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MONM

Monmouth 7 at Kent State 27

KENT
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadMONM aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreMONM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:23 · Zach Welch run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior+18.5Home team on offense+7.5Score differential+3.9Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:56: Myles Washington run for 7 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +3.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:19: Shane Hynes 38 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +4.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q2 0:18: Mylik Mitchell sacked by Keneek Tomlinson for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 8 — KENT win probability +2.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:53: Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 6 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +7.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:53: Zach Welch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt White KICK) — MONM win probability +6.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MONM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MONM made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 1 at MONM 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:40MONM 4th & 19 at MONM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:15KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:46MONM 4th & 20 at MONM 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:29KENT 4th & 5 at MONM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:22MONM 4th & 5 at MONM 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:48MONM 4th & 2 at KENT 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−1.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:19KENT 4th & 3 at MONM 21, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:23MONM 4th & 1 at KENT 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%−1.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:24MONM 4th & 5 at KENT 13, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:55MONM 4th & 18 at MONM 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:49KENT 4th & 1 at MONM 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−1.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−5.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:53MONM 4th & 6 at MONM 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:30KENT 4th & 12 at MONM 19, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MONM 4th & 6 at MONM 46, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00MONM 4th & 7 at KENT 12, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:56KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:33MONM 4th & 4 at KENT 30, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:24KENT 4th & 4 at MONM 39, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:25MONM 4th & 10 at MONM 38, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MONM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 10:56KENT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:53KENT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:53MONM Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:34KENT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.2%
Justin Rankin run for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
82.2%
Mylik Mitchell run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+23
82.2%
Justin Rankin run for 23 yds to the MonNJ 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.2%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the MonNJ 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
82.2%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 8 yds to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
82.2%
Mylik Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+7
82.2%
Mylik Mitchell run for no gain to the MonNJ 42 Mylik Mitchell fumbled, forced by Payton Minnich, recovered by MonNJ Darnell Leslie , return for 7 yds to the MonNJ 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.1%
Ed Royds run for no gain to the MonNJ 42Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
81.2%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Darren AmbushSimilar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-15
81.2%
WILLIAMS, Cody pass complete to WHITE JR., R. for 9 yards to the KENT49, PENALTY MU pass interference (FABEL, Zach) 15 yards to the MU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 25
OWN 27
+6
81.4%
Ed Royds run for 6 yds to the MonNJ 33Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 19
OWN 33
0
81.4%
Matt White punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nick Holley at the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
80.9%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
80.9%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+4
80.8%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Raekwon James for 4 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+1
80.8%
Derek Adams punt for 50 yds , Vinny Grasso returns for 1 yd to the MonNJ 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
80.3%
Zach Welch run for a loss of 2 yards to the MonNJ 14Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+1
80.3%
Cody Williams pass complete to Zach Welch for 1 yd to the MonNJ 15Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 11
OWN 15
-9
80.5%
Cody Williams sacked by Jamal Parker for a loss of 9 yards to the MonNJ 6Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 20
OWN 6
+8
80.7%
Matt White punt for 43 yds , Nick Holley returns for 8 yds to the MonNJ 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:1480% → 80%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
80.4%
Kavious Price run for 12 yds to the MonNJ 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
80.5%
Kavious Price run for 21 yds to the MonNJ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
80.5%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 5Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
80.5%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Connor Shinsky) to the MonNJ 10Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
80.5%
George Bollas run for 9 yds to the MonNJ 1Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
80.3%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 4 yards to the MonNJ 5Similar
Q1 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
79.8%
Shane Hynes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
79.6%
Ed Royds run for a loss of 4 yards to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+3
79.9%
Ed Royds run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 29Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+6
80.1%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 6 yds to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+1
80.1%
Matt White punt for 44 yds , Nick Holley returns for 1 yd to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 5:2679% → 83%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
78.8%
Mylik Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+12
