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APP

App State 45 at Akron 38

AKR
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:34 · Nick Gasser punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Home team on offense−1.0Pregame prior−18.1Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:01: Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +10.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:59: Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +10.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:07: Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +16.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:45: Jalin Moore run for 32 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +12.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:55: Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +15.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:34AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:37APP 4th & 1 at AKR 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    66.1%−0.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00APP 4th & 7 at AKR 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:49AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:53APP 4th & 2 at AKR 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−2.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:07AKR 4th & 9 at APP 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 2 at AKR 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−2.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:55AKR 4th & 1 at APP 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:19APP 4th & 5 at AKR 35, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−0.5
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:12AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:34APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:46AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:54AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:29APP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:54APP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:01APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:27APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:59AKR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:07AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:45APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.8
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:55AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
30.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 15 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
30.4%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Clifton Duck return for 8 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:2969% → 70%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
30.8%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+7
30.8%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+15
30.8%
Jalin Moore run for 15 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
30.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
30.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST down Darrynton Evans for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
30.7%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+10
30.7%
Deltron Hopkins run for 10 yds to the Akron 12Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+6
30.7%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
30.7%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
30.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.1%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
31.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 9 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
31.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
31.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 2 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+17
31.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 17 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
31.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-10
31.4%
MORGAN, Manny rush for 1 yard to the APP44 (Reed, Dezmin), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 22
OWN 45
+4
31.2%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 18
OWN 49
-5
31.0%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Caleb Fuller for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 23
OWN 44
0
30.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 5:3769% → 70%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
31.1%
Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
30.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
31.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
30.5%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+11
30.3%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
30.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-10
30.3%
Evans, D. rush for 20 yards to the AKRON13 (MARCUS, Jamal), PENALTY APP holding 10 yards to the AKRON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 19
OPP 43
+18
30.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 18 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
30.4%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+5
30.7%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
30.2%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
30.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+4
30.5%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
30.5%
Michael Rubino 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1430% → 39%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
30.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 35 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
31.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 26 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
32.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 14Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
38.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 14 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
35.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+1
34.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 1 yd to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
34.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 10 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
34.1%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
34.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors, broken up by Larry HopeSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-3
34.1%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 43 Jalin Moore fumbled, forced by Jamal Marcus, recovered by Akron Brennan WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:3238% → 46%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
38.4%
Thomas Woodson run for 10 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
39.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
38.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 11 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
39.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 13 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
39.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
45.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 23 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:1757% → 66%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
43.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
43.5%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+23
44.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
50
+6
41.3%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+8
41.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 8 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
34.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 36 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0037% → 40%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
38.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 7 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
37.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 12 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
39.5%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Mondo Williams return for 31 yds to the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
2 plays · 42 yds · 0:0866% → 73%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
34.5%
AKRON Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+37
27.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 37 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 41 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
28.0%
Thomas Woodson run for 8 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 2
OWN 16
-1
28.3%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+5
27.6%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
28.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 11 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
28.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 8 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+8
29.6%
Manny Morgan run for 8 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
29.8%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to CONEY, A.J. (Howard, A.J.), PENALTY APP personal foul 15 yards to the APP38, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
30.2%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 15
OPP 43
-8
29.6%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Tee Sims for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 23
OWN 49
-5
29.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 44Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 28
OWN 44
+4
28.7%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+1
28.3%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 23
OWN 49
+18
28.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 39 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 18 yds to the AKRON 33 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (16 Yards) to the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 1:2071% → 87%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+28
28.8%
Jalin Moore run for 28 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
27.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 27 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
24.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 11 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
23.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Brad Absher for 12 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
23.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
23.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 13 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy LetmanSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
23.2%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
16.3%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
16.3%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
15.9%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
15.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 11 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
15.3%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
15.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
15.3%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
16.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for no gain to the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:1515% → 19%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+13
15.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 13 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
17.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
17.5%
Manny Morgan run for 10 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+22
17.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 22 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
18.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
18.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Clifton DuckSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
17.7%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 9Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
18.9%
Tom O'Leary 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:3485% → 94%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
15.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 9 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
14.9%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
14.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 12 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
5.6%
Jalin Moore run for 49 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:288% → 16%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
8.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 13 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
8.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 10 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
9.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 14 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
9.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 5 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
10.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+13
9.6%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to NATSON, JoJo, PENALTY APP pass interference 13 yards to the APP20, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
10.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 8 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 2
OPP 12
-5
11.1%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 17Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
10.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-10
9.8%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to NATSON, JoJo, PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the APP27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 17
OPP 27
0
9.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+15
5.5%
WOODSON, Thomas pass intercepted by Howard, A.J. at the APP0, Howard, A.J. return to the APP0, touchback, PENALTY APP pass interference 15 yards to the APP12, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
6.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
16.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:5189% → 89%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
11.5%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
11.4%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+6
11.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 6 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
11.3%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
11.0%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
11.2%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-1
10.6%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:4713% → 31%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
13.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 25 yds to the AKRON 36 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
13.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 16 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
14.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 4 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-10
14.6%
EDWARDS, Van rush for 3 yards to the APP13 (Boggs, Eric;Gilchrist, K.), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the APP26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+12
14.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 12 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+7
14.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 7 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
14.6%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:1680% → 95%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
20.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 8 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
18.9%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
18.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
18.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+11
20.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
18.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Brad Absher for 5 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
18.1%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
17.4%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+32
5.2%
Jalin Moore run for 32 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:507% → 24%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
6.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 9 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+47
7.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 38 yds to the AKRON 18 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
8.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
8.3%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.2%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q4 5:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.5%
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 3:3185% → 90%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
15.0%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+15
15.2%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Meadors, S., PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the APP37, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
13.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
12.5%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
12.0%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
12.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
12.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-2
7.5%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
9.7%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
12.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Tee Sims for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
12.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+5
11.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Lauro for 5 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-7
11.2%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Dezmin Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 13
OPP 17
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:07
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+16.5
TD · Q4 5:55
Mykel Traylor-Bennett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q4 8:45
Jalin Moore run for 32 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com