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WKU

Western Kentucky 31 at Miami (OH) 24

M-OH
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:06 · Mike White run for no gain to the MiaOh 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior−17.7Home team on offense−13.8Score differential−5.3Garbage-time factor−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:30: Quinton Baker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +8.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:46: Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 53 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK) — WKU win probability +6.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 70 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +13.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:44: Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +12.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:17: Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK) — M-OH win probability +9.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 5 at WKU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17M-OH 4th & 8 at WKU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:29M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:01WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:07M-OH 4th & 12 at WKU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    22.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:54M-OH 4th & 9 at WKU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:54WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:26M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:10M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:35M-OH 4th & 8 at WKU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:06WKU 4th & 1 at M-OH 1, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:49WKU 4th & 16 at M-OH 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:42WKU 4th & 9 at M-OH 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−5.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:36M-OH 4th & 4 at M-OH 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:29WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:39M-OH 4th & 5 at WKU 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−5.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:56WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:51WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:17M-OH 4th & 24 at WKU 41, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 5:30WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:46WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:36M-OH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:00M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:44WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:17M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
19.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
19.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
19.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Leverick JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
19.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
19.2%
Billy Bahl run for 5 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
19.2%
Justin Martin punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 40 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
20.6%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+41
20.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 41 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
20.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+2
20.4%
Mike White pass intercepted De'Andre Montgomery return for 2 yds to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
21.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal helmet contact (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
21.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+4
21.2%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 11
50
+3
21.2%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MIAMIOH 47 MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
21.1%
Justin Martin punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
21.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+23
21.9%
Quinton Baker run for 23 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
21.6%
Quinton Baker run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
21.5%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
21.5%
Quinton Baker run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+18
21.6%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 18 yds Taywan Taylor fumbled, forced by Deondre Daniels, recovered by MiaOh Brad KoenigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
23.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
22.7%
Justin Martin punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
23.3%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
23.1%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
23.7%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
23.7%
Marquez Trigg run for 1 yd to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
23.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
24.2%
Jake Collins punt for 29 yds, downed at the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
25.0%
Kenny Young run for 15 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
25.1%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
25.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-7
25.0%
Billy Bahl sacked by Keith Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
24.0%
Justin Martin punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8FUMBLE
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:5475% → 75%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
25.3%
Quinton Baker run for 28 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
24.5%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 8
50
0
24.4%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 8
50
+11
24.7%
Mike White pass complete to Shaquille Johnson for 11 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
24.3%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+7
24.0%
Quinton Baker run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
24.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
24.0%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-6
24.9%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 22 Quinton Baker fumbled, forced by Austin Gearing, recovered by MiaOh Heath HardingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5927% → 29%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
27.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+24
27.4%
Kenny Young run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Branden Leston) to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
28.6%
Kenny Young run for 20 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
29.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
29.1%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-4
28.7%
Billy Bahl sacked by Chris Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
29.3%
Nick Dowd 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
27.9%
Marquez Trigg run for 5 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
27.1%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
27.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
28.7%
Jake Collins punt for 44 yds, downed at the MiaOh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
30.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
30.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
29.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
28.9%
Justin Martin punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:2971% → 79%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
29.1%
Taywan Taylor run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
27.8%
Nicholas Norris run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+14
27.6%
Marquez Trigg run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
27.2%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
27.2%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 5
OPP 21
-6
27.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the MiaOh 12 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nicholas Norris) to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
27.2%
Mike White pass incomplete, broken up by Brad KoenigSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+15
27.4%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for 15 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
27.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal use of hands (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 25
OPP 27
-10
27.6%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete, PENALTY WKU holding (WILLIAMS, D.) 10 yards to the MIAMI37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 35
OPP 37
+3
28.4%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 32
OPP 34
+32
29.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 32 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.2%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:1323% → 16%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
23.3%
Billy Bahl sacked by Omarius Bryant for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+1
23.3%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 5
+3
22.6%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+48
16.2%
Justin Martin punt for 40 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 48 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:2718% → 20%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
18.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Devante Duclos for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
18.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