78.7%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Raekwon James for 12 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
78.9%
Mylik Mitchell run for 22 yds to the MonNJ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
79.5%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Manny Maragoto for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+4
78.7%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Brice Fackler for 4 yds Brice Fackler fumbled, forced by Diego Zubieta,Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+26
78.6%
Mylik Mitchell run for 26 yds to the MonNJ 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
79.7%
Mylik Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
79.7%
Raekwon James run for 6 yds to the MonNJ 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
79.3%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 5 yds to the MonNJ 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
79.7%
Ernest Calhoun run for 3 yds to the MonNJ 7Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.0%
Myles Washington run for 7 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
81.6%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 10 yds to the MonNJ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
81.1%
Zach Welch run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 48Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
81.2%
Zach Welch run for no gain to the 50 yard line Zach Welch fumbled, forced by James Alexander, recovered by MonNJ Peter Righi , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 7
50
+5
81.3%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Ed Royds for 5 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
81.6%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Devin PhelpsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 4:0883% → 87%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
82.8%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+11
82.8%
Mylik Mitchell run for 11 yds to the MonNJ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
82.9%
Justin Rankin run for 12 yds to the MonNJ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
83.0%
RANKIN, Justin rush for 11 yards to the MU17 (BASILE, Mike), PENALTY KENT holding (SHINSKY, Connor) 10 yards to the MU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+13
82.6%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 13 yds to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
83.0%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 2 yds to the MonNJ 23Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+2
82.5%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Justin Rankin for 2 yds to the MonNJ 21Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
86.9%
Shane Hynes 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 10DOWNS
16 plays · 63 yds · 3:4614% → 15%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
86.0%
Cody Williams pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 13 yds to the MonNJ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
85.5%
Ed Royds run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 40Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
85.6%
Darren Ambush run for 9 yds to the MonNJ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
85.2%
Ed Royds run for 5 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
85.0%
Ed Royds run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
84.3%
Zach Welch run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+1
84.6%
Zach Welch run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
84.2%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Zach WelchSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+23
84.3%
Cody Williams pass complete to Darren Ambush for 23 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
83.4%
Cody Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
83.6%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Darren AmbushSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+5
84.3%
Cody Williams pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 5 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+1
85.4%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Mike Strange for 1 yd to the KntSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
88.2%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Keneek Tomlinson for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
86.6%
Zach Welch run for 8 yds to the MonNJ 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-1
86.2%
Zach Welch run for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 27Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
86.5%
Cody Williams pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 7 yds to the MonNJ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
86.3%
WILLIAMS, Cody pass incomplete to WHITE JR., R. (HOLLEY, Nate), PENALTY MU face mask (CLAYTON, Russ) 15 yards to the MU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 25
OWN 19
+1
86.7%
Zach Welch run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 24
OWN 20
0
86.8%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Ed RoydsSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 24
OWN 20
+6
87.0%
Cody Williams pass complete to Ed Royds for 6 yds to the MonNJ 26Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 18
OWN 26
+5
87.2%
Matt White punt for 47 yds , Nick Holley returns for 5 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
16 plays · 68 yds · 5:5689% → 97%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.0%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
88.9%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
88.5%
Mylik Mitchell run for 13 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
89.6%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
89.5%
Mylik Mitchell run for 6 yds to the MonNJ 47Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
89.1%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 3 yds to the MonNJ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
89.5%
Mylik Mitchell run for 9 yds to the MonNJ 35Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+10
89.6%
Justin Rankin run for 10 yds to the MonNJ 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
89.6%
Justin Rankin run for a loss of 3 yards to the MonNJ 28Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+10
89.5%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Justin Rankin for 10 yds to the MonNJ 18Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
89.2%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 2 yds to the MonNJ 16Similar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
88.7%
Mylik Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
89.6%
MITCHELL, Mylik pass incomplete to HOLLEY, Nick (LESLIE, Marcus), PENALTY MU illegal helmet contact (SMITH, Dimitriu) 8 yards to the MU7, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.6%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the MonNJ 7Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
89.6%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 6Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.3%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 6 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
96.7%
