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OHIO

Ohio 37 at Kansas 21

KU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:04 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:32: Louie Zervos 26 Yd Field Goal — OHIO win probability +10.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:17: LaQuvionte Gonzalez 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +10.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:40: Steven Sims Jr. 74 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +7.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:59: Steven Sims Jr. 22 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +10.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:02: Louie Zervos 46 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +7.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:16KU 4th & 6 at OHIO 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16OHIO 4th & 2 at KU 43, up 6
    Close callPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:44KU 4th & 9 at KU 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:40KU 4th & 3 at OHIO 36, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−1.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32OHIO 4th & 5 at KU 9, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:13OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 32, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:52OHIO 4th & 5 at KU 5, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−4.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02KU 4th & 5 at KU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11OHIO 4th & 6 at KU 41, up 21
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:32OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:52OHIO 4th & 8 at KU 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−6.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:53OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:38KU 4th & 4 at KU 30, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:27OHIO 4th & 3 at KU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−1.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:34KU 4th & 3 at KU 44, down 13
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:24OHIO 4th & 5 at KU 5, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−3.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:19KU 4th & 12 at KU 39, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:04OHIO 4th & 20 at OHIO 25, up 16
    Close callWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:23OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50OHIO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:48OHIO Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:17KU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:40KU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:59KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3763% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.7%
Papi White run for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
36.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for no gain to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
36.7%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
36.7%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+53
36.7%
Greg Windham run for 53 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
37.0%
Papi White 11 Yd Run (Louie Zervos PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
37.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez, broken up by Kurt LaseakSimilar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
37.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
37.3%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the KANSAS 49 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
37.2%
Cole Moos punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
37.4%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 4 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
37.4%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to WHITE, Papi, PENALTY KU personal foul (Ogletree, M.) 15 yards to the OHIO39, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
37.1%
Greg Windham run for 10 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
37.1%
Maleek Irons run for 7 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+1
37.0%
Greg Windham run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
37.1%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Tevin ShawSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
37.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 42 yds, downed at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:4138% → 36%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
37.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 1
-1
36.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3264% → 69%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
36.1%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+14
36.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 14 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
35.9%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
35.9%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 21 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
35.6%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
35.6%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Fish SmithsonSimilar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+11
35.8%
Greg Windham run for 11 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
35.5%
Greg Windham run for 11 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
35.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Dorian Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+21
35.6%
Dorian Brown run for 21 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
35.6%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 4 OHIO Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
31.4%
Mason Morgan 4 Yd pass from Greg Windham (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
32.2%
Denzell Evans run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
32.0%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
31.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+54
31.7%
Cole Moos punt for 46 yds, downed at the KANSAS 17 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Reid) to the Ohio 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 3:1069% → 78%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
31.3%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
31.4%
Papi White run for 9 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+41
31.5%
Dorian Brown run for 41 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
30.6%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+1
30.6%
Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+15
30.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 15 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
28.3%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
22.3%
Greg Windham 23 Yd Run (Louie Zervos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
24.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
24.6%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+17
24.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 3 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
25.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
25.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+5
24.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 5 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+1
25.4%
LaQuvionte Gonzalez run for 1 yd to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 5:0680% → 91%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.2%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
20.2%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
20.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jarid Brown for 14 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
19.8%
Greg Windham run for no gain to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
19.8%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 48Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+15
20.1%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete, QB hurry by Dineen, Joe, PENALTY KU personal foul (Smithson, Fish) 15 yards to the KU37, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
19.6%
Maleek Irons run for 23 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
19.4%
Greg Windham run for 3 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
19.4%
Papi White run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
19.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Brendan Cope for no gain to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
9.5%
Louie Zervos 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
19.6%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+7
19.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 7 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-5
19.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
20.2%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds , LaQuvionte Gonzalez returns for no gain to the Kans 24 LaQuvionte Gonzalez fumbled, recovered by Ohio Toran DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:2483% → 83%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
16.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 15 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
