon Tucker run for 13 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.7%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
0.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the CMich 4Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
0.4%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 5 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
0.4%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 1 yd to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+3
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 3 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
0.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 51 yds, downed at the WMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 7:07100% → 100%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
0.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+1
0.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+15
0.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Malik Fountain) to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.3%
Davon Tucker run for 7 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-2
0.3%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
0.3%
JaKevin Jackson run for 7 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
0.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+7
0.3%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for 7 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
0.3%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
0.3%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
0.3%
Davon Tucker run for no gain to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+42
0.3%
Fabian Johnson run for 42 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Fabian Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18END OF GAME
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 8 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
0.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 1 yd to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
0.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
0.1%
Cooper Rush sacked by Nathan Braster for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 25Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:58
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q3 14:52
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 45 yds for a TD CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Butch Hampton KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q1 1:21
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com