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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 41 at Bowling Green 21

BGSU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:46 · Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds, downed at the BwGrn 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense−20.8Pregame prior−7.6Score differential−10.5Garbage-time factor−5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:56: Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:14: Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:42: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 16 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:30: I'Tavius Mathers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:41: Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 78 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +11.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:13MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:11MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:01MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24MTSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:24BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:37BGSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:37BGSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 15, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:46MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:36BGSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−1.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:41MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−3.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:52BGSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−2.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00BGSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:47MTSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 38, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−1.8
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:37BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:52BGSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 21, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.7
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:50MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:17BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:56BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:03MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:14BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:42MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:30MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:41MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:01MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.3%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
32.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
32.3%
James Knapke run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
32.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
32.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie Moore, broken up by Alex DaleSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
32.3%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
32.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 37 yds, downed at the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
33.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 2 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
33.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+4
33.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
33.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 59 yds , Ronnie Moore returns for no gain to the BwGrn 10 Ronnie Moore fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Charvarius WardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:3367% → 68%
Q1 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
33.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
32.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 6 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4KICKOFF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
32.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
32.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:5634% → 36%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
33.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Fred Coppet for 15 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
33.7%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
33.7%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
35.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
34.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-3
35.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 41 yds , Ronnie Moore returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 27 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:5036% → 42%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
35.7%
Fred Coppet run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
35.8%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+19
36.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 19 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
36.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+23
36.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 23 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
36.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+7
36.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
36.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q1 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:4559% → 64%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
40.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
41.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 9 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
40.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
40.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+53
35.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 53 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:5738% → 38%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
37.9%
Fred Coppet run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+6
38.1%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
38.0%
CLEVELAND, Josh rush for loss of 2 yards to the BGSU23 (HARRIS, Darius;JONES, Jahmal), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
37.9%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
37.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
37.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 7 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
37.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 61 yds, downed at the MTnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
38.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Brandon HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+15
38.1%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to ANDREWS, Dennis, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 15 yards to the MT26, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
37.8%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to SMITH, Patrick for 1 yard to the MT27, PENALTY MT pass interference 13 yards to the MT13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 23
OWN 13
0
38.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 23
OWN 13
+17
38.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 17 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+6
38.2%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to LEE, Ty, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 6 yards to the MT36, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
37.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+47
36.6%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Alfonso Mack return for 47 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
45.5%
FIELDS, Nick kickoff 64 yards to the MT1, ANDERSON, D. return to the MT13 (BALLEW, Nilijah), PENALTY BGSU offside 5 yards to the BGSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
45.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
45.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+14
45.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Isiah Upton for 14 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
44.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-4
43.8%
Terelle West run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
45.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Desmond AndersonSimilar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+5
46.0%
BONADIES, Matt punt 42 yards to the BGSU18, out-of-bounds, PENALTY BGSU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the MT45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
45.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 43 yds, downed at the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
47.7%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-2
47.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-2
46.8%
James Knapke sacked by D.J. Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 10 James Knapke fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 12
OWN 10
+11
46.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 50 yds , Richie James returns for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:3153% → 50%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
46.6%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to JAMES, Richie, PENALTY MT holding 10 yards to the MT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+3
48.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+15
48.5%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to WINDHAM, CJ, PENALTY BGSU personal foul (HARRIS, Brandon) 15 yards to the BGSU41, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
46.6%
Terelle West run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
45.5%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+15
45.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 15 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
45.3%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
45.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by James SanfordSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
46.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Isiah Upton, broken up by Cameron JefferiesSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
50.5%
Canon Rooker 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
52.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
54.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
54.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-5
53.6%
Ronnie Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
51.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:0447% → 65%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
52.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
52.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+28
52.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 28 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
50.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+13
50.1%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to JAMES, Richie, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 13 yards to the BGSU30, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
48.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Max Linder, broken up by Tavarus WadeSimilar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
48.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+8
49.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 8 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
48.5%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
35.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 16 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0044% → 47%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
44.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 14 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
45.4%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
45.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
44.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
50
-4
47.1%
James Knapke sacked by Shaquille Huff for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 46 James Knapke fumbled, recovered by MTnSt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:2563% → 75%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
37.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Dennis Andrews for 34 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
35.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
24.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
30.4%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
31.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Fred Coppet for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
20.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 78 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 57 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
21.0%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
21.1%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
21.7%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
22.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 26 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
23.4%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
23.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+4
22.7%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 14:37
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+10
22.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
23.4%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+2
23.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+3
22.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 14:37
4TH & 6
OPP 15
0
22.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
16.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+8
16.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
16.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
15.3%
Terelle West run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
15.3%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
15.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Dennis AndrewsSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
16.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds, downed at the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 69 yds · 0:0016% → 19%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
16.3%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+3
16.3%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+6
16.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
16.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
17.2%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
17.8%
Fred Coppet run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
18.8%
James Knapke run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
19.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
19.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
18.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 17
0
18.8%
Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the MTnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
13.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
13.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-9
13.4%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 9 yards to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
13.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, downed at the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:5215% → 15%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
15.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
15.6%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+3
15.3%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+6
15.1%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
15.8%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
16.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
15.6%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+3
14.6%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:3390% → 94%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
9.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+16
9.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 16 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
8.8%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
8.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+3
9.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
6.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, downed at the BwGrn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28INT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:009% → 11%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
9.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+6
9.0%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+3
8.9%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+2
9.2%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
9.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 9 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+11
10.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
10.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
10.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
10.9%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+19
10.9%
James Knapke pass intercepted Raynard Felton return for 19 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:3296% → 99%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
4.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
4.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+8
4.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 14 I'Tavius Mathers fumbled, forced by Tavarus Wade, recovered by MTnSt Chandler Brewer for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
4.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
4.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
0.8%
I'Tavius Mathers 5 Yd Run (Canon Rooker PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30INT
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
1.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
1.2%
Josh Cleveland run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
1.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+18
1.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 18 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
1.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 1 yd to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
1.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
1.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
1.4%
James Knapke run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
1.5%
James Knapke pass intercepted Charvarius Ward return for 11 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 14
OWN 7
-3
0.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:42
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 16 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 14:41
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 78 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q2 13:14
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
+10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com