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CMU

Central Michigan 30 at Oklahoma State 27

OKST
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:18 · Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+34.9Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:13: Tyler Conklin 24 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick) — CMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:16: Tyler Conklin 5 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick) — CMU win probability +15.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:40: Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 31 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +44.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:12: Dillon Stoner pass complete to James Washington for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +34.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 42 yds lat. to Corey Willis for 9 yds for a TD (no attempt) — CMU win probability +87.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00OKST 4th & 9 at CMU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:11CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59OKST 4th & 2 at CMU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:49CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:25OKST 4th & 5 at CMU 36, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:08CMU 4th & 12 at OKST 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:08OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:33CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CMU 4th & 9 at CMU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:21OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:58OKST 4th & 11 at CMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−2.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−9.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:56CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00OKST 4th & 9 at CMU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:12OKST 4th & 1 at CMU 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−19.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:04OKST 4th & 13 at CMU 41, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.7 ptsWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%−4.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%
    32% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:49OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:23OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:13CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:16CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:40CMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:12OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
88.7%
Chris Carson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
88.7%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Washington, J., PENALTY CMU pass interference (Coleman, Amari) 15 yards to the CMU47, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for no gain to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
88.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1812% → 13%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
87.7%
Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+6
87.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 6 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 2
OWN 21
0
87.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
87.5%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
87.4%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Kelby Latta for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+15
87.1%
Sinor, Zach punt 38 yards to the CMU32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY CMU 1B 15 yards to the OSU45, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
87.5%
Chris Carson run for 7 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
87.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
87.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskey, broken up by Tony AnneseSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
87.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
86.4%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 13Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+1
86.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 1 yd to the CMich 14Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
86.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler ConklinSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
86.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
86.6%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:0386% → 88%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
86.4%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
86.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+13
86.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 13 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
86.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 17 yds to the CMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
88.1%
Jalen McCleskey 26 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
87.4%
Rush, Cooper pass complete to Willis, Corey for 8 yards to the CMU28 (Averette, D.), PENALTY CMU pass interference (Willis, Corey) 10 yards to the CMU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
87.4%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+8
87.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
87.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
87.7%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:4788% → 90%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
87.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 32 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
88.0%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
88.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 13 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
90.2%
Zac Veatch 18 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:0511% → 14%
Q1 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
89.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
89.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 12 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Jordan SternsSimilar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+11
89.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Eric Cooper for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
50
+4
88.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+19
89.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 19 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
88.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jahray Hayes for 7 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+6
88.6%
Jahray Hayes run for 6 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
88.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin, broken up by Jordan SternsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-10
88.6%
Cooper Rush sacked by Tralund Webber for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 20
OPP 24
+24
86.0%
Tyler Conklin 24 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:4887% → 87%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
86.7%
Jalen McCleskey run for 8 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+7
87.2%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
87.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 11 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
87.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Barry Sanders for 1 yd to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
87.3%
Barry Sanders run for 4 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
87.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+53
87.0%
Matt Ammendola 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:1713% → 14%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
87.1%
Devon Spalding run for 11 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+29
86.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 9 yds to the OKLAST 45 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, face mask (20 yards) (20 Yards) to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
86.0%
Devon Spalding run for 4 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+8
86.0%
Cooper Rush run for 8 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
86.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 9 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+1
86.0%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.0%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the OKSt 3Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin, broken up by Jordan SternsSimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
86.7%
Cooper Rush run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 7 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by CMich Cooper RushSimilar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 0
OPP 7
-5
86.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
86.4%
Brian Eavey 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0086% → 87%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.4%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
85.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 43 yds , Emmett Thomas returns for no gain to the CMich 11 Emmett Thomas fumbled,Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris CarsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
86.6%
Mark Chapman run for 7 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+3
86.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 3 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
86.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 17 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
86.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 3 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
85.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 2 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
85.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Corey WillisSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
86.6%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 86%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
85.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+12
85.2%
Chris Carson run for 12 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
85.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-6
85.6%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
84.1%
Devon Spalding run for 17 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin, broken up by Motekiai MaileSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
83.5%
Devon Spalding run for 1 yd to the CMich 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
83.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony RiceSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+18
84.8%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 37 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 18 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
85.3%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+6
84.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 6 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
85.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskey, broken up by Winslow ChapmanSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
83.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 46 yds, downed at the CMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 6:4416% → 35%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
83.7%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
83.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 3 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+17
84.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 17 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
82.3%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+22
83.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 22 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
81.6%
Cooper Rush sacked by DeQuinton Osborne for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+5
83.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Zach Crouch for 5 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+15
83.6%
Rush, Cooper pass incomplete to Cooper, Eric (Lampkin, Ashton), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Carter, Trey) 15 yards to the OSU31, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
80.6%
Cooper Rush run for 19 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
80.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 4 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
80.3%
Jahray Hayes run for 3 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
65.4%
Tyler Conklin 5 Yd pass from Cooper Rush (Brian Eavey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:1873% → 77%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.7%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
73.4%
Justice Hill run for 17 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
75.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 8 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+28
76.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 28 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
77.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Amari ColemanSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-1
77.4%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 18Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
75.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
77.2%
Ben Grogan 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
76.4%
Cooper Rush sacked by Jarrell Owens for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
76.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Malik Fountain for 4 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
77.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 7 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+18
78.1%
Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 46 yds , Jalen McCleskey returns for 18 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:3578% → 75%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
78.2%
Mason Rudolph run for 7 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
79.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
79.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Nathan RickettsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
78.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+1
77.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Barry Sanders for 1 yd to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
75.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 36 yds, downed at the CMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 4:2023% → 66%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
77.3%
Jahray Hayes run for no gain to the CMich 5Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+7
77.5%
Jahray Hayes run for 7 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+5
77.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 5 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
76.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 15 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
75.2%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
75.8%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 29Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+40
79.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 40 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
34.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 31 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21INT
12 plays · 70 yds · 0:0049% → 58%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
48.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 17 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
52.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 11 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
54.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 12 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
57.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 10 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
57.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the CMich 24Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-7
57.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Nate Brisson-Fast for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+15
51.4%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Lacy, Chris, PENALTY CMU pass interference (Bunting, Sean) 15 yards to the CMU16, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
57.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (James Washington) to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+7
57.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 7 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
57.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 9 yds to the CMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.7%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted, touchback. Josh Cox return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
33.5%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 11 Devon Spalding fumbled, forced by Ashton Lampkin, recovered by OKSt Devante Averette , return for 9 yds to the CMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1353% → 81%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
53.2%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the CMich 6Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
53.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+4
50.0%
Mason Rudolph run for 4 yds to the CMich 2Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
80.6%
Dillon Stoner pass complete to James Washington for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
76.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for 7 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-2
73.1%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
76.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 8 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
73.6%
Cooper Rush pass intercepted Ramon Richards return for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:0687% → 93%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
87.0%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+18
87.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 18 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
89.4%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-2
91.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 39Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-2
90.3%
Mason Rudolph run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 13
OPP 41
-8
93.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Mason Rudolph) to the CMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
5.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 42 yds lat. to Corey Willis for 9 yds for a TD (no attempt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 42 yds lat. to Corey Willis for 9 yds for a TD (no attempt)
-87.8
TD · Q4 9:40
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 31 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
-44.7
TD · Q4 5:12
Dillon Stoner pass complete to James Washington for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+34.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com