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UND

North Dakota 26 at Bowling Green 27

BGSU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadUND aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreUND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:30 · Austin Dussold punt for 50 yds, downed at the BwGrn 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+39.8Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:05: James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 51 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:01: John Santiago run for 21 yds for a TD, (Reid Taubenheim KICK) — UND win probability +9.9 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 6:31: James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder PAT MISSED) — BGSU win probability +9.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:13: Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Stetson Carr for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UND win probability +20.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:13: TEAM run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 40 — BGSU win probability +14.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10UND made the numbers' call on 7 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16UND 4th & 11 at UND 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:30UND 4th & 5 at UND 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:57UND 4th & 3 at UND 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:39BGSU 4th & 1 at UND 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:39BGSU 4th & 3 at UND 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:08BGSU 4th & 7 at UND 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:48UND 4th & 22 at BGSU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:48BGSU 4th & 5 at UND 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:49UND 4th & 6 at UND 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:44UND 4th & 2 at BGSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.6
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:32UND 4th & 8 at BGSU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:27BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:35UND 4th & 2 at UND 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:48UND 4th & 4 at BGSU 27, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.9%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−4.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:22UND 4th & 6 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:26BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00UND 4th & 5 at BGSU 35, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−1.0
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−2.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:49BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:44UND 4th & 5 at BGSU 37, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%−1.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−3.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:44BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:47UND 4th & 2 at UND 39, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−2.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:04BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UND made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:35BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:49UND Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:05BGSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:01UND Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:31BGSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:13UND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.0 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.0%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Fred Coppet for no gain to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
91.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
91.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Josh Cleveland for no gain to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
91.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 49 yds, downed at the NDKTA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
90.9%
Brady Oliveira run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 31Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-5
90.9%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+1
90.9%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 27Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
90.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
90.9%
Austin Dussold punt for 44 yds, downed at the BwGrn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
1 play · 71 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
90.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 71 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.8%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Stetson Carr for 4 yds to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
90.8%
Keaton Studsrud run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 25Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Austin Dussold punt for 50 yds, downed at the BwGrn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0991% → 92%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 10 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+22
90.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 22 yds to the NDKTA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
90.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 5 yds to the NDKTA 38Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
90.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 6 yds to the NDKTA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
90.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 21 yds to the NDKTA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
90.9%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
90.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 3Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
91.6%
Ronnie Moore run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.3%
Travis Toivonen run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
91.2%
John Santiago run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 32Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
91.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.3%
Austin Dussold punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Moore at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7MISSED FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 3:3192% → 92%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
91.5%
Fred Coppet run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
91.7%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 9
50
+12
91.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 12 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
91.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+9
91.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 9 yds to the NDKTA 29Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
91.5%
James Knapke run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
91.8%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the NDKTA 20Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+5
91.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-9
91.8%
James Knapke sacked by Brandon Dranka for a loss of 9 yards to the NDKTA 24Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 19
OPP 24
+12
91.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 12 yds to the NDKTA 12Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
91.7%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
91.5%
Jake Suder 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 5:209% → 9%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.2%
Brady Oliveira run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 26Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+11
91.1%
Brady Oliveira run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.1%
John Santiago run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 38Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+15
91.1%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis Toivonen (MACK, Alfonso), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (MACK, Alfonso) 15 yards to the BGSU47, 1ST DOWN UND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.9%
Kyle Norberg run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
90.8%
Keaton Studsrud run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
90.8%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
90.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to John SantiagoSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
90.6%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Stanley for 16 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
90.2%
John Santiago run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-16
90.2%
John Santiago rush for no gain to the BGSU16 (VALDEZ, Austin;GREENE, Trenton), PENALTY UND crackback 16 yards to the BGSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 32
0
90.6%
Brady Oliveira run for no gain to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 32
0
90.8%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 22
OPP 32
+49
91.1%
Reid Taubenheim 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
91.5%
Deric Phouthavong run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NDKTA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
91.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-3
91.7%
James Knapke sacked by Tank Harris and Brian Labat for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+2
91.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 2 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+11
91.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 11 yds to the NDKTA 42Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+4
91.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 4 yds to the NDKTA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.6%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 41Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
90.5%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 4 yds to the NDKTA 45Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-3
90.4%
Keaton Studsrud sacked by Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 42Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
90.8%
Austin Dussold punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.5%
James Knapke pass intercepted Deion Harris return for no gain to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 12FG
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:1210% → 11%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
90.3%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to John Santiago for 5 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
89.8%
John Santiago run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
90.3%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Brady Oliveira for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+10
90.5%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 10 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
89.8%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-10
90.0%
John Santiago rush for 2 yards to the BGSU19 (HARRIS, Brandon), PENALTY UND holding 10 yards to the BGSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 20
OPP 31
0
90.4%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis ToivonenSimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 20
OPP 31
+12
90.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Stanley for 12 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
88.8%
Reid Taubenheim 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
89.6%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
89.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
