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EMU

Eastern Michigan 37 at Charlotte 19

CLT
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Matt Johnson run for 12 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Home team on offense−13.2Score differential−6.8Garbage-time factor−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:36: Paul Fricano 22 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +4.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:10: Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +11.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:36: Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 49 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +12.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:20: Paul Fricano 36 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +8.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:51: Kevin Olsen pass intercepted for a TD Jaylen Pickett return for 36 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:34CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:09EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:00EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 7 at EMU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:34CLT 4th & 7 at EMU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:36EMU 4th & 4 at CLT 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 10 at EMU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:28CLT 4th & 4 at EMU 8, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:20EMU 4th & 4 at CLT 18, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−7.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:17EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 40, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:18EMU 4th & 5 at CLT 14, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:18CLT 4th & 1 at EMU 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:11EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:10EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:36EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:51EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
48.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 13 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
48.8%
Todd Porter pass intercepted Ed Rolle return for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
48.8%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
49.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
49.2%
Ben LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+7
49.1%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Nate Mullen for 7 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
49.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, downed at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
49.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Ka'John Armstrong) to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 15
OWN 7
-2
49.4%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 5Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 17
OWN 5
0
49.5%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 17
OWN 5
+10
49.6%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 10 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
49.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 50 yds , Austin Duke returns for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
49.8%
Kevin Olsen sacked by Pat O'Connor for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-10
49.6%
OLSEN, Kevin pass complete to MULLEN, Nate for 14 yards to the CHA43, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CHA holding (GERMAN, Eugene) 10 yards to the CHA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 26
OWN 19
+7
49.7%
Robert Washington run for 7 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+14
49.4%
Robert Washington run for 14 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
49.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 4:0050% → 55%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
50.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Daquan Lucas) to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+2
49.9%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+5
49.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 5 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.0%
Todd Porter run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
50.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Izaiah Fuller for 18 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
49.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 9 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+10
49.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 10 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
49.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+30
49.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 24 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandon Banks) to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 4
OPP 5
+5
45.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
46.6%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+4
47.1%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for no gain to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
46.9%
Ben LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
46.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
45.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds, downed at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
45.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 3 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
45.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 16Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
46.0%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Dan BuschmanSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 6
OWN 16
-3
46.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds , Austin Duke returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:0146% → 49%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
45.6%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Juwan Foggie for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+22
46.5%
Robert Washington run for 22 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
46.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
47.6%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-4
46.9%
Kevin Olsen sacked by Ike Spearman for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+20
45.6%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 20 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
47.6%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-3
47.6%
Ben LeMay run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
46.8%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
49.3%
Stephen Muscarello 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:5852% → 62%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
48.0%
Breck Turner run for 12 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
47.4%
Todd Porter run for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
46.7%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+8
47.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 8 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
46.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 32 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
45.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 6 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
45.7%
Todd Porter run for 1 yd to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+8
46.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 8 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.7%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.7%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
43.0%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
38.3%
Paul Fricano 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
40.2%
Austin Duke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+7
39.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 7 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
39.8%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 5 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
40.7%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+21
40.6%
Kevin Olsen pass intercepted Jaylen Pickett return for 21 yds to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2364% → 75%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
35.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 6 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-10
35.9%
ERIKSEN, Ian rush for 6 yards to the CHA8 (KING, K.;COOK, Nick), PENALTY EMU holding (GARDNER, Cole) 10 yards to the CHA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+18
36.3%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 18 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Dan Buschman, broken up by Justin Bridges-ThompsonSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
35.9%
Todd Porter run for 1 yd to the Charl 5Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 1:1028% → 28%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
27.7%
Kevin Olsen run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
28.4%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 17 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
29.8%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 9 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
29.4%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
29.2%
Ben LeMay run for 4 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
30.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
30.1%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Uriah LeMaySimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
29.2%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Chris Montgomery, broken up by Vince CalhounSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
27.7%
Stephen Muscarello 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FUMBLE
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0027% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
27.3%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
27.2%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Justin Bolus for 6 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
27.3%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+12
26.9%
Matt Johnson run for 12 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
29.2%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
29.2%
Ben LeMay run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
50
0
29.3%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Zach Bumgarner, broken up by DaQuan PaceSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
50
+3
29.2%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Ben LeMay for 3 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
29.7%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
29.6%
Ben LeMay run for 2 yds to the EMich 47 Ben LeMay fumbled, forced by Chris Hendricks, recovered by EMich Kyle RachwalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:3877% → 89%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
22.6%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 4 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+49
10.6%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 49 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:0817% → 19%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
16.8%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
17.5%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 14 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
18.0%
Robert Washington run for 11 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
18.2%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
18.2%
Ben LeMay run for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
17.8%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
18.8%
Stephen Muscarello 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 5:0886% → 95%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
50
+5
13.8%
Todd Porter run for 5 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
13.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+5
14.1%
Todd Porter pass complete to Dan Buschman for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
13.8%
Todd Porter run for no gain to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-3
13.9%
Todd Porter sacked by Tyriq Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+17
14.1%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 17 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
13.3%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
13.3%
Todd Porter pass complete to Dan Buschman for 3 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
13.4%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
4.9%
Paul Fricano 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:297% → 3%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.9%
Kevin Olsen pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
6.9%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Chris Montgomery for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+36
2.6%
Kevin Olsen pass intercepted for a TD Jaylen Pickett return for 36 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q3 3:51
1ST & GOAL
50
+15
2.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Jarred Barr) to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 35
+15
1.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, roughing the kicker (Larry Ogunjobi) to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 4:342% → 1%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
1.5%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
1.4%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+25
1.4%
Kevin Olsen pass complete to Austin Duke for 25 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
1.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
1.6%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+3
1.6%
Kevin Olsen run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 7
50
+15
1.6%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to DUKE, Austin, PENALTY EMU pass interference (PACE, DaQuan) 15 yards to the EMU35, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
1.8%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
1.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Chris MontgomerySimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
1.8%
Robert Washington run for 8 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
0.6%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
0.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 10 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.8%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
0.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
0.8%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Dan BuschmanSimilar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
0.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 43 yds , Austin Duke returns for no gain to the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
0.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to R.J. TylerSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
0.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+11
0.4%
Robert Washington run for 11 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
0.4%
Robert Washington run for 9 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+18
0.4%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Kwanii Figueroa) to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 5 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
0.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
0.5%
Ben LeMay run for 3 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
0.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Austin Duke for 6 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+28
0.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 28 yds for a TD, (Stephen Muscarello PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 6:24100% → 100%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
0.4%
Blake Banham run for 7 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+1
0.4%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
0.3%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
0.3%
Blake Banham run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
0.3%
Todd Porter run for 6 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
0.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for no gain to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+32
0.3%
Todd Porter pass complete to Dan Buschman for 32 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
0.2%
Todd Porter run for 1 yd to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
0.2%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+4
0.3%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+30
0.2%
Paul Fricano 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Robert Washington for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 35 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (DaQuan Pace) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
50
+16
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 16 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+14
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 14 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 6 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 1 yd to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 1
OPP 11
0
0.1%
Ben LeMay run for no gain to the EMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 10Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:36
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 49 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-12
TD · Q2 1:10
Todd Porter pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-11
FG · Q3 4:20
Paul Fricano 36 yd FG GOOD
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com