18.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
18.6%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-2
17.1%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
20.1%
Nick Dowd 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:1583% → 84%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
17.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
17.8%
Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.6%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.3%
Marquez Trigg run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.4%
Mike White run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
18.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Tony ReidSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
18.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Quinton BakerSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-6
18.8%
Mike White sacked by Jt Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
19.9%
Jake Collins punt for 32 yds, downed at the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
19.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
19.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+16
18.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
19.8%
Billy Bahl run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-8
19.8%
Billy Bahl sacked by Joel Iyiegbuniwe for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 14 Billy Bahl fumbled, recovered by WKent Keith Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5582% → 87%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
17.6%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan, PENALTY MIAMI personal foul (SMIERCIAK, Zach) 7 yards to the MIAMI7, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
17.6%
Quinton Baker run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
17.6%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
18.0%
Mike White run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
13.0%
Ryan Nuss 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
14.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
14.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+6
13.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+4
14.4%
Justin Martin punt for 47 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 4 yds to the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:4688% → 95%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
12.4%
WHITE, Mike pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan (DANIELS, D.), PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the WKU33, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
12.2%
Quinton Baker run for 9 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+5
11.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 5 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
4.9%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 53 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 5:017% → 15%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
6.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 6 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-1
7.1%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+11
6.8%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to MARTIN, Sam, PENALTY WKU pass interference (BROWN, Joe) 11 yards to the MIAMI38, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
7.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
7.0%
Billy Bahl sacked by Chris Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+24
6.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 24 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
7.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+20
7.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 20 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
8.4%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Collin Buchanan) to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
8.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+9
8.0%
Kenny Young run for 9 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+11
8.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Shisso for 11 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
8.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.6%
Billy Bahl run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
10.2%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for a loss of 2 yards Quinton Baker fumbled, forced by Joshua Allen, recovered by WKent Quinton BakerSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+13
10.3%
Quinton Baker run for 13 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
9.8%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
9.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Shaquille Johnson, broken up by Jt JonesSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
9.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
10.5%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, downed at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:2511% → 24%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
11.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
24.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 70 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:1680% → 93%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
20.0%
Nacarius Fant run for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+16
20.0%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 16 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
7.3%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
11.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
12.5%
BAHL, Billy rush over left end for no gain to the MIAMI45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MIAMI holding (GODLEVSKY, D.) 10 yards to the MIAMI35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+12
10.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 12 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+14
12.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+15
11.3%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete, PENALTY WKU roughing passer (BRYANT, Omarius) 15 yards to the MIAMI45, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
13.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+14
13.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Shisso for 14 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
13.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
13.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
13.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 5
OPP 15
0
12.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
5.7%
Quinton Baker run for 4 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+2
5.7%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
6.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 4
OWN 21
0
6.1%
Jake Collins punt for 55 yds, downed at the MiaOh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27PUNT
15 plays · 29 yds · 0:166% → 6%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
6.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 16 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
6.3%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
6.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam Shisso, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+23
6.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 23 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
6.8%
Billy Bahl run for 5 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-10
7.7%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to SHISSO, Sam, PENALTY MIAMI holding (GODLEVSKY, D.) 10 yards to the WKU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+14
6.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 14 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
7.5%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
7.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Ryan Smith) to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
7.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 15
OPP 29
-9
7.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, intentional grounding (Billy Bahl) to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 24
OPP 38
-9
6.4%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI illegal touching (BAHL, Billy) 9 yards to the WKU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 33
OPP 47
0
6.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 33
OPP 47
0
5.9%
Justin Martin punt for 28 yds, downed at the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:1597% → 98%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
3.2%
Quinton Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+3
3.2%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-2
2.6%
Mike White pass complete to Quinton Baker for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
2.5%
Jake Collins punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:282% → 11%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+13
1.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
1.8%
Billy Bahl run for 11 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
2.0%
Billy Bahl sacked by Omarius Bryant for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 17
OPP 34
-8
2.1%
Billy Bahl sacked by Derik Overstreet and Joel Iyiegbuniwe for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 25
OPP 42
+1
1.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 1 yd to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 24
OPP 41
+41
10.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 70 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
+13.1
TD · Q4 13:44
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 36 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q4 1:17
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com