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BALL

Ball State 20 at Indiana 30

IU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:42 · Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for no gain to the Ind 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior+26.7Home team on offense+4.6Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:42: Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +6.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Griffin Oakes 49 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:17: Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 79 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:46: Morgan Hagee 38 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +1.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:06: Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 5 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +4.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11BALL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:13IU 4th & 12 at BALL 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:13BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:12IU 4th & 5 at IU 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09BALL 4th & 3 at IU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 2 at BALL 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:42BALL 4th & 15 at BALL 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:36IU 4th & 2 at BALL 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:47BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00IU 4th & 14 at BALL 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:17BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 30, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:29IU 4th & 12 at BALL 24, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:29BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 27, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:05IU 4th & 14 at IU 47, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:37BALL 4th & 5 at IU 5, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:37IU 4th & 7 at IU 42, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:46BALL 4th & 5 at IU 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:53IU 4th & 18 at IU 24, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:53IU 4th & 11 at IU 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:49BALL 4th & 1 at IU 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:38IU 4th & 1 at BALL 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BALL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:23IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:42IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:17IU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:06BALL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
85.4%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-2
85.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+12
85.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 12 yds Corey Lacanaria fumbled, forced by Marcus Oliver, recovered by Ind Jonathan CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:2785% → 85%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
85.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 17 yds to the BalSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
85.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 0
OPP 4
-15
85.2%
INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 19Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 0
OPP 19
+4
85.2%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
85.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 3 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
84.5%
Griffin Oakes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
84.6%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
84.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Darian GreenSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+1
84.6%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 18Similar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+4
84.7%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 42 yds , Rashard Fant returns for 4 yds to the Ind 22 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1784% → 85%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
84.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 8 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
84.5%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
84.4%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
85.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 43 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:0515% → 16%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
84.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 33 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
84.5%
Darian Green run for 6 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+16
84.4%
James Gilbert run for 16 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
83.9%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
83.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+13
84.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 13 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+2
83.8%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the Ind 3 James Gilbert fumbled, forced by Tegray Scales, recovered by Ind Jonathan CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
84.8%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+8
84.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 8 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
84.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+18
84.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 18 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
85.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
84.9%
Mike Majette run for 5 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
84.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
84.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:3416% → 15%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
84.5%
Darian Green run for 5 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+18
85.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 18 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
85.1%
KeVonn Mabon run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 2
50
+8
84.7%
Darian Green run for 8 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
84.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
84.9%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+3
84.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
85.2%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:1485% → 84%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
84.5%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
84.6%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
84.6%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
84.9%
Lagow, Richard pass complete to Redding, Devine for 6 yards to the BALL46 (WIGGINS, Sean), PENALTY BALL offside (WINBUSH, A.) 5 yards to the BALL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
85.0%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
84.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for no gain to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
84.4%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 41 yds, downed at the BalSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
85.2%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+2
85.3%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 8Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+11
85.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 11 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
84.9%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
85.0%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-7
85.3%
Riley Neal sacked by AShon Riggins for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 14 Riley Neal fumbled, recovered by BalSt Riley Neal , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 15
OWN 14
0
85.5%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
84.8%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+11
84.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
84.6%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+1
84.1%
Richard Lagow run for 1 yd to the BalSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
84.4%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete, PENALTY BALL ineligible downfield on pass (BELL, Steven) 5 yards to the BALL37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+3
85.0%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+2
84.8%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+7
84.9%
Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
84.7%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:4984% → 92%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
84.4%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+48
84.3%
Mike Majette run for 48 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
85.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 9 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+21
85.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 21 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke Timian, broken up by Dedrick CromartieSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Marcelino Ball return for no gain to the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:3592% → 97%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook INDIANA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
91.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 13 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
92.2%
Devonte Williams run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+11
92.1%
Devonte Williams run for 11 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
92.1%
Devonte Williams run for 12 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
92.2%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+2
92.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Cole Gest for 2 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-10
91.9%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Paige, Mitchell, PENALTY IND holding (Rogers, Wes) 10 yards to the BALL40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 22
OPP 40
+8
91.8%
Cole Gest run for 8 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+49
96.7%
Griffin Oakes 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:4396% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
96.0%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+79
98.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 79 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.4%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan HogueSimilar
Q3 14:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+14
97.4%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 46 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 14 yds to the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:3399% → 99%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.1%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
99.1%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
50
+28
99.1%
Devine Redding run for 28 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.1%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.1%
Richard Lagow sacked by John Whitman III for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 12
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Marc WaltonSimilar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+41
99.4%
Griffin Oakes 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan HogueSimilar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.3%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.3%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Kyle Schmidt punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.6%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
99.6%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-5
99.6%
Richard Lagow sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 37 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for no gain to the BalSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20FG
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:591% → 0%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.5%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+13
99.5%
Malik Dunner run for 13 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
99.5%
Malik Dunner run for 23 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan Hogue, broken up by Tony FieldsSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+43
99.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 43 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.4%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 5Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Danny PinterSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan Hogue, broken up by Tony FieldsSimilar
Q3 3:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.6%
Morgan Hagee 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.7%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
99.7%
Devonte Williams run for 7 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.7%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Danny Friend) to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+7
99.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds Luke Timian fumbled, forced by Sean Wiggins,Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Devonte Williams run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+1
99.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 43 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for 1 yd to the BalSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:250% → 1%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+18
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Sam Brunner for 18 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 24 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
99.8%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to MABON, KeVonn, PENALTY IND pass interference (Ball, Marcelino) 15 yards to the IND26, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.8%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+3
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Sam Brunner for 3 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
98.7%
Morgan Hagee 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT TD
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:5399% → 96%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
98.9%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-10
98.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete INDIANA Penalty, intentional grounding (Richard Lagow) to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 18
OWN 24
0
98.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 18
OWN 24
+3
96.1%
TEAM punt blocked by Dedrick Cromartie blocked by Dedrick Cromartie Malik Dunner return for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.6%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
96.5%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+12
96.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 12 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
96.7%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-4
96.7%
Richard Lagow sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
96.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 36 yds , Aaron Hepp returns for no gain to the BalSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 6:023% → 7%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.8%
Darian Green run for 5 yds to the BalSt 27Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
96.6%
Darian Green run for 3 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
96.6%
Darian Green run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
96.7%
Teddy Williamson run for 7 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+11
96.6%
James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
50
+27
96.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Darian Green for 27 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to KeVonn MabonSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
96.3%
Darian Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+5
96.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive offside (Ralph Green III) to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+5
97.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 5 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
97.5%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
97.3%
Darian Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+9
97.5%
NEAL, Riley pass incomplete to BRUNNER, Sam, PENALTY IND pass interference (Oliver, Marcus) 9 yards to the IND5, 1ST DOWN BALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 5 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:2895% → 97%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
95.1%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
96.1%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.3%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
96.3%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
96.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
96.7%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the BalSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
96.8%
Riley Neal sacked by Ralph Green III for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 18Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 16
OWN 18
0
97.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jordan Hogue, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 16
OWN 18
+18
97.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 18 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:42
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+6.6
FG · Q2 0:00
Griffin Oakes 49 yd FG GOOD
+4.8
TD · Q4 3:06
Riley Neal pass complete to Jordan Hogue for 5 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com