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EIU

Eastern Illinois 21 at Miami (OH) 17

M-OH
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:46 · Bud Martin pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+11.7Home team on offense+9.6Garbage-time factor+2.0Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:57: Mitch Kimble pass complete to Addison Bounds for 3 yds for a TD MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) declined, (Nick Bruno KICK) — EIU win probability +9.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:57: Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK) — EIU win probability +24.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:35: Devin Church run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line — EIU win probability +10.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 0:56: Mitch Kimble pass complete to Devin Church for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK) — EIU win probability +63.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:47: Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner — M-OH win probability +13.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00EIU 4th & 6 at M-OH 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:51M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:47EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:28M-OH 4th & 11 at EIU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:31M-OH 4th & 4 at EIU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.5%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:27EIU 4th & 14 at EIU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:46EIU 4th & 12 at M-OH 12, down 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.6 ptsWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−7.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:53M-OH 4th & 3 at EIU 15, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:53EIU 4th & 3 at M-OH 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−1.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:53M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−11.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:27M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:57EIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:46M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:57EIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:56EIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EIUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
79.1%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Paul Gossage for 15 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
79.1%
Mitch Kimble run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 44 Mitch Kimble fumbled,Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
79.1%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Paul GossageSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+16
79.1%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 16 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
79.1%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
79.1%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
79.1%
Mitch Kimble pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
79.1%
Cody Edwards punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
78.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
78.3%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 6
OWN 17
-6
78.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+5
78.2%
Billy Bahl run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
78.1%
Justin Martin punt for 44 yds , Aaron Gooch returns for no gain to the EIlln 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
77.5%
Devin Church run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 37Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+8
77.7%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 8 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
77.4%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Aaron GoochSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
77.8%
Cody Edwards punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:0577% → 77%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
77.3%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 9 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+1
77.5%
Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
77.4%
Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+33
77.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 18 yds to the EIlln 47 for a 1ST down EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the EIlln 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
77.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the EIlln 36Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+24
77.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 24 yds to the EIlln 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
78.0%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
78.0%
Jared Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 13Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
76.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Vince SpellerSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
77.0%
Samuel Sloman 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
77.1%
Korliss Marshall run for 18 yds to the EIlln 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
76.4%
Mitch Kimble run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 1
50
+4
76.1%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
76.2%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Paul Gossage for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
76.1%
Korliss Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
76.1%
Korliss Marshall run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37 Korliss Marshall fumbled, forced by Paul Moses, recovered by MiaOh Tony ReidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:3276% → 76%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
76.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
50
+9
77.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
77.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the EIlln 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
77.2%
BAHL, Billy rush over left guard for 2 yards to the EIU37 (PRICE, Josh), PENALTY MIAMI illegal shift 5 yards to the EIU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
76.3%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the EIlln 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+9
76.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 19 yds to the EIlln 25 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the EIlln 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
77.1%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the EIlln 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+2
76.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 2 yds to the EIlln 33Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
75.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
74.6%
Austin Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-10
74.8%
GOOCH, Aaron rush over right end for 3 yards to the EIU36 (KOENIG, Brad), PENALTY EIU holding (ODUGBESAN, Ben) 10 yards to the EIU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+1
75.3%
Austin Green pass complete to Devin Church for 1 yd to the EIlln 24Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+5
75.7%
Austin Green run for 5 yds to the EIlln 29Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
76.1%
Cody Edwards punt for 56 yds, downed at the MiaOh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:1975% → 81%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
74.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+22
74.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 22 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
76.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-10
75.7%
BAHL, Billy pass complete to BANKS, Travion for 16 yards to the EIU43, PENALTY MIAMI holding (MCCOLLUM, Sam) 10 yards to the MIAMI31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 19
OWN 31
0
74.7%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+4
74.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 4 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+14
73.7%
MARTIN, Justin punt 41 yards to the EIU24, out-of-bounds, PENALTY EIU personal foul (ODUGBESAN, Ben) 14 yards to the MIAMI49, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
80.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 51 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
79.4%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Paul Gossage for 5 yds to the EIlln 39Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
78.8%
Mitch Kimble run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
78.4%
Devin Church run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 13
50
0
79.2%
Mitch Kimble pass intercepted De'Andre Montgomery return for no gain to the MiaOh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10INT
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
81.1%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 24 yds to the EIlln 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
81.4%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Nick Horne return for 17 yds to the EIlln 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:1521% → 31%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
79.2%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Korliss Marshall for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 35Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
80.1%
Mitch Kimble pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+15
80.7%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
50
+6
78.4%
Korliss Marshall run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+4