16.8%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
16.8%
Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
16.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Bazie Bates IVSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
17.4%
Louie Zervos 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5017% → 18%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
16.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
17.0%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+2
16.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
18.3%
Cole Moos punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4484% → 88%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
16.2%
Dorian Brown run for 21 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
15.0%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
15.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jarid Brown, broken up by Tevin ShawSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+2
15.2%
Greg Windham run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
11.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
16.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 0:1515% → 22%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
14.8%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+74
22.4%
Steven Sims Jr. 74 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
21.7%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
21.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 14:32
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
21.9%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q3 14:32
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
22.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 46 yds , LaQuvionte Gonzalez returns for no gain to the Kans 10 LaQuvionte Gonzalez fumbled, recovered by Ohio Quinton MaxwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4881% → 83%
Q3 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
19.4%
Greg Windham run for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
19.4%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
19.7%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Tevin ShawSimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
17.5%
Louie Zervos 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4818% → 31%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
18.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ben Johnson for 16 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
19.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+10
19.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 10 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
19.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 27 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
30.5%
Steven Sims Jr. 22 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
27.0%
Papi White run for 10 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
26.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-3
25.9%
Papi White run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
26.3%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Troy Mangen, broken up by Marcquis RobertsSimilar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
27.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4126% → 24%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
25.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 12 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
26.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
25.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
24.3%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tyler Patrick, broken up by Cleon AloeseSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
23.7%
Cole Moos punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
23.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 22 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
23.2%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 12
OPP 0
0
22.8%
WINDHAM, Greg pass incomplete to QUALLEN, Corey, PENALTY KU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY OHIO ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+9
23.3%
Greg Windham run for 9 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
23.4%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Troy Mangen, broken up by Fish SmithsonSimilar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+22
24.9%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 22 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
22.6%
Papi White run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
22.9%
Greg Windham run for no gain to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
23.6%
Greg Windham pass intercepted, touchback. Fish Smithson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23FG
11 plays · 0 yds · 3:4822% → 13%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
21.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
22.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 6 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
22.3%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Hakeem Adeniji) to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
21.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Ben JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+6
21.3%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+5
21.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 5 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 4
OWN 0
+15
19.5%
Moos, Cole punt -8 yards to the KU29, POLING, Quentin return to the KU29 (Wise, Daniel), PENALTY KU face mask (Arnick, C.) 23 yards to the KU14, 1st and 10, OHIO ball on KU14, PENALTY OHIO unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the KU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
18.8%
Papi White run for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-1
19.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Dorian Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
19.8%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q3 0:02
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
12.6%
Louie Zervos 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:2616% → 16%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
16.0%
Cozart, Montell pass intercepted by STITES, Randy at the OHIO35, STITES, Randy return to the KU39 (Ribordy, Mesa), PENALTY OHIO personal foul (BROWN, Blair) 15 yards to the KU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
16.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
17.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-1
17.2%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
15.5%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25FG
20 plays · 81 yds · 10:0390% → 98%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
10.3%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 20
-5
10.2%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+10
10.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 10 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.2%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
10.2%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Troy Watson) to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
7.6%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
6.9%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
6.9%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+9
6.8%
Dorian Brown run for 9 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
6.7%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
6.7%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+17
7.0%
Greg Windham run for 17 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
6.7%
Dorian Brown run for 10 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
6.6%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.7%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
6.7%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
7.7%
Papi White run for 3 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
8.0%
Greg Windham run for 8 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
1.9%
Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26INT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:003% → 1%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
2.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
2.6%
Ryan Willis run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
2.7%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Ke'aun KinnerSimilar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-6
2.6%
Ryan Willis sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
1.2%
Ryan Willis pass intercepted Mayne Williams return for no gain to the Ohio 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · -15 yds · 2:0898% → 99%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-2
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-4
1.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 20
OWN 25
-5
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:17
LaQuvionte Gonzalez 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Matthew Wyman Kick)
+10.6
TD · Q3 10:59
Steven Sims Jr. 22 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Matthew Wyman Kick)
+10.6
FG · Q2 6:32
Louie Zervos 26 Yd Field Goal
-10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com