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AKR

Akron 31 at Kent State 27

KENT
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:16 · Derek Adams punt for 47 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior−11.6Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:19: Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 18 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +7.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:53: Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +17.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:23: Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 23 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +26.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:02: Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +49.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:20: Mykel Traylor-Bennett 3 Yd Run (Tom O'Leary Kick), (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +52.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:40AKR 4th & 10 at KENT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:35KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:49AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:16KENT 4th & 22 at KENT 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:07AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 18, up 4
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:04AKR 4th & 1 at KENT 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−1.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:04KENT 4th & 9 at AKR 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:53KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:45AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:08KENT 4th & 2 at AKR 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−1.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:47KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 36, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:19KENT 4th & 16 at AKR 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−4.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−11.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:14AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 40, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:39KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:55AKR 4th & 14 at KENT 32, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.2 ptsPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−3.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%−3.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:02KENT 4th & 2 at AKR 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−3.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−16.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:51KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:04AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:19KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:53AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:23AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:02KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−4.0
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:20AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:2063% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
37.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 35 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
37.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
37.5%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
37.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
37.9%
Tom O'Leary 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
37.9%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-4
38.0%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
37.8%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 7
OWN 27
-2
37.8%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds , JoJo Natson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2362% → 62%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
38.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by James AlexanderSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
38.3%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
38.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
38.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 1:2338% → 38%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
38.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
38.3%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+13
38.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 13 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
39.2%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 11
50
-15
38.9%
HOLLEY, Nick pass complete to WOODS, Johnny for 27 yards to the AKRON23 (HOPE, Larry), PENALTY KENT pass interference (WOODS, Johnny) 15 yards to the KENT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 26
OWN 35
-10
38.6%
HOLLEY, Nick rush for 36 yards to the AKRON29, out-of-bounds (WARD, Josh), PENALTY KENT holding (SCOTT, Wayne) 10 yards to the KENT25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 36
OWN 25
+2
37.9%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 34
OWN 27
+12
38.3%
Nick Holley run for 12 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
38.3%
Derek Adams punt for 47 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5260% → 60%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
40.0%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
40.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+6
40.0%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 6 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+12
40.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 12 yds to the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:3040% → 45%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
40.4%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
40.4%
Nick Holley run for 9 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
40.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
40.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for no gain to the Akron 36 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (Deon'Tae Moore) to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
40.7%
Kavious Price run for 8 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+13
44.6%
Nick Holley run for 13 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7INT
11 plays · 18 yds · 0:5257% → 55%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
42.7%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 7 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
42.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
42.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
44.1%
KENT ST Penalty, offside defense (Jon Cunningham) to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+12
43.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
42.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Darryl MarshallSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-10
43.0%
EDWARDS, Van rush for 13 yards to the KENT19 (HOLLEY, Nate), PENALTY AKRON holding (WARD, Josh) 10 yards to the KENT42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 20
OPP 42
0
44.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Jerrell FosterSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 20
OPP 42
+1
44.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass intercepted Jerrell Foster return for 1 yd to the KntSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4044% → 44%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
44.3%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
44.5%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
44.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
43.5%
Derek Adams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:5954% → 60%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+40
46.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 40 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
44.4%
JoJo Natson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
44.4%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
46.2%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+13
39.9%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:5440% → 47%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
40.1%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
40.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 6 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
40.8%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
41.3%
Nick Holley sacked by Ulysees Gilbert III for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+54
39.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 54 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
42.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 13
OPP 17
0
42.7%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+4
41.4%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
46.7%
Shane Hynes 30 yd FG GOOD AKRON Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
43.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
44.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+32
44.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass intercepted Jerrell Foster return for 32 yds to the Akron 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4450% → 57%
Q2 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
49.8%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
49.8%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
56.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 18 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
54.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Manny MorganSimilar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
55.2%