77.9%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
78.2%
Mitch Kimble run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+12
78.3%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Korliss Marshall for 12 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
77.3%
Devin Church run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
77.3%
Devin Church run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+8
78.0%
Mitch Kimble run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
77.3%
Devin Church run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
77.3%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Paul Gossage for 3 yds to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Addison Bounds for 3 yds for a TD MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) declined, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
73.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:0973% → 85%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
73.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
73.2%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+16
73.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Shisso for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
50
-3
75.2%
Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+14
73.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 14 yds to the EIlln 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
75.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+1
75.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the EIlln 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
75.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the EIlln 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
75.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the EIlln 23Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+8
75.1%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the EIlln 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
75.9%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the EIlln 14Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
75.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
84.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
83.5%
Devin Church run for a loss of 4 yards to the EIlln 21Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+23
83.8%
Austin Green pass complete to Mitch Kimble for 23 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
82.3%
KIMBLE, Mitch sacked for loss of 9 yards to the EIU35 (JONES, JT), PENALTY MIAMI holding (MOSES, Paul) 10 yards to the MIAMI46, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
81.6%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+11
81.7%
Devin Church run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
80.7%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
80.7%
Mitch Kimble run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+23
81.8%
Darshon McCullough run for 23 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
80.3%
Darshon McCullough run for no gain to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
80.3%
Mitch Kimble sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
82.0%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Paul GossageSimilar
Q3 7:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
83.6%
Bud Martin pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15MISSED FG
17 plays · 73 yds · 14:5384% → 91%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
83.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+8
83.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
83.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
84.0%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+10
83.3%
Kenny Young run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
87.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+18
87.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 18 yds to the EIlln 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
88.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the EIlln 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
88.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the EIlln 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
88.5%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the EIlln 24Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+2
88.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the EIlln 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
88.9%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the EIlln 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-2
88.8%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 24Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+9
88.2%
Billy Bahl run for 9 yds to the EIlln 15Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
90.7%
Samuel Sloman 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 16TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 3:5610% → 40%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Aaron Gooch, broken up by Allan KoikoiSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
89.9%
Mitch Kimble run for 1 yd to the EIlln 21 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Zach Smierciak) to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.0%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Devin ChurchSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
88.4%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Devin Church for 5 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
87.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Shawn Mitchell for 8 yds to the EIlln 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
86.8%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 7 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
86.0%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Dennis Turner, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
86.9%
Mitch Kimble pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+10
87.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Paul Gossage for 10 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
85.3%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+16
84.8%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Addison Bounds for 16 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
84.8%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
84.8%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Shawn MitchellSimilar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+10
86.1%
KIMBLE, Mitch pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (KOIKOI, Allan) 10 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
84.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (1 Yards) to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q4 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
84.8%
Devin Church run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
84.8%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Aaron Gooch, broken up by Buchi OkaforSimilar
Q4 3:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.0%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0078% → 74%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 0
-4
77.9%
SMITH, Alonzo rush up middle for 2 yards to the MIAMI19 (GREER, Terrell), PENALTY MIAMI holding (GODLEVSKY, D.) 9 yards to the MIAMI8, NO PLAY, PENALTY MIAMI personal foul (GODLEVSKY, D.) 4 yards to the MIAMI4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 23
OWN 4
+4
77.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 19
OWN 8
0
76.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 19
OWN 8
0
75.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Maurice ThomasSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 19
OWN 8
0
73.9%
Justin Martin punt for 43 yds, downed at the EIlln 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 1:3936% → 95%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
63.8%
Devin Church run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 9
50
+5
63.7%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Devin Church for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+14
69.0%
Mitch Kimble run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
65.8%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 9 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+4
64.2%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
64.2%
KIMBLE, Mitch pass incomplete, QB hurry by JONES, JT, PENALTY MIAMI roughing passer (JONES, JT) 4 yards to the MIAMI14, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
64.2%
Mitch Kimble run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
68.2%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Devin ChurchSimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
5.1%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Devin Church for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:3321% → 13%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
20.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
20.1%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+17
19.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 17 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
21.3%
BAHL, Billy pass complete to SMITH, Ryan for loss of 5 yards to the MIAMI35, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MIAMI illegal touching (SMITH, Ryan) 5 yards to the MIAMI35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
16.9%
Billy Bahl sacked by Jarvis Williams for 0 yards to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+10
13.3%
Billy Bahl run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:56
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Devin Church for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)
-63.2
TD · Q4 3:57
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)
-24.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com