Cody Williams pass complete to Ed Royds for 4 yds to the MonNJ 19Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
96.7%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
96.8%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Darren AmbushSimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+10
96.8%
Matt White punt for 38 yds , Nick Holley returns for 10 yds to the MonNJ 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:3097% → 97%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.3%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 43Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
97.3%
George Bollas run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
97.2%
Myles Washington run for 6 yds to the MonNJ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
97.3%
Nick Holley run for 15 yds to the MonNJ 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
97.3%
HOLLEY, Nick rush for 13 yards to the MU4, out-of-bounds (NELSON, Tre), PENALTY KENT holding (WASHINGTON, M.) 10 yards to the MU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+2
97.3%
George Bollas pass complete to Myles Washington for 2 yds to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 18
OPP 25
+6
97.3%
Raekwon James run for 6 yds to the MonNJ 19Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
97.2%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
97.0%
Shane Hynes 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mike BasileSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 16DOWNS
16 plays · 53 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
97.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Darren Ambush for 9 yds to the MonNJ 30Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-5
97.7%
MONMOUTH Penalty, false start (Devin Phelps) to the MonNJ 25Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+17
97.8%
Zach Welch run for 17 yds to the MonNJ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.7%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Zach Welch, broken up by Darius RedmondSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
97.7%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
97.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Zach Welch for 4 yds to the MonNJ 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+10
98.1%
Zach Welch run for 10 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Darren Ambush for 7 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+16
97.9%
Kenji Bahar run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 26 Kenji Bahar fumbled, recovered by MonNJ Kenji Bahar for a 1ST down , return for 16 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
97.8%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Ed Royds for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+10
98.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 10 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
97.8%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 19
0
97.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+7
98.0%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Darren Ambush for 7 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 12
-14
98.1%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 14 yards to the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.8%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
98.9%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Derek Adams punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 18TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:401% → 7%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
98.9%
Kenji Bahar run for 5 yds to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Darren AmbushSimilar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+15
98.9%
BAHAR, Kenji pass incomplete to PHELPS, Devin, PENALTY KENT roughing passer (REFUGE, Elcee) 15 yards to the KENT47, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
98.9%
Ed Royds run for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Kenji Bahar pass incomplete to Reggie White Jr.Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Reggie White Jr. for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+1
98.8%
Ed Royds run for 1 yd to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+8
98.9%
Kenji Bahar pass complete to Darren Ambush for 8 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
98.7%
Zach Welch run for 5 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+5
98.7%
WELCH, Zach rush for 2 yards to the KENT15 (JOHNSON, A.), PENALTY KENT 12 men on the field 5 yards to the KENT12, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
98.7%
BAHAR, Kenji pass incomplete to WHITE JR., R. (MARSHALL, D.), PENALTY KENT pass interference (MARSHALL, D.) 10 yards to the KENT2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.6%
Zach Welch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2896% → 97%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.4%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Raekwon James for 7 yds to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
96.4%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the MonNJ 37Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-2
96.3%
Mylik Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MonNJ 39Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
97.0%
Derek Adams punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 20INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:313% → 2%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
96.8%
Kenji Bahar run for 2 yds to the MonNJ 14Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-5
96.8%
Kenji Bahar sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 5 yards to the MonNJ 9Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 13
OWN 9
0
97.7%
Kenji Bahar pass intercepted Elcee Refuge return for no gain to the MonNJ 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:0598% → 100%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
97.9%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MonNJ 32Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+4
97.9%
Myles Washington run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 28Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
99.6%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 28 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MONMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
Zach Welch run for 4 yds to the MonNJ 43 Zach Welch fumbled, forced by Darius Redmond, recovered by MonNJ Peter RighiSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Cody Williams pass incomplete to Devin PhelpsSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-5
99.8%
Cody Williams sacked by Theo Majette and Nick Faulkner for a loss of 5 yards to the MonNJ 38Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Matt White punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nick Holley at the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:53
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Nick Holley for 6 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+7.8
TD · Q4 5:53
Zach Welch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt White KICK)
-6.1
FG · Q2 4:19
Shane Hynes 38 yd FG GOOD
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com