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AKR

Akron 65 at Marshall 38

MRSH
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+12.9MRSH 25.2%Amoreto Curraj 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 48 - HOME 31 · Q3 1:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:59 · Amoreto Curraj 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense−22.6Score differential−11.5Garbage-time factor−7.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:02: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +8.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:20: Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +10.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:09: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 27 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +23.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:59: Amoreto Curraj 29 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +12.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:00: Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:47MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:00MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:45MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:02MRSH 4th & 2 at AKR 48, down 13
    Close callPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:18AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 7 at AKR 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:59MRSH 4th & 12 at AKR 12, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -1.8%−11.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:00MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 40, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:50AKR 4th & 3 at MRSH 9, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:51MRSH 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:34AKR 4th & 12 at midfield, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:45MRSH 4th & 5 at AKR 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:47AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:18MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:15MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:46MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:07AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:02AKR Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:20AKR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:02MRSH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:09AKR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:00AKR Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:51MRSH Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:45AKR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:1312% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+43
87.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 43 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
87.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 4 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
87.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+25
87.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 25 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
87.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 8 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
87.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
87.2%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+4
87.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 11
OWN 16
0
87.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q1 13:47
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
87.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 17 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
86.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 22 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
86.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 10 yds Jerome Lane fumbled, forced by Rodney Allen, recovered by Marsh Kendall GantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4886% → 86%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.4%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
86.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 7 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
86.5%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+41
86.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 41 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
86.6%
Emanuel Byrd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+10
85.4%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to CLARK, Michael, QB hurry by PITTMAN, Se'Von, PENALTY AKRON holding (HOPE, Larry) 10 yards to the AKRON14, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
85.4%
DAVIS, Keion rush for loss of 3 yards to the AKRON17 (PITTMAN, Se'Von;FEATHERSTONE, S), PENALTY AKRON face mask (PITTMAN, Se'Von) 7 yards to the AKRON7, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
85.4%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 3 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
85.6%
Manny Morgan run for 12 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
85.6%
Manny Morgan run for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-4
85.3%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
85.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Omari Cobb blocked by Omari CobbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0786% → 87%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.6%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
85.6%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+15
85.1%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to HUNT, Justin, QB hurry by BOXEN, Brock, PENALTY AKRON roughing passer (BOXEN, Brock) 15 yards to the AKRON21, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
85.6%
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
85.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
86.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 18 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:3314% → 14%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.3%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
86.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Chase Hancock and Gary Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
86.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:1186% → 89%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
86.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 23 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
86.6%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+11
86.6%
Keion Davis run for 11 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
86.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+21
89.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 21 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:4612% → 12%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.8%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to LANE, Jerome, QB hurry by THOMPSON, Gary, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (ALLEN, Rodney) 10 yards to the AKRON35, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
87.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 8 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-15
87.4%
AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (JoJo Natson) to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+12
88.0%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin (JACKSON, Chris), PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 12 yards to the AKRON40, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 1 yd to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-3
87.6%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+4
88.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 4 yds to the Marsh 42 AKRON Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5989% → 86%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
88.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 6 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
88.8%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+11
88.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 11 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+35
85.6%
Chase Litton sacked by Deon'Tae Moore for a loss of 6 yards Chase Litton fumbled, recovered by Akron Daumantas Venckus , return for 0 yards , return for 35 yds, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
84.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 13 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
85.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 7 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
85.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
85.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
84.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+51
84.6%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 36 yds, downed at the MARSHALL 22 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:5816% → 23%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
84.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
84.2%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
84.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 15 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
83.4%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Ryan Bee and Ty Tyler for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 12
50
+15
83.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 15 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
82.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kevin GladneySimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
76.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 35 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT TD
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:2280% → 71%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.4%
Keion Davis run for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
81.2%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
80.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
80.0%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+30
71.4%
TEAM punt blocked by Zach Guiser blocked by Zach Guiser Ulysees Gilbert III return for 30 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
72.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 9 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+11
73.1%
Hyleck Foster run for 11 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
73.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 17 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
74.4%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
73.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+8
72.9%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Zach Guiser return for 8 yds to the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:2132% → 40%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
68.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 34 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
60.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
63.2%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+10
62.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
63.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Emanuel ByrdSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
63.1%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 30 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:2741% → 41%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
59.0%
