Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 17 at Miami (OH) 7

M-OH
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Yager Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:07 · Justin Martin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Randy Stites at the Ohio 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense−6.6Score differential−3.1Garbage-time factor−1.8Pregame prior−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:14: Greg Windham run for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:17: Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +16.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:55: Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 44 — OHIO win probability +12.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:08: Noah Wezensky pass complete to Kyle Row for 8 yds to the MiaOh 9 — M-OH win probability +11.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 1:30: Noah Wezensky sacked by Blair Brown for a loss of 13 yards Noah Wezensky fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kevin Robbins , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +27.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52OHIO 4th & 9 at M-OH 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 16 at M-OH 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    55.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:07M-OH 4th & 18 at M-OH 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:26OHIO 4th & 1 at M-OH 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.0%−1.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:52M-OH 4th & 17 at M-OH 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:03OHIO 4th & 13 at M-OH 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:09OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:06M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:56OHIO 4th & 2 at M-OH 20, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.2%−2.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−16.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:56M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−5.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:09OHIO 4th & 5 at M-OH 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−5.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:40M-OH 4th & 26 at M-OH 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−5.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:16OHIO 4th & 11 at M-OH 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:23M-OH 4th & 6 at OHIO 32, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:14OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:17M-OH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
45.0%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
45.0%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-4
45.0%
Greg Windham sacked by Austin Gearing and Zach Smierciak for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
45.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · -15 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
45.5%
Billy Bahl sacked by Chad Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 18 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by Ohio Tarell Basham , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2655% → 55%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
45.2%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
45.2%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+2
45.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+33
45.5%
Louie Zervos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4INT
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
45.6%
Billy Bahl run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
45.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
45.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
45.6%
Billy Bahl sacked by Casey Sayles for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+20
45.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 20 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+36
46.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 22 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (Blair Brown) to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
46.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
46.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+60
46.0%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Javon Hagan return for 60 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5INT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
45.4%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
45.1%
Greg Windham run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
45.1%
Kyle Belack run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
45.1%
Greg Windham run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+14
45.4%
Greg Windham run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
45.1%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
45.1%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
45.4%
Greg Windham pass intercepted, touchback. Heath Harding return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
46.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
46.2%
OHIO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
46.2%
Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-1
46.2%
Billy Bahl sacked by Kurt Laseak for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
45.7%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Toran Davis return for no gain to the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 3:4854% → 54%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
45.6%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to COPE, Brendan (DANIELS, D.), PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the MIAMI39, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
45.4%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-1
45.5%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 9
OPP 38
-7
45.6%
Greg Windham sacked by Zach Smierciak and Austin Gearing for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
46.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
46.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
46.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
47.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.7%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
46.9%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
46.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
45.6%
Justin Martin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Randy Stites at the Ohio 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0854% → 64%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
45.9%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 12 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
44.9%
Bo Hardy run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
44.5%
Bo Hardy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
44.5%
Bo Hardy run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
44.7%
Greg Windham run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
44.5%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+11
44.5%
Greg Windham run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
43.8%
Bo Hardy run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Tony Reid) to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
43.8%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
36.0%
Greg Windham run for 9 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.6%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
36.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
36.4%
Spencer McInnis run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
37.6%
McINNIS, S. rush over left tackle for loss of 1 yard to the MIAMI39 (CROUTCH, Evan;POLING, Quentin), PENALTY MIAMI holding (GODLEVSKY, D.) 10 yards to the MIAMI30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+7
36.6%
Spencer McInnis run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 13
OWN 37
-6
36.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 19
OWN 31
0
36.5%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+1
35.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
35.4%
Justin Martin punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Randy Stites at the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11END OF HALF
12 plays · 19 yds · 2:4665% → 67%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
35.1%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
35.5%
Greg Windham run for 1 yd to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+18
36.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
50
0
34.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
50
-2
34.0%
Bo Hardy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+11
35.3%
Bo Hardy run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
32.2%
Greg Windham run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
30.8%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-7