89.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric PhouthavongSimilar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+9
88.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 54 yds , John Santiago returns for 9 yds to the NDKTA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
89.4%
John Santiago run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDKTA 33Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+10
89.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 10 yds to the NDKTA 43Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
89.1%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to John SantiagoSimilar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-6
89.6%
Austin Dussold punt for 35 yds , Ronnie Moore returns for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15INT TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:1690% → 84%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
89.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+12
89.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 12 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+61
83.6%
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Deion Harris return for 61 yds for a TD, (Reid Taubenheim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 0:3884% → 91%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
83.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+10
83.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 10 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
90.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 51 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
89.6%
Kyle Norberg run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 22Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+7
89.6%
John Santiago run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
89.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDKTA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 18TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:5311% → 22%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
89.4%
John Santiago run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
88.9%
Keaton Studsrud run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
89.2%
John Santiago run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+32
89.0%
John Santiago run for 32 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
87.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 11 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
87.7%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Stetson CarrSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
77.8%
John Santiago run for 21 yds for a TD, (Reid Taubenheim KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
81.5%
James Knapke pass intercepted Tyus Carter return for no gain to the BwGrn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 20FG
3 plays · 6 yds · 2:0722% → 22%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
77.8%
Brady Oliveira run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 24
OPP 47
+16
80.1%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Demun Mercer for 16 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
77.8%
Reid Taubenheim 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:1780% → 89%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
79.9%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
81.2%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
81.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Marcus Milton for 12 yds to the NDKTA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
81.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the NDKTA 34Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+8
82.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Marquis Zimmerman for 8 yds to the NDKTA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
82.2%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the NDKTA 26 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NDKTA 36Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 20
OPP 36
-1
80.8%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 37Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 21
OPP 37
-3
80.5%
James Knapke sacked by Steve Greer for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 40Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 24
OPP 40
+29
79.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Teo Redding for 29 yds to the NDKTA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
88.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Scott Miller for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
82.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis ToivonenSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
82.9%
Brady Oliveira run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 6
50
0
82.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis ToivonenSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 6
50
+10
84.1%
Austin Dussold punt for 44 yds , Scott Miller returns for 10 yds to the BOWLGREEN 40 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
86.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
86.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
86.8%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
86.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 0
0
85.9%
KNAPKE, James pass complete to WILSON, Donovan for 8 yards to the BGSU37 (Chuck Flowers), PENALTY BGSU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UND personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
85.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Deric Phouthavong, broken up by Deion HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 10
OWN 29
-5
85.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 15
OWN 24
+3
85.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 51 yds , John Santiago returns for 3 yds to the NDKTA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:4517% → 17%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.5%
Keaton Studsrud run for no gain to the NDKTA 27 Keaton Studsrud fumbled, forced by Calen Taylor, recovered by NDKTASimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+21
83.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Stanley for 21 yds to the NDKTA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
81.7%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
81.3%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
81.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis Toivonen, PENALTY UND holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 20
50
+11
82.6%
Brady Oliveira run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+7
81.3%
Brady Oliveira run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-3
81.0%
Brady Oliveira run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
83.0%
Austin Dussold punt for 25 yds, downed at the BwGrn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
88.5%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
88.6%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
88.0%
James Knapke run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
88.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Dylan BakkerSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
88.6%
Fred Coppet run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
88.6%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
88.9%
James Knapke run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
89.4%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
88.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Janarvis Pough, broken up by Torrey HuntSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
87.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDKTA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 26MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:0514% → 15%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
85.7%
NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDKTA 11Similar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 15
OWN 11
-5
85.9%
Keaton Studsrud sacked by Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 5 yards to the NDKTA 6Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 20
OWN 6
0
86.4%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis ToivonenSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 20
OWN 6
+24
87.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for 24 yds to the NDKTA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
85.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Stanley for 10 yds to the NDKTA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
84.4%
Keaton Studsrud sacked by Brandon Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the NDKTA 32Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+26
86.0%
John Santiago run for 26 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
82.8%
Brady Oliveira run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
82.8%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
83.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Travis Toivonen for no gain to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+55
85.4%
Reid Taubenheim 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.2%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
90.0%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+1
89.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Fred Coppet for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
88.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 45 yds , John Santiago returns for no gain to the NDKTA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
86.4%
John Santiago run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 30Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
87.9%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Travis Toivonen, broken up by Alfonso MackSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+9
88.5%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Stanley for 9 yds to the NDKTA 39Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+4
87.0%
Austin Dussold punt for 46 yds , Scott Miller returns for 4 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.3%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
93.5%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-1
92.9%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
91.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Santiago at the NDKTA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNDDrive 30TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 1:4712% → 27%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
88.0%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 22 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
85.2%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Noah Wanzek for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+12
83.8%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 12 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
80.8%
John Santiago run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
80.8%
Keaton Studsrud pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+14
84.3%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Luke Fiedler for 14 yds to the BwGrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
80.8%
Keaton Studsrud sacked by Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+10
83.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.1%
Keaton Studsrud pass incomplete to Noah WanzekSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
79.1%
Keaton Studsrud run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.5%
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Stetson Carr for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OWN 38
+2
73.1%
TEAM run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+26.9
TD · Q4 0:13
Keaton Studsrud pass complete to Stetson Carr for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.6
TD · Q4 0:13
TEAM run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 40
+14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com