Manny Morgan run for 7 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
58.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
59.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
58.5%
Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
57.2%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
57.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
58.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome LaneSimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
59.3%
Nick Gasser punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+20
58.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 20 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
59.2%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to DAVIS, Keion, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (DEVERS, Nate) 10 yards to the MARSHALL42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+45
57.6%
Chase Litton pass intercepted for a 1ST down Kyron Brown return for 34 yds to the MARSHALL 24 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:2149% → 65%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
50.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 7 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+3
50.6%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.0%
Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
43.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 13 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
44.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael Clark, broken up by Bryce JonesSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
44.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh Knight, broken up by Cory MorrowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:5841% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
40.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 8 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-5
41.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
40.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 10 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
41.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
42.0%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
43.1%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to CLARK, Michael, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (SCOTT, DeAndre) 19 yards to the AKRON38, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
43.7%
DAVIS, Keion rush for loss of 4 yards to the AKRON42, out-of-bounds (GILBERT, U.), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (DEVERS, Nate) 10 yards to the AKRON48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+4
42.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 44
-10
42.5%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to MCMANUS, D., QB hurry by GILBERT, U., PENALTY MARSHALL holding (JEAN-FELIX, S.) 10 yards to the MARSHALL46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 26
OWN 46
+2
41.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+17
41.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+15
42.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 15 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
44.5%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+11
44.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 11 yds to the Akron 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
49.8%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5359% → 86%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
40.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
39.8%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
38.7%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 40Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+16
39.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 16 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
38.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 19 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
37.5%
JoJo Natson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+27
13.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 27 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 4:1021% → 25%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
20.6%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+6
19.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 6 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 0
0
18.4%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to CLARK, Michael, PENALTY MARSHALL illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY AKRON pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+12
20.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Michael Clark for 12 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
21.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 9 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-2
22.2%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+15
22.2%
AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jelani Hamilton) to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
23.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+13
22.8%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Jelani Hamilton) to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
23.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 1 yd to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
23.4%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 12Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
12.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Emanuel ByrdSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
25.2%
Amoreto Curraj 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5985% → 97%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.8%
Manny Morgan run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
14.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
14.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Jerome Lane for 8 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
14.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Jerome Lane, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
14.1%
Manny Morgan run for 13 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
13.7%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+18
11.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 3 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
10.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 27 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
5.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Corey Neely) to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
5.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 8 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+21
5.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 21 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
5.6%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to YURACHEK, Ryan for 7 yards to the MARSHALL49 (GILBERT, U.;GUISER, Zach), PENALTY MARSHALL ineligible downfield on pass (YURACHEK, Ryan) 5 yards to the MARSHALL37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
5.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
5.2%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+3
5.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 14:00
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
5.2%
Kaare Vedvik punt for 38 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0998% → 100%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
2.5%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Newman Williams) to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+6
2.6%
Manny Morgan run for 6 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+61
2.5%
Manny Morgan run for 61 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
2.2%
MORGAN, Manny rush for 5 yards to the MARSHALL11 (DURANT, Davon;NEELY, Corey), PENALTY AKRON holding (RITZ, Kyle) 10 yards to the MARSHALL26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+14
2.3%
Manny Morgan run for 14 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
2.2%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
1.2%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
0.4%
Tom O'Leary 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:590% → 2%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
0.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 39 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
0.5%
Chase Litton sacked by Josh Ward and Christopher Spruill for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+2
0.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Donquell Green for 2 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+13
0.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 13 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
0.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
0.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Michael ClarkSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+25
1.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 25 yds for a TD, (Amoreto Curraj KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 0:1799% → 98%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
1.5%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
1.6%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Logan Tuley-Tillman) to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+5
1.7%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+3
2.0%
Denzel Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 7
OPP 45
-5
2.0%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 12
50
+8
2.1%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 8 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29INT TD
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:531% → 0%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
1.1%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-5
1.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Donquell Green for 5 yds to the Marsh 22 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (Emanuel Byrd) to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+19
1.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Willie Johnson for 19 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
1.1%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to ELZY, Raylen, PENALTY MARSHALL personal foul (BINOT, Fedrice) 15 yards to the MARSHALL16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 25
OWN 16
-7
1.1%
Chase Litton sacked by Davon'te Jest for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 32
OWN 9
+10
1.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tony Pittman for 10 yds to the Marsh 19 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 22
OWN 19
+31
0.1%
Chase Litton pass intercepted for a TD DeMarcus Lloyd return for 31 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+8
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-3
0.1%
Anthony Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 8
50
+3
0.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tony Pittman for 3 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+33
0.1%
Garet Morrell pass complete to Raylen Elzy for 33 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Garet Morrell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:09
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 27 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-23.7
FG · Q3 1:59
Amoreto Curraj 29 yd FG GOOD
+12.9
TD · Q2 0:20
Tra'Von Chapman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com