Tra'Von Chapman run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19 Tra'Von Chapman fumbled, forced by Theo Eboigbe, recovered by KntSt Nick CuthbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:4954% → 64%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
54.2%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
54.2%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
54.2%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
55.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 5 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
54.6%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
55.8%
Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 47 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
54.7%
HOLLEY, Nick rush for 5 yards to the AKRON2 (GILBERT, U.;GEORGE, Jordan), PENALTY AKRON offside defense (JEST, Davon'te) 4 yards to the AKRON3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
54.9%
HOLLEY, Nick pass incomplete to FACKLER, Brice, QB hurry by BELL, Brian, PENALTY KENT illegal formation 5 yards to the AKRON8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
56.2%
Nick Holley sacked by Darius Copeland for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 13Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
56.2%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
63.7%
Shane Hynes 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
62.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 14 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
62.2%
Nick Holley pass complete to Brice Fackler for 4 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-4
62.9%
Kavious Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+6
60.6%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
59.8%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
61.3%
Manny Morgan run for 7 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 21
0
60.7%
Tra'Von Chapman run for no gain to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+9
62.2%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
60.6%
Manny Morgan run for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
58.5%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 5 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
59.0%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
58.2%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-1
59.7%
Tra'Von Chapman sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 8
OWN 46
+3
61.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 3 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:0267% → 71%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
66.6%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
66.3%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest Calhoun, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+16
65.2%
Nick Holley run for 16 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
67.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 20 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
69.5%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
69.6%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon James, broken up by Bryce JonesSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+9
68.3%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
69.7%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Justin Rankin, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
69.5%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
68.9%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-1
71.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1236% → 59%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
64.3%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
65.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+13
65.1%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to A.J. Coney for 13 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
61.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Jerome Lane for 15 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
61.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+16
58.6%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 16 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
58.6%
CHAPMAN, T. pass complete to NATSON, JoJo for 2 yards to the KENT15, out-of-bounds (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY AKRON holding (TULEY-TILLMAN) 10 yards to the KENT27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+27
40.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
51.5%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
52.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
50.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
50.3%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 2:0953% → 81%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
47.3%
Manny Morgan run for 6 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+15
45.1%
CHAPMAN, T. pass incomplete to NATSON, JoJo, PENALTY KENT pass interference (MURRAY, Najee) 15 yards to the AKRON45, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
43.3%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+19
43.0%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 19 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
40.5%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
43.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+13
45.1%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 13 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
18.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 23 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:5829% → 34%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+37
29.1%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 37 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
32.5%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-11
32.5%
Nick Holley sacked by Zach Guiser for a loss of 11 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 21
OPP 29
+5
27.6%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+41
34.0%
Shane Hynes 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
27.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
26.4%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+3
27.7%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
28.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 46 yds, downed at the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 31%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
34.5%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 9Similar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
33.4%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest Calhoun, broken up by Deon'Tae MooreSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+3
33.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 3 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 12
OWN 12
0
32.5%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Larry HopeSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 12
OWN 12
+38
31.1%
Derek Adams punt for 54 yds , JoJo Natson returns for 38 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3380% → 74%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
19.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
20.3%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 9
OPP 27
-5
21.9%
Tra'Von Chapman sacked by Kevin Bourne for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 14
OPP 32
0
26.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26TD
16 plays · 97 yds · 4:4533% → 90%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+10
32.5%
Justin Rankin run for 10 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
33.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
32.5%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+16
31.0%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 16 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
34.1%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
33.8%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+10
36.6%
Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 10 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
39.6%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest Calhoun, broken up by Larry HopeSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
38.9%
Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 9 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
39.4%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
40.0%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+21
39.7%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 21 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
42.6%
Nick Holley pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
42.6%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+1
39.8%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
89.7%
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 27TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:3627% → 95%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
72.9%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 11 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.8%
Tra'Von Chapman pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+43
70.7%
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to JoJo Natson for 43 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.6%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett 3 Yd Run (Tom O'Leary Kick), (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
15.0%
Kavious Price pass incomplete KENT ST Penalty, illegal forward pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:20
Mykel Traylor-Bennett 3 Yd Run (Tom O'Leary Kick), (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-52
TD · Q4 1:02
Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+49.9
TD · Q4 13:23
Tra'Von Chapman pass complete to Austin Wolf for 23 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-26.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com