31.1%
Bo Hardy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Reid) to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 17
OPP 46
0
32.1%
Greg Windham run for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 17
OPP 46
-6
33.1%
Greg Windham sacked by Austin Gearing for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line Greg Windham fumbled, , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
31.8%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-9
31.8%
SMITH, Alonzo rush over right tackle for 3 yards to the MIAMI21 (DAVIS, Toran), PENALTY MIAMI holding (MCCOLLUM, Sam) 9 yards to the MIAMI9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 19
OWN 9
0
31.5%
Noah Wezensky pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 19
OWN 9
+2
30.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 17
OWN 11
-2
30.2%
Justin Martin punt for 48 yds , Randy Stites returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
29.9%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 6 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
29.9%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
29.8%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
29.6%
Maleek Irons run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
29.6%
Greg Windham sacked by Nate Trawick and Jt Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 18
OPP 41
+5
30.2%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
30.5%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
32.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:1729% → 50%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
28.7%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for no gain to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+18
28.6%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Luke Mayock for 18 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
29.3%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
29.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 1 yd to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+15
28.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Luke Mayock for 15 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
31.4%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Sam Martin for 17 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
32.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+11
34.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
34.0%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+4
34.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
50.4%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
41.7%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
42.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jarid Brown for no gain to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
43.2%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jarid Brown, broken up by Joshua AllenSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
44.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds , Jared Murphy returns for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
46.1%
Noah Wezensky run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+2
45.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
44.6%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Alonzo SmithSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
43.0%
Justin Martin punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:4158% → 62%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
41.6%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 12 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
39.0%
Greg Windham run for 1 yd to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+15
39.7%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to BELACK, Kyle, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (ALLEN, Josh) 15 yards to the MIAMI44, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
38.2%
Bo Hardy run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
-1
37.8%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+10
38.6%
WINDHAM, Greg pass complete to SMITH, Sebastia for 10 yards to the MIAMI28, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 10 yards to the MIAMI28, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
36.4%
Greg Windham run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
36.4%
Bo Hardy run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
38.2%
Bo Hardy run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
37.8%
Louie Zervos 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joshua AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.5%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Mayne WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
41.7%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Luke Mayock for 13 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
44.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Collin Buchanan) to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-1
43.5%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
43.3%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 11:56
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+1
41.4%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+1
41.0%
Justin Martin punt for 42 yds , Randy Stites returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
34.5%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to SMITH, Sebastia, PENALTY MIAMI holding (HARDING, Heath) 10 yards to the OHIO38, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
32.4%
Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
31.7%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
32.1%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
31.1%
Greg Windham run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
30.9%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
31.5%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
34.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 35%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
38.7%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to Sam Shisso, broken up by Randy StitesSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
38.1%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+15
37.9%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Sam Martin for 15 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
39.9%
Noah Wezensky sacked by Casey Sayles for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 28 MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 17
OWN 28
0
38.1%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-9
36.4%
Noah Wezensky sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 26
OWN 19
0
35.0%
Justin Martin punt for 32 yds, downed at the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:3977% → 81%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
22.9%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
22.2%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
22.3%
Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-2
17.4%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-1
16.5%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
19.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 40 yds, downed at the MiaOh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:3831% → 3%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
31.3%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Kyle Row for 8 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+4
30.5%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Kyle Row for 4 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
3.0%
Noah Wezensky sacked by Blair Brown for a loss of 13 yards Noah Wezensky fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kevin Robbins , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
3.1%
Noah Wezensky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+16
3.0%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.4%
Noah Wezensky pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+22
3.4%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to James Gardner for 22 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
3.8%
Noah Wezensky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
3.8%
Noah Wezensky pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+4
3.6%
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Kyle Row for 4 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 6
OPP 32
-12
3.5%
Justin Martin sacked by Jalen Fox for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q4 1:30
Noah Wezensky sacked by Blair Brown for a loss of 13 yards Noah Wezensky fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kevin Robbins , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-27.5
TD · Q3 4:17
Noah Wezensky pass complete to Ryan Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
+16.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:55
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 44
-12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com